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	<title>The Poll Bludger &#187; NT Politics</title>
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	<description>Reflections on the Miracle of Democracy at Work in the Greatest Nation on Earth</description>
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		<title>Morgan: 59.5-40.5</title>
		<link>http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2008/11/28/morgan-595-405/</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2008/11/28/morgan-595-405/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 28 Nov 2008 03:35:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>William Bowe</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Federal Redistributions]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[General]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NT Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Queensland Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tasmanian Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[David Bartlett]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Morgan poll]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[The latest Morgan face-to-face poll has Labor&#8217;s lead at 59.5-40.5, up from 58.5-41.5 a fortnight ago. Primary votes are Labor 50.5 per cent (up 1.5), Coalition 35.5 (down 0.5) and Greens 7.5 (down 1). Elsewhere:
&#8226; The redistribution of Tasmania&#8217;s electoral boundaries has been finalised. Several amendments have been made from the original proposal, which you [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The latest <a href="http://www.roymorgan.com/news/polls/2008/4339/">Morgan face-to-face poll</a> has Labor&#8217;s lead at 59.5-40.5, up from 58.5-41.5 a fortnight ago. Primary votes are Labor 50.5 per cent (up 1.5), Coalition 35.5 (down 0.5) and Greens 7.5 (down 1). Elsewhere:</p>
<p>&#8226; The redistribution of Tasmania&#8217;s electoral boundaries has been finalised. Several amendments have been made from the <a href="http://www.aec.gov.au/Electorates/Redistributions/2008/tas/proposed_report/index.htm">original proposal</a>, which you can read about <a href="http://www.aec.gov.au/About_AEC/Media_releases/2008/11_28.htm">here</a>. <a href="http://blogs.abc.net.au/antonygreen/2008/08/draft-new-bound.html#more">Antony Green</a> calculates the new boundaries have increased Labor&#8217;s margin in <a href="http://www.pollbludger.com/fed2007/braddon">Braddon</a> from 1.4 per cent to 2.5 per cent, while reducing it in <a href="http://www.pollbludger.com/fed2007/denison">Denison</a> from 15.6 per cent to 15.3 per cent, <a href="http://www.pollbludger.com/fed2007/franklin">Franklin</a> from 4.5 per cent to 3.7 per cent and <a href="http://www.pollbludger.com/fed2007/lyons">Lyons</a> from 8.8 per cent to 8.4 per cent. <a href="http://www.pollbludger.com/fed2007/bass">Bass</a> remains at 1.0 per cent.</p>
<p>&#8226; A bill to introduce fixed terms was <a href="http://notes.nt.gov.au/lant/hansard/hansardd.nsf/WebbySubject/7CAFA971D3F10CB76925750E00038E94?opendocument">introduced to the Northern Territory parliament</a> on Wednesday. David Bartlett says <a href="http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2008/11/17/2421976.htm">similar legislation</a> will be introduced in Tasmania next year, confirming the next election will be held on March 20, 2010 and setting up an ongoing clash with South Australia&#8217;s elections (to <a href="http://blogs.abc.net.au/antonygreen/2008/11/reprise-fixed-t.html">Antony Green</a>&#8217;s dismay). I&#8217;ll have much more to say on fixed four-year terms next week.</p>
<p>&#8226; Tomorrow is Victorian local government election day, which in most cases means today is the last day for submission of postal votes. Read and comment about it <a href="http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2008/11/15/victorian-council-elections-november-29/">here</a>. <a href="http://tallyroom.wordpress.com/2008/11/25/victorian-local-government-election/">Ben Raue at The Tally Room</a> has council and ward map files for viewing in Google Earth.</p>
<p>&#8226; In Queensland, poll-driven decisions on <a href="http://news.theage.com.au/national/bligh-signals-backflips-on-water-dam-20081125-6gly.html">water policy</a> are being seen as a harbinger of an early election.</p>
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