Well, there you have it – a day of joy for the Tasmanian Greens as their most endangered sitting member, Kim Booth, just scrapes over the line in Bass by 136 votes. I might modestly note that it was my own gut feeling that this would be the case, as expressed in this post from [...]
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Category Archives: Tasmanian Election 2006
Slicing up the apple: episode two
Wednesday, March 29, 2006 – 2:34 am
It really is a shame that the South Australian election has had to take priority in the past few weeks, because a Tasmanian election is a gift that keeps on giving. For the past nine days, fortunes have continued to wax and wane with each elimination and distribution of surpluses. The process has been of [...]
Slicing up the apple
Tuesday, March 21, 2006 – 1:05 am
Better late than never, here is the preliminary summary of the Tasmanian election that was first promised on Saturday evening. Not much remains to be said about Labor’s success in retaining its majority, except that the Poll Bludger bitterly regrets his failure to follow Mumble’s example by taking a big punt on the absurdly favourable [...]
Super Saturday live
Saturday, March 18, 2006 – 3:36 pm
11.28pm. Okay, one last thing – Geoff Lambert notes in comments that Labor’s surplus over the fourth quota for the upper house is going steadily down, which suggests it will be their preferences that decide the final spot. If so, it will go to the Greens rather than the third No Pokies candidate. Keep your [...]
The late mail
Saturday, March 18, 2006 – 4:46 am
It’s way past my bedtime, so readers will have to make what they will of the following last-minute poll results. Tomorrow I will reconsider my South Australian election guide assessments one last time, and most likely make a few adjustments in Labor’s favour.
Firstly, today’s Newspoll for South Australia:
Secondly, today’s Advertiser poll:
Thirdly, yesterday’s Newspoll for Tasmania:
Finally, [...]
Tasmanian election: Lyons form guide
Thursday, March 16, 2006 – 11:23 pm
Known until 1982 as Wilmot, the electorate of Lyons is made up of what’s left over after the north-west coast (Braddon), north-east coast (Bass), western Hobart (Denison) and eastern Hobart (Franklin, which also includes towns to the south to make up the numbers) are grouped together into communities of interest. It thus includes small towns [...]
Tasmanian election: Franklin form guide
Wednesday, March 15, 2006 – 11:52 pm
Franklin includes the areas of Hobart on the eastern shore of the Derwent River, small towns south of the city and the unpopulated southern part of the World Heritage area to the west. The federal electorate was mostly in Liberal hands in the post-war era (though usually by narrow margins), until Harry Quick won it [...]
Tasmanian election: Denison form guide
Monday, March 13, 2006 – 11:58 pm
Denison essentially covers all of Hobart west of the Derwent River, plus some hinterland beyond. It is the strongest electorate in the state for the Greens, having elected Bob Brown at the 1986 election and returned the party’s only member at the 1998 election, when representation was first reduced from seven members per electorate to [...]
Unholy Sabbath polling
Sunday, March 12, 2006 – 3:51 pm
After last night’s sort-of-triumph in the Victoria Park by-election, the morning has brought two opinion polls to warm the Labor supporter’s heart. After a quiet week on the polling front from the previously prodigious Advertiser, its News Limited stablemate the Sunday Mail has published a survey of 607 voters showing Labor with 45 per cent [...]
Tasmanian election: Braddon form guide
Thursday, March 9, 2006 – 11:36 pm
The electorate of Braddon covers the north-western coastal areas of Tasmania plus King Island in the Bass Strait, and is dominated by Burnie and Devonport. Smaller centres include Currie, Penguin, Savage River, Smithton, Stanley, Ulverstone, Waratah and Wynyard. This is an electorally mixed area in which timber and mining industries that traditionally provided a solid [...]
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