Reflections on the Miracle of Democracy at Work in the Greatest Nation on Earth

Category Archives: Queensland politics

Galaxy: 55-45 to LNP in Queensland

Shades of the aftermath of the 1993 federal budget in Queensland, where the first state poll conducted in the wake of the government’s announcement of asset sales and abolition of the petrol subsidy has seen a plunge in support for Anna Bligh’s government. The Galaxy survey of 800 respondents shows the LNP opening up a [...]

Morgan: 57-43

The latest Roy Morgan face-to-face poll has Labor’s two-party lead at 57-43, down from 58-42 a fortnight ago. On the primary vote, Labor is down 0.5 per cent to 48.5 per cent, the Coalition is up 2 per cent to 38 per cent and the Greens are down 1 per cent to 7 per cent.
In [...]

Reuters Poll Trend: 56.6-43.4

Reuters Poll Trend is back in business, presumably resuming its old methods of providing a weighted aggregate of results from Newspoll, Morgan and ACNielsen. As such it tells us nothing we didn’t already know, but its trend line is a handy thing to have. The current finding combines three weeks of results and has Labor’s [...]

Itchy trigger fingers

Seems Morgan are having one of their occasional weeks off. Plenty of federal preselection action to report, as the parties prepare contingencies for a potential early election:
• The Australian’s Michael Owen reports South Australian Labor is finalising its federal preselections, which “senior factional figures” link to a potential early election. Mia Handshin is keen to [...]

Action-packed mid-week stop-gap thread

So much going on at the moment that it can’t wait for the next opinion poll post:
• Brendan Nelson’s announcement he will vacate his blue-ribbon northern Sydney seat of Bradfield at the next election could initiate another of the classic preselection clashes for the NSW branch of the Liberal Party has become justly famous in [...]

Essential Research: 61-39

Newspoll seems to have taken the week off, but there’s always Essential Research, which has Labor’s lead up to 61-39 from 60-40 last week. Also featured are questions on becoming a republic within the next few years (52 per cent support, 24 per cent oppose - the latter sounds a bit low), whether Australia should [...]

Essential Research: 60-40

This week’s Essential Research survey has Labor’s lead at 60-40, up from 59-41 last week. Also featured are interesting findings on development of nuclear power plants for electricity generation (43 per cent support, 35 per cent oppose) and whether Australia has an obligation to dispose of nuclear waste from countries it exports uranium to (26 [...]

Morgan: 60-40

Like Essential Media before it, Roy Morgan’s first poll of the year shows no significant change from the last polls of 2008. The face-to-face survey has Labor’s two-party lead steady at 60-40 and their primary vote down one point to 51.5 per cent, while the Coalition’s is down half a point to 35 per cent. [...]

Happy new year: week two

In the continuing absence of new polling, enjoy the following news snippets:
• Amid lingering rumours of a late February state election in Queensland, Lawrence Springborg has floated the possibility of Mal Brough entering state politics by contesting a Labor-held seat. Such would be the only option available to him given the Liberal National Party merger [...]

Newspoll: 57-43 to Labor in Queensland

After yesterday’s New South Wales disaster, Labor today enjoys a surprisingly strong result from Newspoll’s quarterly survey of Queensland state voting intention. Labor’s primary vote has shot up seven points to 45 per cent, while the Liberal Nationals are down four to 37 per cent. The gap on two-party preferred (remembering the limitations of this [...]