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	<title>The Poll Bludger &#187; Jackie Kelly</title>
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	<description>Reflections on the Miracle of Democracy at Work in the Greatest Nation on Earth</description>
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		<title>Reuters Poll Trend: 56.6-43.4</title>
		<link>http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2009/05/21/reuters-poll-trend-566-434/</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2009/05/21/reuters-poll-trend-566-434/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 21 May 2009 06:18:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>William Bowe</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Federal Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Queensland Election 2009]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Queensland Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chatsworth]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gary Clark]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jackie Kelly]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Reuters Poll Trend]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Reuters Poll Trend is back in business, presumably resuming its old methods of providing a weighted aggregate of results from Newspoll, Morgan and ACNielsen. As such it tells us nothing we didn&#8217;t already know, but its trend line is a handy thing to have. The current finding combines three weeks of results and has Labor&#8217;s [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Reuters Poll Trend is <a href="http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/files/2009/05/reuters-poll-trend-may09_final.doc">back in business</a>, presumably resuming its old methods of providing a weighted aggregate of results from Newspoll, Morgan and ACNielsen. As such it tells us nothing we didn&#8217;t already know, but its trend line is a handy thing to have. The current finding combines three weeks of results and has Labor&#8217;s two-party lead at 56.6-43.4, down from 57.3-42.7 previously.</p>
<p>Couple of legal matters to attend to:</p>
<p>&#8226; A <a href="http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2009/05/19/2575351.htm">legal challenge</a> is proceeding against Labor&#8217;s 74-vote win in the seat of <a href="http://www.pollbludger.com/qld2009/chatsworth.htm">Chatsworth</a> at the March 21 Queensland election. The LNP cites incidents of double voting and a strong overall result for Labor on absent votes as evidence of fraud. I&#8217;ve got a hat waiting to be eaten if the challenge is upheld.</p>
<p>&#8226; Gary Clark, husband of the former <a href="http://www.pollbludger.com/fed2007/lindsay.htm">Lindsay</a> MP Jackie Kelly, has been given the maximum fine of $1100 and ordered to pay more than $2000 in costs for his role in the distribution of fake pamphlets purporting to be from the &#8220;Islamic Australia Federation&#8221; in the week before the federal election. The <a href="http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2009/05/19/2574605.htm">ABC</a> reports Magistrate Geoff Bradd aptly observing it was &#8220;difficult to think of a worst case of breaching the electoral act&#8221;, for which the penalties would seem to need strengthening.</p>
<p>&#8226; Note posts below on the latest state Newspoll results for Western Australia and South Australia.</p>
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