Reflections on the Miracle of Democracy at Work in the Greatest Nation on Earth

Category Archives: Western Australian politics

Westpoll: 59-41 to Liberal in WA

The latest semi-regular Westpoll survey of 400 respondents, published in today’s West Australian, has given the Barnett government its best result yet: a two-party lead of 59-41, up from 57-43 in March. Colin Barnett leads Labor’s Eric Ripper as preferred premier 55 per cent (up one point) to 13 per cent (steady). It’s also just [...]

Newspoll: 55-45 to Coalition in WA

Thanks to Possum for alerting me to more strange behaviour from Newspoll, in this case the first set of state results since last September’s state election which they have snuck on to their polling archive without telling anyone. It shows the Coalition with a relatively mild honeymoon lead of 55-45 on two-party preferred, although the [...]

WA daylight saving referendum: May 16

Here’s a thread for discussion of Saturday’s daylight saving referendum, which I have generally deemed to be outside my psephological ambit. Antony Green has concluded otherwise, providing a plethora of information over at ABC Elections. As you can see at Antony’s place, this is the fourth opportunity WA voters have been given to provide the [...]

Budget minus three days

No Morgan poll this week – in a half-baked attempt to tie the headline to the post, here’s a link to an analysis by Possum posing the question, “is there a polling budget effect?” (short answer: no). With that out of the way:
• Greg Roberts of The Australian reports on the demise of a Queensland [...]

Newspoll: 58-42

The Australian reports no change in Labor’s Newspoll lead from last fortnight: 58-42. Kevin Rudd is steady on 67 per cent as preferred prime minister, while Malcolm Turnbull’s is up one to 19 per cent. More to follow. Otherwise:
• Essential Research has Labor’s lead down from 61-39 to 60-40. Bonus questions on financial stimulus payments [...]

Newspoll: 58-42

The Australian reports Labor’s lead in the latest fortnightly Newspoll is up from 56-44 to 58-42. Kevin Rudd’s preferred prime minister rating is up two points to 67 per cent, and Malcolm Turnbull’s is down two to 18 per cent. More to follow.
UPDATE: Graphic here. Rudd has exchanged five points of disapproval (down to 21 [...]

ACNielsen: 58-42

The Fairfax broadsheets have published an ACNielsen survey of 1400 voters showing federal Labor’s two-party lead at 58-42, up from 55-45 at the previous poll in November. Labor leads on the primary vote 47 per cent to 37 per cent. Also in the poll:
• Kevin Rudd’s approval rating is up four points to a stratospheric [...]

Westpoll: 57-43 to Liberal in WA

The West Australian’s latest Westpoll survey of state voting intention gives the Barnett government its best result yet: a two-party lead up from 56-44 to 57-43 and primary votes of 49 per cent for the Liberals, 4 per cent for the Nationals, 34 per cent for Labor and 7 per cent for the Greens. Colin [...]

Morgan: 59.5-40.5

Not exactly hot off the presses with this one, but Friday’s poll from Roy Morgan (who seem to have returned to their weekly polling habits of old) has Labor’s two-party lead at 59.5-40.5 compared with 60-40 the previous week. The primary vote movements are bigger than you would expect from this: Labor is down 2.5 [...]

Action-packed mid-week stop-gap thread

So much going on at the moment that it can’t wait for the next opinion poll post:
• Brendan Nelson’s announcement he will vacate his blue-ribbon northern Sydney seat of Bradfield at the next election could initiate another of the classic preselection clashes for the NSW branch of the Liberal Party has become justly famous in [...]