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	<title>The Poll Bludger &#187; Chris Back</title>
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	<link>http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger</link>
	<description>Reflections on the Miracle of Democracy at Work in the Greatest Nation on Earth</description>
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		<title>Morgan: 60.5-39.5</title>
		<link>http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2009/03/13/morgan-605-395-4/</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2009/03/13/morgan-605-395-4/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 13 Mar 2009 04:30:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>William Bowe</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Federal Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NSW Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SA politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Alannah MacTiernan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Barry O'Farrell]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Canning]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chris Back]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chris Ellison]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Don Randall]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Glenn Sterle]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Kym Richardson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Matthew Donovan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mawson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Morgan poll]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[political donations]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Steve Fielding]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/?p=2949</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Morgan&#8217;s latest polling release covers 955 respondents from last weekend&#8217;s face-to-face surveys, and shows Labor&#8217;s two-party lead down from 61.5-38.5 to 60.5-39.5. Labor&#8217;s primary vote is down a point to 50.5 per cent, and the Coalition&#8217;s is up 1.5 per cent to 34.5 per cent. On top of which:
&#8226; Silly Steve Fielding joined with the [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Morgan&#8217;s <a href="http://www.roymorgan.com/news/polls/2009/4364/">latest polling release</a> covers 955 respondents from last weekend&#8217;s face-to-face surveys, and shows Labor&#8217;s two-party lead down from 61.5-38.5 to 60.5-39.5. Labor&#8217;s primary vote is down a point to 50.5 per cent, and the Coalition&#8217;s is up 1.5 per cent to 34.5 per cent. On top of which:</p>
<p>&#8226; Silly Steve Fielding joined with the Coalition on Wednesday to vote down government electoral reforms that would tie public funding for election candidates to their electoral expenditure, lower the threshold for disclosure of donations to $1000 from $10,000 (which the Howard government used its Senate majority to jack it up to), ban foreign donations and anonymous donations of over $50, and require parties to disclose donations every six months rather than annually. The sticking point is Fielding&#8217;s insistence that the government also arbitrarily cap public funding to political parties at $10 million. The bill was reintroduced to the House yesterday.</p>
<p>&#8226; <a href="http://www.pmc.gov.au/consultation/elect_reform/submissions.cfm">Submissions have been published</a> in response to the federal government&#8217;s green paper on donations, funding and expenditure.</p>
<p>&#8226; Responding to mounting speculation she will take on Don Randall in <a href="http://www.pollbludger.com/fed2007/canning.htm">Canning</a> at the next federal election, senior Gallop/Carpenter government minister Alannah MacTiernan tells The West Australian: &#8220;It&#8217;s something that I&#8217;d consider but it&#8217;s far too early. The election is a long way away and it&#8217;s not something a decision can be made on until early next year.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8226; The South Australian Liberals have picked a new candidate for the state seat of <a href="http://www.pollbludger.com/sa2006/mawson.htm">Mawson</a> to replace former <a href="http://www.pollbludger.com/fed2007/kingston.htm">Kingston</a> MHR Kym Richardson, who was charged in December with <a href="http://www.news.com.au/adelaidenow/story/0,22606,24666895-2682,00.html?from=public_rss">attempting to pervert the course of justice</a> by impersonating a police officer. Matthew Donovan, described by the local Southern Times Messenger newspaper as a &#8220;self-employed importer and property developer&#8221;, won preselection ahead of Heidi Harris, adviser to Shadow Transport Minister Duncan McFetridge and unsuccessful candidate for federal preselection in <a href="http://www.pollbludger.com/fed2007/mayo.htm">Mayo</a>; Heidi Greaves, public servant, former Onkaparinga councillor and unsuccessful candidate for <a href="http://www.pollbludger.com/sa2006/elder.htm">Elder</a>; and Alana Sparrow, Housing Industry Association lawyer and former media adviser to Richardson.</p>
<p>&#8226; The Daily Telegraph reports that NSW Opposition Leader Barry O&#8217;Farrell &#8220;will hire a team of constitutional lawyers to explore recall provisions to end fixed four-year terms for incompetent governments&#8221;. This would involve provisions for the Governor to &#8220;sack a corrupt or useless government&#8221; if called on to do so by public petitions, presumably in a fashion similar to that which brought Arnold Schwarzenegger to power in California. <i>UPDATE: More from a skeptical <a href="http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,25180617-5013945,00.html">Imre Salusinszky at The Australian</a>.</i></p>
<p>&#8226; Chris Back this week took his place in the Senate, filling the vacancy created by the departure of Western Australian Liberal Chris Ellison.</p>
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		<slash:comments>1149</slash:comments>
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		<item>
		<title>Newspoll minus three days</title>
		<link>http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2008/11/22/newspoll-minus-three-days/</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2008/11/22/newspoll-minus-three-days/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 21 Nov 2008 15:17:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>William Bowe</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Federal Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Western Australian Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chris Back]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Newspoll]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/?p=2145</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Some tidbits to tide you over through the middle of an agonising week-long federal poll drought.
&#8226; Chris Back, who narrowly failed to unseat independent Alfred Cove MP Janet Woollard at the September 6 state election, has been nicely compensated with the Western Australian Senate vacancy created by the retirement of Chris Ellison. It was initially [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Some tidbits to tide you over through the middle of an agonising week-long federal poll drought.</p>
<p>&#8226; Chris Back, who narrowly failed to unseat independent <a href="http://www.pollbludger.com/wa2008/alfredcove.htm">Alfred Cove</a> MP Janet Woollard at the September 6 state election, has been nicely compensated with the Western Australian Senate vacancy created by the retirement of Chris Ellison. It was initially expected that the position would go to Deidre Willmott, who stood aside as candidate for <a href="http://www.pollbludger.com/wa2008/cottesloe.htm">Cottesloe</a> so Colin Barnett could cancel his retirement plans and lead his previously demoralised party to victory. However, Willmott withdrew from the race a few weeks ago when it became apparent she wouldn&#8217;t win, thereby continuing the state party&#8217;s sorry recent record on female representation. <a href="http://www.thewest.com.au/default.aspx?MenuID=77&amp;ContentID=108404">The West Australian</a> reports that Back won the preselection vote &#8220;on preferences from party treasurer Dean Smith and the pre-contest favourite, senior vice-president Anthony Jarvis&#8221;. It also informs us that Back was &#8220;the veterinarian who controversially did not swab champion racehorse <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Laurie_Connell">Rocket Racer</a> after he won the 1987 Perth Cup by 10 lengths&#8221;. Back has more recently  been &#8220;group managing executive of oil and gas company Equinox Energy&#8221;, but it&#8217;s &#8220;his role in the Rocket Racer affair which attracts the most attention&#8221;. Curious then that the paper didn&#8217;t say a single word about it prior to the state election.</p>
<p>&#8226; In case you missed it, George Megalogenis&#8217;s analysis of the grey vote in <a href="http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,24648832-5013404,00.html">The Australian</a> last week was essential reading like only Megalogenis number crunching can be.</p>
<p>&#8226; Courtesy of Possum comes a <a href="http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollytics/files/2008/11/nielsen-nov-2008.pdf">detailed breakdown of figures</a> from Monday&#8217;s federal ACNielsen poll. Possum also weighs in on under-publicised <a href="http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollytics/2008/11/19/nielsen-online-panel/">Nielsen online polling</a>.</p>
<p>&#8226; The recent Newspoll on <a href="http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/files/newspoll29oct.pdf">issue perceptions</a> inspired me to knock together the following chart based on its surveys going back to 1989. The chart averages the results for each year, in which time Newspoll usually publishes about three such surveys. Some issues are featured more frequently than others: immigration for instance is usually included once a year, so the spike to Labor in 2005 might not be all that meaningful. Note that &#8220;economy&#8221; wasn&#8217;t featured as a distinct category between 1991 and 2004.</p>
<p><a href="http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/files/2008/11/newspollissues89082.jpg"><img src="http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/files/2008/11/newspollissues89082.jpg" alt="" title="newspollissues89082" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-2174" /></a></p>
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		<slash:comments>223</slash:comments>
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