The Poll Bludger’s federal poll aggregate has recorded little change since the previous result a week ago. Also featured: preselection argybargy, changes to electoral legislation, a new Chief Minister for the Northern Territory, and a by-election result.
READ MOREWanguri by-election live
The by-election to fill former ALP Chief Minister Paul Henderson’s northern Darwin seat in the Northern Territory parliament is a three-candidate, two-polling booth affair.
READ MORENewspoll: 55-45 to Coalition
James J reports Newspoll has the Coalition’s two-party lead back up from 53-47 to 55-45, from primary votes of 33% for Labor (down two), 46% for the Coalition (up one), 8% for the Greens (down three, which as Poliquant notes in comments is their worst result since March 2009) and 13% for others (up four). [...]
READ MOREBushwhacked
Three weeks ago, I once again showed my inestimable worth by thumbing my nose at over-informed local opinion, which was mostly of the view that Paul Henderson’s Labor government would as likely as not be returned in yesterday’s Northern Territory election, and boldly proclaimed that my money was “firmly on the Country Liberal Party”. Now [...]
READ MORENorthern Territory election live
8.38pm. Clare Martin confident about Stuart, for some reason. They are currently a handful of votes ahead. 8.32pm. By my count, the CLP will have four Aboriginal members compared with one for Labor, which will become either 5-1 or 4-2 depending on who wins Stuart. White Labor members in remote seats seem to have done [...]
READ MOREABC: Internal poll shows swing to NT Labor (and related matters)
Saturday update: • The Northern Territory News reports bookies have been receiving late money on the Country Liberals. A spokesman for Luxbet said Labor had eased “dramatically” to $2.60, while Sportsbet had moved slightly over the week from $1.40 to $1.37 for the CLP and $2.80 to $2.85 for Labor – which was apparently entirely [...]
READ MORENT News poll: 6% swing to CLP in Darwin marginals
The Northern Territory News has filled the territory election opinion poll void today with a phone survey of 1088 respondents covering four Darwin and Palmerston seats, the general impression of which is that the CLP will emerge from Saturday’s election with a small majority. The poll was conducted by “Advertiser Newspapers Marketing Information Services”, an [...]
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Northern Territory election minus nine days
A quick review of the main happenings on the Northern Territory campaign trail. Further background is available from my seat-by-seat election guide. • The Northern Territory News has gone on the attack over Labor’s handling of the revelation that one of its candidates had a spent conviction for assault. The candidate in question is Ken [...]
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Northern Territory election: August 25
With polling day three-and-a-half weeks away, my seat-by-seat guide to the Northern Territory election is almost ready for action, and will be posted after a bit more proof reading leading today (UPDATE: Make that tomorrow) (UPDATE 2: No, make it Monday). Local legal academic and former Labor MP Ken Parish relates the campaign has been [...]
READ MORENewspoll: 58-42 to Coalition
GhostWhoVotes reports that Newspoll shows little change from a fortnight ago, with the Coalition’s two-party lead down from 59-41 to 58-42. However, it wouldn’t be a current opinion poll if there wasn’t an unpleasant twist for the government, and this time it’s a new low on the primary vote of 26 per cent, down a [...]
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