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Category Archives: Tasmanian Periodical Elections

Pembroke by-election: August 1

A minor, but potentially very interesting, electoral event will take place in Tasmania on August 1, when voters in the Legislative Council district of Pembroke choose a replacement for outgoing Labor member Allison Ritchie. The Liberal Party’s normal practice of not contesting seats in the Legislative Council makes elections for the chamber, which normally take [...]

Morgan: 57-43

The latest Roy Morgan face-to-face poll has Labor’s two-party lead at 57-43, down from 58-42 a fortnight ago. On the primary vote, Labor is down 0.5 per cent to 48.5 per cent, the Coalition is up 2 per cent to 38 per cent and the Greens are down 1 per cent to 7 per cent.
In [...]

Tasmanian Legislative Council elections live

NOTE: Results below were not updated beyond the day after the election. Official results are available from the Tasmanian Electoral Commission.

WINDERMERE
VOTES
%
SWING
PROJECTED

Dean*
7015
39.2%
-11.2%
39.0%

Hay
4788
26.9%

Kaye
1750
9.8%

Sands
1433
7.9%

Whish-Wilson (GRN)
2904
16.3%

.

MERSEY

Gaffney
8344
42.9%

Jamieson
2590
13.3%

Laycock
3140
16.1%

Martin
5389
27.7%

.

DERWENT

Aird (ALP)*
9746
51.6%
-25.9%
51.4%

Branch
6328
33.5%

Gunter (GRN)
2811
14.9%

Sunday
5.30pm. The last exclusion in Windermere shows Ivan Dean will be elected over Kathryn Hay by about 55-45. Whish-Wilson’s votes went 2,229 to Hay and 1,545 to Dean with 191 exhausting, leaving [...]

Tasmanian upper house elections: May 2

Friday, April 24
Legislative Council maps available for enjoyment courtesy of Adam Carr and Ben Raue. You can also access ABC Local Radio forums with the candidates for each of the three divisions from ABC Elections.
Tuesday, April 21
On Saturday week, one fifth of Tasmanian voters go to the polls – or at least, ought to go [...]

Action-packed mid-week stop-gap thread

So much going on at the moment that it can’t wait for the next opinion poll post:
• Brendan Nelson’s announcement he will vacate his blue-ribbon northern Sydney seat of Bradfield at the next election could initiate another of the classic preselection clashes for the NSW branch of the Liberal Party has become justly famous in [...]

Essential Research: 61-39

Newspoll seems to have taken the week off, but there’s always Essential Research, which has Labor’s lead up to 61-39 from 60-40 last week. Also featured are questions on becoming a republic within the next few years (52 per cent support, 24 per cent oppose - the latter sounds a bit low), whether Australia should [...]

Huon and Rosevears live

7.45pm. Final results for the night: Kerry Finch on 72.8 per cent, Paul Harriss on 62.0 per cent. Mark Rickards will lose a little on pre-polls and postals, but his 38.0 per cent is nonetheless an encouraging result for the Greens.
7.12pm. Twenty-two Huon booths now in; Rickards wins the Kettering booth 228-190, and is still [...]

EMRS: 39-37 to Labor in Tasmania

Tasmanian pollster EMRS has published a survey of 853 committed voters on state voting intention, which shows Labor on 39 per cent (down 1 per cent from May 2007), the Liberals on 37 per cent (up 2 per cent) and the Greens on 22 per cent (up 1 per cent) (hat tip: Steve). Under the [...]

Pembroke and Nelson live

PEMBROKE
#
%
2CP

Allison Ritchie
7425
43.3
57.8

Richard James
3120
18.2
42.2

Neil Smith
2277
13.3
30.1

David Jackson
720
4.2
36.1

John Peers
1578
9.2
38.3

Marti Zucco
2047
11.9
34.8

COUNTED
87%

7.53pm. All booths in from Nelson; Wilkinson’s lead widened in late counting, to 10,019 to 6391.
7.50pm. The final booth from Pembroke, Bellerive, has taken a small amount of gloss of Allison Ritchie’s performance with a 17.8 per cent drop in the Labor primary vote.
7.37pm. Lindisfarne in; Labor primary vote [...]

Periodical tables

May being almost upon us, a hardcore psephologist’s thoughts turn to the curious spectacle of a Tasmanian periodical upper house election. Mainlanders who know of the Tasmanian Legislative Council’s existence usually note it for its historical conservatism and preponderance of independents, but few are aware of its unusual manner of election. Just as Tasmania bucks [...]