Labor’s long Victorian tide has made a reasonably secure seat from what had once been a marginal, but a big swing following Steve Gibbons’ retirement in 2013 reminded them it can’t be taken for granted.
A new ReachTEL poll for the Fairfax papers is almost identical to one conducted last week for the Seven Network on voting intention, but gives Bill Shorten a greater lead over Tony Abbott as preferred prime minister.
It’s been a measure of Labor’s bad show in Queensland over the last two elections that it has been unable to hold on to the electorate encompassing the city centre of Brisbane and its surrounds. After surviving a preselection scare, LNP member Teresa Gambaro will now seek to make it three in a row.
William Bowe is a doctoral candidate with the University of Western Australia’s Discipline of Political Science and International Relations. He has been running the electoral studies blog The Poll Bludger since January 2004, independently until September 2008 and thereafter with Crikey.