Monday, November 16, 2009 – 10:23 pm
The Australian reports the latest Newspoll has Labor bouncing from last fortnight’s 52-48 quirk to 56-44. Interesting to note that Kevin Rudd’s personal ratings were unaffected by the upheaval: while the two-party rating went from 59-41 to 52-48 to 56-44, preferred prime minister went from 65-19 to 63-19 to 63-22. More to follow. Also:
• Essential [...]
Saturday, October 24, 2009 – 5:30 am
The federal redistribution of New South Wales has been completed, with a final determination that turns up fewer surprises than the recent effort in Queensland. Antony Green has as always given the new boundaries the once-over; all margins quoted herein are as calculated by him.
• The commissioners have responded to widespread criticism of the original [...]
By William Bowe
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Posted in Federal Redistributions, NSW Politics, Victorian politics
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Also tagged Arthur Sinodinos, Bankstown, Bob La Castra, Burwood, Cameron Thompson, Coogee, David Solly, Graham Watt, Greg Warren, Hajnal Ban, Hazem El Masri, John Murphy, Lakemba, Laurie Ferguson, Lowe, Macarthur, Michael Freelander, Miranda Devine, Nick Bleasdale, Pat Farmer, Paul Nunnari, Peter Dutton, Reid, Russell Matheson, Sally Loane, Steve Lawrence, Tony Stewart, Vaucluse, Wright
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Tuesday, October 20, 2009 – 12:12 am
The third Newspoll in consecutive weeks is another disaster for the Coalition, showing Labor’s lead widening still further despite the government’s recent discomfort over boat arrivals. Labor is now ahead 59-41 on two-party preferred, compared with 58-42 at both last week’s unusual poll and last fortnight’s usual one. Kevin Rudd’s preferred prime minister rating is [...]
By William Bowe
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Posted in Federal Politics, Tasmanian Politics
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Also tagged Denison, Elise Archer, Graeme Sturges, Jenny Stirling, Libby Connors, Malcolm Mackerras, Marti Zucco, Matt Stevenson, Michael Hodgman, Peter Dutton
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Saturday, October 17, 2009 – 6:23 am
Roy Morgan has simultaneously unloaded two sets of polling figures, as it does from time to time. The regular fortnightly face-to-face poll, conducted over the previous two weekends from a sample of 1684, has Labor’s lead nudging up to 60-40 compared with 59.5-40.5 at the previous such poll. Both major parties are down 1.5 per [...]
By William Bowe
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Posted in Federal Politics, Federal Redistributions, NSW Politics, SA politics
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Also tagged campaign finance, Dubbo, Dunkley, Electoral reform, Helen Constas, Morgan poll, Peter Dutton, Port Macquarie, primaries, redistributions, SA politics
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Sunday, September 13, 2009 – 11:55 pm
The latest monthly ACNielsen survey of 1400 respondents (conducted from Thursday to Saturday) shows Labor’s two-party lead down slightly from 56-44 to 55-45. This seems a fairly conservative return on the changes in the primary vote: Labor down two points to 44 per cent, the Coalition up two to 40 per cent. Malcolm Turnbull also [...]
By William Bowe
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Posted in Federal Politics, NSW Politics, South Australian Politics, Western Australian Politics
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Also tagged ACNielsen, Alan Carpenter, Blue Mountains, Daniel Tehan, Dave Kelly, David Hawker, Denison, Duncan Kerr, Electoral reform, Fiona McNamara, George Williams, Jonathan Jackson, McPherson, Peter Dutton, Phil Koperberg, Rebecca White, Stephen Mitchell, Wannon, Willagee
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Monday, August 24, 2009 – 10:38 pm
The Australian reports that the latest fortnightly Newspoll has Labor’s lead at 55-45, down from 57-43 at the previous two polls. Labor’s primary vote is down one point to 44 per cent and the Coalition’s is up one point to 38 per cent. Malcolm Turnbull’s approval rating is up four points to 30 per cent. [...]
By William Bowe
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Posted in Federal Politics, NSW Politics, SA politics, Tasmanian Politics, Victorian politics
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Also tagged Braddon, Brian Walters, Carmel Tebbutt, Dennis Jensen, Emma Henley, Frank Sartor, Glenn Piggott, Jenny Stirling, John Della Bosca, John Robertson, Karen Andrews, Ken Jasper, Kristina Keneally, Larissa Waters, Libby Connors, Matthew Ryan-Sykes, McPherson, Melbourne, Michael Hart, Murray valley, Nathan Rees, Newspoll, Paul O'Halloran, Peter Campbell, Peter Dutton, Queensland Senate, redistributions, Richard Stuckey, Rose Iser, Tammy Jennings, Tangney, Victorian Legislative Council
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Friday, August 14, 2009 – 7:39 pm
No Morgan poll on voting intention this week, although they do have a survey of 687 respondents on carbon emissions trading schemes. Apart from that:
• Paul Henderson’s Labor government has survived today’s no-confidence debate in the Northern Territory parliament, disappointing those hoping for a precedent-setting no-confidence motion and possibly an election to tide them over [...]
By William Bowe
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Posted in NSW Politics, NT Politics, Queensland Politics
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Also tagged Alison Anderson, Andrea Caltabiano, Barry O'Farrell, Brad Hazzard, Chatsworth, Cronulla, fixed terms, Gerry Wood, Gladys Berejiklian, Jillian Skinner, Malcolm Kerr, Margaret May, McPherson, Michael Baird, North Shore, Northern Territory politics, Peter Dutton, Steve Kilburn, Wakefield
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Saturday, July 25, 2009 – 11:49 am
The latest Morgan face-to-face survey (the accompanying spiel says telephone, but I believe this is a mistake) was conducted over the previous two weekends, and it shows no change worth mentioning on two-party preferred, with Labor’s lead down from 58-42 to 57.5-42.5. Both major parties have gained on the primary vote, Labor up 1.5 per [...]
By William Bowe
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Posted in Federal Politics, Victorian politics, Western Australian Politics
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Also tagged Alby Schultz, Annabel Dignance, Anthony Carbines, Arthur Sinodinos, Bathurst, Berowra, Bill Heffernan, Boothby, Bradfield, Craig Langdon, David Coleman, Dennis Jensen, Dubbo, Glenn Piggott, Hajnal Ban, Herbert, Higgins, Howard Worthing, Ivanhoe, Julian Leeser, Kelly O'Dwyer, Mia Handshin, Monaro, Morgan poll, Nathan Murphy, Noel McCoy, North West, NSW Senate, Paul Fletcher, Peter Dutton, Peter Lindsay, Philip Ruddock, Shaun Leane, Sturt, Tamworth, Tangney, Theo Theophanous, Tim Wilson, Tom Switzer, Vasko Nastevski, Victorian Legislative Council, Vince Catania, Wollondilly, Wright
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