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WILLIAM BOWE | August 20, 2015 | FEDERAL ELECTION 2016 | 4 |

Seat of the week: Blair

Pauline Hanson’s old stamping ground of Ipswich is now mostly accommodated by the seat of Blair, which has been in the Labor fold since current member Shayne Neumann gained it in 2007.

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WILLIAM BOWE | August 16, 2015 | FEDERAL POLITICS 2013- | 2,192 |

Fairfax-Ipsos: 54-46 to Labor

Ipsos adds to the drumbeat of bad-to-terrible polling for the Abbott government.

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WILLIAM BOWE | August 13, 2015 | FEDERAL POLITICS 2013- | 2,335 |

BludgerTrack: 53.7-46.3 to Labor

A brace of weak poll results in the wake of the Bronwyn Bishop scandal have powered a sharp downturn for the Coalition on the BludgerTrack aggregate.

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WILLIAM BOWE | August 13, 2015 | FEDERAL ELECTION 2016 | 6 |

Seat of the week: Bendigo

Labor’s long Victorian tide has made a reasonably secure seat from what had once been a marginal, but a big swing following Steve Gibbons’ retirement in 2013 reminded them it can’t be taken for granted.

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WILLIAM BOWE | August 09, 2015 | FEDERAL POLITICS 2013- | |

Newspoll: 54-46 to Labor

The third Newspoll under the auspices of Galaxy is the government’s worst poll result for a while, giving Labor a 54-46 lead after two successive results of 53-47.

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WILLIAM BOWE | August 08, 2015 | FEDERAL POLITICS 2013- | |

ReachTEL: 53-47 to Labor

A new ReachTEL poll for the Fairfax papers is almost identical to one conducted last week for the Seven Network on voting intention, but gives Bill Shorten a greater lead over Tony Abbott as preferred prime minister.

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WILLIAM BOWE | August 06, 2015 | FEDERAL POLITICS 2013- | |

BludgerTrack: 52.4-47.6 to Labor

Ongoing government troubles prompt a third move in Labor’s favour in successive weeks on the BludgerTrack poll aggregate, as preselection jockeying gets started in the seats of Mackellar and Canning.

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WILLIAM BOWE | August 06, 2015 | FEDERAL ELECTION 2016 | |

Seat of the week: Brisbane

It’s been a measure of Labor’s bad show in Queensland over the last two elections that it has been unable to hold on to the electorate encompassing the city centre of Brisbane and its surrounds. After surviving a preselection scare, LNP member Teresa Gambaro will now seek to make it three in a row.

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WILLIAM BOWE | August 04, 2015 | FEDERAL POLITICS 2013- | |

Essential Research: 53-47 to Labor

Only incremental change this week from Essential Research, which also produces relatively encouraging news for both leaders on their standing against leadership alternatives from their own parties.

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WILLIAM BOWE | July 31, 2015 | FEDERAL POLITICS 2013- | |

ReachTEL: 53-47 to Labor

A poll conducted last night finds a clear majority believing Bronwyn Bishop should stand down in Speaker, and a widening of Labor’s lead on voting intention.

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