GhostWhoVotes tweets that a Galaxy poll on federal voting intention in Queensland gives the Coalition a two-party lead of 57-43 – a seven-point turn-around in Labor’s favour since the last such poll three months ago, suggesting a swing to the Coalition/LNP of only 2% since the 2010 election. Leaving aside the Labor-skewed Morgan face-to-face series, [...]
READ MOREReachTEL: 51.5-48.5 to Labor in Ashgrove
ReachTEL has deftly targeted Campbell Newman’s electorate of Ashgrove with one of its automated phone polls: this one from a substantial sample of 661, with a margin of error of slightly below 4%. Daniel Hurst of Fairfax reports the poll has Labor 51.5-48.5 ahead if preferences are distributed as per the last election, compared with [...]
READ MORE
Galaxy: 67-33 to LNP in Queensland
GhostWhoVotes reports that Galaxy (courtesy of the Courier-Mail) has arrived with the first poll of state voting intention since the Queensland election, and finds the new LNP government enjoying a honeymoon spike on top of their astronomical election result. The LNP leads Labor 54% to 23% on the primary vote, compared with 49.7% and 26.7%, [...]
READ MORESouth Brisbane by-election live
# % Swing 2PP (proj.) Swing McKenzie (IND) 318 1.8% Panorea (DSP) 662 3.7% McCreery (FFP) 237 1.3% Bragg (GRN) 3,602 20.3% 2.3% Grehan (LNP) 6,549 36.9% -1.2% 48.1% 2.7% Flenady (IND) 171 1.0% -1.0% Trad (ALP) 5,860 33.0% -5.9% 51.9% -2.7% Wardrop (KAP) 368 2.1% -1.2% TOTAL 17,767 Booths counted 18 out of 18 [...]
READ MORE
Queensland part two: April 28
UPDATE 2 (26/4): Another ReachTel poll, this time of a large sample of 1085, finds the lord mayoralty race set for a repeat of Campbell Newman’s landslide in 2008. Newman’s LNP successor, Graham Quirk, is on 58%, Labor’s Ray Smith on 25% and Andrew Bartlett of the Greens on 14%. Whereas sentiment in the South [...]
READ MOREQueensland election thread
A Queensland state election looms, and while it could theoretically be held as late as June 16, most observers of the state’s politics are expecting it in late February or March. (UPDATE: Or perhaps not – Striketwo in comments alerts me to this Courier-Mail article which relates that the ECQ wants “a clear six weeks [...]
READ MORENewspoll: 56-44 to LNP in Queensland
The final quarterly Newspoll of Queensland state voting intention for the year, and most likely the last before the onset of the election campaign, suggests the Liberal National Party has taken a hit from its recent accumulation of bad press, but nonetheless remains in a commanding position. On the primary vote, Labor is up four [...]
READ MOREMorgan face-to-face: 55.5-44.5 to Coalition
The latest Morgan poll combines the last two weekends’ face-to-face surveying, and shows a slight increase to the Coalition’s lead from the previous poll. Their primary vote is up a point to 46.5 per cent, with Labor steady on 36.5 per cent and the Greens down two to 10 per cent. The headline two-party figure [...]
READ MOREWeekend miscellany
No Morgan poll this week. There is the following however: • ReachTel continues to pump out the Queensland state automated phone polls. Perhaps emboldened by a recent effort pointing to a 27 per cent anti-Labor swing in Stretton, they have this week targeted two safe Labor seats and elicited similarly dramatic results. A survey of [...]
READ MOREGalaxy: 62-38 to LNP in Queensland
The same Galaxy poll of Queensland which yesterday brought us numbers on federal voting intention today offers up state results, which should put to rest overheated talk of a Labor revival resulting from divisions within Queensland conservatism. The poll finds the LNP maintaining a crushing 62-38 lead on two-party preferred from primary votes of 50 [...]
READ MORE
