tip off

WILLIAM BOWE | July 18, 2014 | QUEENSLAND BY-ELECTIONS | 39 |

Stafford by-election: July 19

Months after its shellacking at the Redcliffe by-election, Campbell Newman’s government faces another unwelcome test of its flagging popularity.

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WILLIAM BOWE | July 17, 2014 | FEDERAL POLITICS 2013- | 2,046 |

BludgerTrack: 53.5-46.5 to Labor

Three new polls paint a consistent picture of weakness for the Coalition, and offer some indication of Palmer United enjoying a dividend from its recent publicity.

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WILLIAM BOWE | July 15, 2014 | FEDERAL POLITICS 2013- | 886 |

Essential Research: 53-47 to Labor

Little change in the latest Essential Research, with other polls reporting this week likewise bouncing around within the margin of error.

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WILLIAM BOWE | July 13, 2014 | FEDERAL POLITICS 2013- | 986 |

Newspoll: 54-46 to Labor

The latest fortnightly Newspoll finds majority support for repeal of the carbon tax, but otherwise brings the Abbott government little cheer.

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WILLIAM BOWE | July 12, 2014 | FEDERAL ELECTION 2016 | 1,035 |

Seat of the week: Lyons

The central Tasmanian electorate of Lyons covers some of the poorest and least ethnically diverse territory in the country, and it recorded the nation’s biggest anti-Labor swing at the 2013 election.

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Newspoll: 50-50 in Western Australia

Only the second state opinion poll for Western Australia since the election echoes the recent Senate result in finding both parties sagging heavily in the face of a Greens and Palmer United surge.

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WILLIAM BOWE | July 10, 2014 | FEDERAL POLITICS 2013- | 1,240 |

BludgerTrack: 53.2-46.8 to Labor

The publication of Newspoll’s quarterly aggregates have caused a few adjustments at state level, but it’s otherwise a very quiet week for the BludgerTrack poll aggregate.

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WILLIAM BOWE | July 09, 2014 | NSW POLITICS | |

Newspoll: 57-43 to Coalition in NSW

Newspoll’s bi-monthly New South Wales result gives Mike Baird’s government a commanding lead, putting them well clear of what was indicated in previous post-Barry O’Farrell polling.

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WILLIAM BOWE | July 08, 2014 | FEDERAL POLITICS 2013- | |

Essential Research: 53-47 to Labor

A move in Labor’s favour in Essential Research this week, but further questions find support for a tougher regime on disability support and the government’s handling of boat arrivals.

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WILLIAM BOWE | July 07, 2014 | FEDERAL POLITICS 2013- | |

Newspoll quarterly breakdowns

No surprises in Newspoll’s latest quarterly breakdowns, which show uniform swings across the five states, and find Tony Abbott’s approval ratings down in equal measure across the full range of age and gender cohorts.

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