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	<title>The Poll Bludger &#187; daylight savings</title>
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	<link>http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger</link>
	<description>Reflections on the Miracle of Democracy at Work in the Greatest Nation on Earth</description>
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		<title>Westpoll: 52-48 to federal Labor in WA</title>
		<link>http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2009/04/15/westpoll-52-48-to-federal-labor-in-wa/</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2009/04/15/westpoll-52-48-to-federal-labor-in-wa/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 14 Apr 2009 18:51:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>William Bowe</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Federal Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[daylight savings]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[shopping hours]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Westpoll]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/?p=3102</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Today&#8217;s West Australian brings a Westpoll survey of 400 voters showing federal Labor with a two-party lead in the state of 52-48. This points to a swing of over 5 per cent compared with the 46.7-53.3 result at the 2007 election, which if uniform would net Labor Swan (which the Liberals won by 0.1 per [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Today&#8217;s West Australian brings a Westpoll survey of 400 voters showing federal Labor with a two-party lead in the state of 52-48. This points to a swing of over 5 per cent compared with the 46.7-53.3 result at the 2007 election, which if uniform would net Labor <a href="http://www.pollbludger.com/fed2007/swan.htm">Swan</a> (which the Liberals won by 0.1 per cent at the election, but it now has a 0.6 per cent Labor margin after the redistribution), <a href="http://www.pollbludger.com/fed2007/stirling.htm">Stirling</a> (1.2 per cent), <a href="http://www.pollbludger.com/fed2007/cowan.htm">Cowan</a> (1.2 per cent) and <a href="http://www.pollbludger.com/fed2007/canning.htm">Canning</a> (4.3 per cent), which rumour has it will be contested for Labor by senior Gallop-Carpenter government minister Alannah MacTiernan. The poll also shows 52 per cent of respondents rate Kevin Rudd best to handle the economy against 29 per cent for Malcolm Turnbull, compared with 44 per cent and 40 per cent in the October survey. However, Rudd&#8217;s 61-25 lead as preferred prime minister is slightly lower than in the February survey, when it was 63-22.</p>
<p>On Saturday, The West reported that this same survey showed 51 per cent planning to vote against daylight saving at the May 16 referendum against 47 per cent in favour. Yesterday it was reported that 60 per cent were in favour of allowing shops to open until 9pm on weeknights and all day on Sundays, which got the <a href="http://www.waec.wa.gov.au/elections/state_referendums/referendum_results/2005_Retail_Trading_Hours_Referendum/">thumbs down</a> at a referendum held in conjunction with the 2005 state election.</p>
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		<slash:comments>61</slash:comments>
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		<title>Newspoll: 58-42</title>
		<link>http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2009/04/06/newspoll-58-42-5/</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2009/04/06/newspoll-58-42-5/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 06 Apr 2009 12:37:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>William Bowe</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Federal Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Victorian politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Western Australian Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Clive Palmer]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Colin Barnett]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[daylight savings]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Essential Research]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[fixed terms]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Kororoit]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Les Twentyman]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nationals WA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Newspoll]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/?p=3038</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Australian reports Labor&#8217;s lead in the latest fortnightly Newspoll is up from 56-44 to 58-42. Kevin Rudd&#8217;s preferred prime minister rating is up two points to 67 per cent, and Malcolm Turnbull&#8217;s is down two to 18 per cent. More to follow.
UPDATE: Graphic here. Rudd has exchanged five points of disapproval (down to 21 [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,25300806-601,00.html">The Australian</a> reports Labor&#8217;s lead in the latest fortnightly Newspoll is up from 56-44 to 58-42. Kevin Rudd&#8217;s preferred prime minister rating is up two points to 67 per cent, and Malcolm Turnbull&#8217;s is down two to 18 per cent. More to follow.</p>
<p><i>UPDATE: Graphic <a href="http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/files/7apr-newspoll.html">here</a>. Rudd has exchanged five points of disapproval (down to 21 per cent) for five of approval (up to 68 per cent), while Turnbull&#8217;s disapproval exceeds his approval for the first time (42 per cent to 39 per cent). Also featured are questions on foreign ownership of Australian mineral companies (it&#8217;s bad).</i></p>
<p>Elsewhere:</p>
<p>&#8226; The weekly <a href="http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/files/2009/04/essential-report_060409.pdf">Essential Research survey</a> has Labor&#8217;s lead steady at 63-37. The other questions relate to Australia&#8217;s international relations, in particular Kevin Rudd&#8217;s handling thereof (67 per cent approve), the state of our relations with China and the United States, and the countries respondents feel &#8220;are most like Australians in their attitudes and the way they see the world&#8221;.</p>
<p>&#8226; Perth’s ABC TV news yesterday reported that litigious Queensland mining billionaire Clive Palmer plans to bankroll a campaign by the WA Nationals to win a Senate seat at the next federal election &#8211; something they haven’t succeeded in doing since 1975. No word on who the candidate might be. Former Deputy Premier Hendy Cowan didn’t have any luck in 2001, but he did have Graeme Campbell/One Nation to contend with on that occasion. Their subsequent efforts have been half-hearted.</p>
<p>&#8226; The <a href="http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2009/04/06/2536421.htm">ABC</a> reports the WA Nationals are insisting on a precisely fixed date for the state&#8217;s elections, contrary to Premier Colin Barnett&#8217;s policy of allowing flexibility in the timing of elections in February or March &#8220;in case of natural disasters&#8221;.</p>
<p>&#8226; In yet more Western Australian news, Antony Green has a page up on the state&#8217;s <a href="http://www.abc.net.au/elections/wa/2009/daylightsaving/">May 16 daylight savings referendum</a>. The Poll Bludger&#8217;s page on the concurrent Fremantle by-election is in business <a href="http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2009/04/03/fremantle-by-election-may-16/">here</a>.</p>
<p>&#8226; The Victorian Parliament&#8217;s Electoral Matters Committee will conduct an inquiry into whether the Electoral Act should be amended to expand the scope of the provision prohibiting misleading electoral material. At present this refers expressly to material &#8220;likely to mislead or deceive an elector in relation to the casting of the vote&#8221;, and is thus narrowly concerned with matters such as how-to-vote cards that deceive voters into backing the wrong party. The Victorian Electoral Commission rejected a complaint from independent <a href="http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2008/06/26/kororoit-by-election-preview/">Kororoit by-election</a> candidate Les Twentyman about a Labor pamphlet stating that &#8220;a vote for Les Twentyman is a vote for the Liberals&#8221;, but its <a href="http://www.vec.vic.gov.au/files/KororoitByElectionReport2008.pdf">report on the by-election</a> suggested parliament consider addressing &#8220;an undesirable trend for candidates to take advantage or build on community misunderstandings of preferential voting with confusing statements&#8221;.</p>
<p>&#8226; Ben Raue at the Tally Room has started an <a href="http://www.tallyroom.com.au/1039">election wiki</a>.</p>
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