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Category Archives: Tasmanian Politics

Reuters Poll Trend: 55.8-44.2

Friday, July 3, 2009 – 8:17 am

The latest Reuters Poll Trend weighted average of Newspoll, Morgan and ACNielsen results has federal Labor with a two-party lead of 55.8-44.2, presumably being weighed down a little by recent results from before the weekend.
UPDATE: Roy Morgan has joined in on the action with a small sample (546) phone poll including questions on leadership approval, [...]

By William Bowe | Also posted in Federal Politics, Victorian politics | Tagged Bass, Brant Webb, Brian Wightman, Cowan, George Seitz, Hasluck, Karen Brown, Kathryn Hay, Keilor, Kevin Andrews, Menzies, Michelle O'Byrne, Mike Dean, Peter Tinley, Reuters Poll Trend, Scott McLean, Stirling, Swan, Tim Hammond | Comments (2,238)

Morgan: 57-43

Sunday, June 21, 2009 – 12:49 am

The latest Roy Morgan face-to-face poll has Labor’s two-party lead at 57-43, down from 58-42 a fortnight ago. On the primary vote, Labor is down 0.5 per cent to 48.5 per cent, the Coalition is up 2 per cent to 38 per cent and the Greens are down 1 per cent to 7 per cent.
In [...]

By William Bowe | Also posted in Federal Politics, Queensland Politics, Tasmanian Periodical Elections, Victorian politics | Tagged Adam Searle, Add new tag, Allison Ritchie, Andrew McIntosh, Bob Debus, Bob Smith, Brimbank City Council, Caulfield, David Southwick, Deakin, Deanne Rhyll, Derrimut, electoral reforms, Essendon, fixed terms, Footscray, George Seitz, Helen Shardey, Higgins, John Pesutto, John Roskam, Josh Frydenberg, Julian Sheezel, Justin Madden, Kahlil Eideh, Keilor, Kelly O'Dwyer, Ken Aldred, Kew, Kooyong, Kororoit, Macquarie, Mal Brough, Marlene Kairouz, Marsha Thomson, Martin Pakula, Morgan poll, Natalie Sykes-Hutchins, New South Wales Legislative Council, Niddrie, Pembroke, Peter Wellington, Petro Georgiou, Phil Barresi, Rob Hulls, Steve Hutchins, Tasmanian Legislative Council, Telmo Languiller, Theo Theophanous, Tom Elliott, Victorian Legislative Council | Comments (2,582)

Essential Research: 56-44

Tuesday, June 9, 2009 – 5:55 pm

Labor’s two-party lead from Essential Research is up slightly following last week’s dive, from 55-45 to 56-44. Also featured are questions on the financial state of the companies respondents work for, future spending plans, confidence in the economy, “concern over job situation”, government regulation of the financial sector and whether an election will be justified [...]

By William Bowe | Also posted in Federal Politics, Victorian politics | Tagged Anthony Carbines, bankruptcy, Bob Brown, Craig Langdon, Denison, disqualification, Essential Research, Forestry Tasmania, Ivanhoe, Scott Bacon | Comments (1,752)

Essential Research: 59-41

Monday, May 25, 2009 – 7:58 pm

The latest weekly Essential Research survey has Labor’s two-party lead narrowing from 62-38 to 59-41. There are also interesting breakdowns on attitudes to the budget and the retirement age by employment and self-identified social class: office workers think the higher retirement age fair, tradesmen and manual labourers very much the opposite, while class reaction to [...]

By William Bowe | Also posted in Federal Politics, Victorian politics | Tagged Brimbank City Council, Dennis Jensen, Essential Research, fixed terms, Franklin, George Seitz, Glenn Piggott, Kate Churchill, Keilor, Kororoit, Libby Lyons, Matt Brown, mini-redistributions, Peter Costello, Tangney, Tasmanian Politics, Victorian politics | Comments (2,080)

Morgan: 58-42/54.5-45.5

Friday, May 22, 2009 – 3:13 pm

Unpredictable Roy Morgan has unloaded two very different sets of poll results: one using its usual face-to-face methodology, but based on one week’s sample rather than the recently more usual two, and the other a phone poll in which respondents were also asked about leadership preference, contrary to normal Morgan practice. The face-to-face poll is [...]

By William Bowe | Also posted in Electoral reform, Federal Politics | Tagged Andrew Wilkie, Denison, Electoral reform, Morgan poll, Tasmanian Politics | Comments (1,320)

EMRS: 43-36 to Labor in Tasmania

Wednesday, May 13, 2009 – 5:22 pm

The latest quarterly EMRS survey of 1000 Tasmanian voters shows no radical change in state voting intention since February, with Labor’s lead after distribution of the undecided up a point to 43 per cent, the Liberals steady on 36 per cent and the Greens down two to 17 per cent. There are also breakdowns by [...]

By William Bowe | Tagged David Bartlett, EMRS, Nick McKim, Tasmanian Politics, Will Hodgman | Comments (10)

Keeping it holy

Friday, April 10, 2009 – 2:54 pm

… with some God-fearing Good Friday news nuggets to tide you over until the pubs re-open.
• Senate polls have consistently proved themselves to be pointless endeavours, but let the record note that Roy Morgan has produced one from their last three months of surveys. This might be of at least some use if Morgan gave [...]

By William Bowe | Also posted in Electoral reform, Federal Politics | Tagged BC-STV, Elise Archer, Hare Clark, Malcolm Mackerras, Marti Zucco, Matt Stevenson, Michael Hodgman, mixed member proportional, Morgan poll, Nick Xenophon | Comments (1,465)

ACNielsen: 58-42

Monday, March 30, 2009 – 12:27 am

The Fairfax broadsheets have published an ACNielsen survey of 1400 voters showing federal Labor’s two-party lead at 58-42, up from 55-45 at the previous poll in November. Labor leads on the primary vote 47 per cent to 37 per cent. Also in the poll:
• Kevin Rudd’s approval rating is up four points to a stratospheric [...]

By William Bowe | Also posted in Federal Politics, Victorian politics, Western Australian Politics | Tagged ACNielsen, Afghanistan, Anna Bligh, Bass, Dave Kelly, David Compton, David Fry, daylight saving, Denison, Essential Research, fixed terms, Franklin, Fremantle, Jillian Law, Kooyong, Lyons, Marti Zucco, Michael Ferguson, Michael Hodgman, Peter Gutwein, Peter Tagliaferri, Rebecca White, Susan Napier, Vanessa Goodwin, Will Hodgman | Comments (1,669)

Morgan: 57-43

Friday, March 20, 2009 – 5:31 pm

The latest weekly Morgan face-to-face survey of 883 voters shows Labor’s two-party lead down from 60.5-39.5 to 57-43. Labor’s primary vote is down two points to 48.5 per cent, the Coalition’s is up substantially from 34.5 per cent to 39 per cent, and the Greens are down two to 6 per cent. Between Morgan, Newspoll [...]

By William Bowe | Also posted in Federal Politics, SA politics | Tagged Bass, Brant Webb, Corangamite, David Bartlett, electronic voting, Morgan poll, Newland, Nick Minchin, Trish Draper | Comments (556)

Essential Research: 62-38

Monday, March 2, 2009 – 11:34 pm

The latest weekly Essential Research poll has Labor’s lead steady at 62-38. Also included are an interesting question on what Peter Costello should do (34 per cent quit, 46 per stay in various possible capacities), along with very detailed material on economic management. Not only but also:
• A comprehensively briefed Andrew Landeryou at VexNews explains [...]