Saturday, October 24, 2009 – 5:30 am
The federal redistribution of New South Wales has been completed, with a final determination that turns up fewer surprises than the recent effort in Queensland. Antony Green has as always given the new boundaries the once-over; all margins quoted herein are as calculated by him.
• The commissioners have responded to widespread criticism of the original [...]
By William Bowe
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Posted in Federal Redistributions, NSW Politics, Victorian politics
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Also tagged Arthur Sinodinos, Bankstown, Bob La Castra, Burwood, Cameron Thompson, Coogee, David Solly, Dickson, Graham Watt, Greg Warren, Hajnal Ban, Hazem El Masri, John Murphy, Lakemba, Laurie Ferguson, Lowe, Macarthur, Michael Freelander, Miranda Devine, Nick Bleasdale, Pat Farmer, Paul Nunnari, Reid, Russell Matheson, Sally Loane, Steve Lawrence, Tony Stewart, Vaucluse, Wright
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Tuesday, October 20, 2009 – 12:12 am
The third Newspoll in consecutive weeks is another disaster for the Coalition, showing Labor’s lead widening still further despite the government’s recent discomfort over boat arrivals. Labor is now ahead 59-41 on two-party preferred, compared with 58-42 at both last week’s unusual poll and last fortnight’s usual one. Kevin Rudd’s preferred prime minister rating is [...]
By William Bowe
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Posted in Federal Politics, Tasmanian Politics
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Also tagged Denison, Dickson, Elise Archer, Graeme Sturges, Jenny Stirling, Libby Connors, Malcolm Mackerras, Marti Zucco, Matt Stevenson, Michael Hodgman
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Saturday, October 17, 2009 – 6:23 am
Roy Morgan has simultaneously unloaded two sets of polling figures, as it does from time to time. The regular fortnightly face-to-face poll, conducted over the previous two weekends from a sample of 1684, has Labor’s lead nudging up to 60-40 compared with 59.5-40.5 at the previous such poll. Both major parties are down 1.5 per [...]
By William Bowe
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Posted in Federal Politics, Federal Redistributions, NSW Politics, SA politics
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Also tagged campaign finance, Dickson, Dubbo, Dunkley, Electoral reform, Helen Constas, Morgan poll, Port Macquarie, primaries, redistributions, SA politics
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Tuesday, October 6, 2009 – 12:31 am
After three successive 55-45 results, the latest fortnightly Newspoll returns the Coalition to its lowest ebb, with Labor leading 58-42. This hasn’t been matched by any seismic shift on the preferred prime minister rating: Kevin Rudd is up two points to 67 per cent, but Malcolm Turnbull is also up one to 18 per cent. [...]
By William Bowe
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Posted in Federal Politics, NSW Politics
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Also tagged Alex Somlyay, Bob McMullan, Fairfax, Fisher, Fraser, George Williams, Karen Andrews, McPherson, Minna Knight, Peter Draper, Peter Slipper, Russell Webb, Tamworth, Wright
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Friday, October 2, 2009 – 4:29 pm
The latest Roy Morgan survey (two fortnights of face-to-face polling with a sample of 1129) has Labor’s two-party lead down from 62-38 to 59.5-40.5. Labor’s primary vote is down half a point to 51 per cent, the Coalition are up a solid three to 35.5 per cent and the Greens are down two to 7.5 [...]
By William Bowe
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Posted in Federal Politics, NSW Politics, Victorian politics
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Also tagged Adam Bandt, Bass, Blue Mountains, Bob Debus, Chifley, David Bradbury, double dissolutions, Geoff Lyons, Greenway, Jodie Campbell, John Falzon, Karen Andrews, Kathleen Maltzahn, Kerry Bartlett, Lindsay, Liz Ellis, Louise Markus, Macquarie, McPherson, Melbourne, Minna Knight, Phil Koperberg, Richmond, Roger Price
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Monday, September 28, 2009 – 9:32 pm
The latest Essential Research survey has Labor’s two-party lead at 59-41, up from 58-42 last week. Also featured are approval ratings for the Prime Minister and Opposition Leader (both up solidly from six weeks ago), respondents’ self-perceptions of their employment and salary outlooks, Kim Beazley’s appointment as ambassador to the United States (54 per cent [...]
By William Bowe
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Posted in Federal Politics, NSW Politics, Tasmanian Politics
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Also tagged Bart Bassett, Bass, Bennelong, Berowra, Bill Heffernan, Bruce Notley-Smith, Connie Fierravanti-Wells, Coogee, David Compton, David Miles, Fiona Nash, Franklin, Geoff Lyons, Jacquie Petrusma, Jann Stuckey, Jillian Law, Jodie Campbell, John Alexander, Karen Andrews, Londonderry, Mark Sheridan, McPherson, Menai, Michael Hart, Minna Knight, Noel McCoy, NSW Senate, Philip Ruddock, Richard Stuckey, Tony Mulder, Wayne Black
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Saturday, September 26, 2009 – 3:27 am
Wherein the Poll Bludger celebrates the grand final weekend by doing what it always does. No Morgan poll this week, but they do inform us that St Kilda supporters are slightly less likely to practise yoga than normal people. Not only but also:
• Today’s the big day for the Liberal Party’s preselection in Bradfield. Read [...]
By William Bowe
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Posted in Federal Politics, NSW Politics, Victorian politics
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Also tagged Andrew Katos, Burwood, Camden, Chris Patterson, David Solly, Graham Watt, Greenway, Karen Andrews, Kerry Bartlett, Louise Markus, Macarthur, Macquarie, Margaret May, McPherson, Michael Hart, Pat Farmer, Richard Stuckey, Ron Humphrey, South Barwon, Stephen Lawrence, Tony Le Deux
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Sunday, September 13, 2009 – 11:55 pm
The latest monthly ACNielsen survey of 1400 respondents (conducted from Thursday to Saturday) shows Labor’s two-party lead down slightly from 56-44 to 55-45. This seems a fairly conservative return on the changes in the primary vote: Labor down two points to 44 per cent, the Coalition up two to 40 per cent. Malcolm Turnbull also [...]
By William Bowe
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Posted in Federal Politics, NSW Politics, South Australian Politics, Western Australian Politics
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Also tagged ACNielsen, Alan Carpenter, Blue Mountains, Daniel Tehan, Dave Kelly, David Hawker, Denison, Dickson, Duncan Kerr, Electoral reform, Fiona McNamara, George Williams, Jonathan Jackson, McPherson, Phil Koperberg, Rebecca White, Stephen Mitchell, Wannon, Willagee
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Monday, August 24, 2009 – 10:38 pm
The Australian reports that the latest fortnightly Newspoll has Labor’s lead at 55-45, down from 57-43 at the previous two polls. Labor’s primary vote is down one point to 44 per cent and the Coalition’s is up one point to 38 per cent. Malcolm Turnbull’s approval rating is up four points to 30 per cent. [...]
By William Bowe
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Posted in Federal Politics, NSW Politics, SA politics, Tasmanian Politics, Victorian politics
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Also tagged Braddon, Brian Walters, Carmel Tebbutt, Dennis Jensen, Dickson, Emma Henley, Frank Sartor, Glenn Piggott, Jenny Stirling, John Della Bosca, John Robertson, Karen Andrews, Ken Jasper, Kristina Keneally, Larissa Waters, Libby Connors, Matthew Ryan-Sykes, McPherson, Melbourne, Michael Hart, Murray valley, Nathan Rees, Newspoll, Paul O'Halloran, Peter Campbell, Queensland Senate, redistributions, Richard Stuckey, Rose Iser, Tammy Jennings, Tangney, Victorian Legislative Council
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Friday, August 14, 2009 – 7:39 pm
No Morgan poll on voting intention this week, although they do have a survey of 687 respondents on carbon emissions trading schemes. Apart from that:
• Paul Henderson’s Labor government has survived today’s no-confidence debate in the Northern Territory parliament, disappointing those hoping for a precedent-setting no-confidence motion and possibly an election to tide them over [...]
By William Bowe
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Posted in NSW Politics, NT Politics, Queensland Politics
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Also tagged Alison Anderson, Andrea Caltabiano, Barry O'Farrell, Brad Hazzard, Chatsworth, Cronulla, Dickson, fixed terms, Gerry Wood, Gladys Berejiklian, Jillian Skinner, Malcolm Kerr, Margaret May, McPherson, Michael Baird, North Shore, Northern Territory politics, Steve Kilburn, Wakefield
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