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	<title>The Poll Bludger &#187; Steve Fielding</title>
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	<description>Reflections on the Miracle of Democracy at Work in the Greatest Nation on Earth</description>
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		<title>Essential Research: 58-42</title>
		<link>http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2009/03/17/essential-research-58-42-5/</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2009/03/17/essential-research-58-42-5/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 16 Mar 2009 15:26:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>William Bowe</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Federal Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Daryl Melham]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Essential Research]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[political donations]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[redistributions]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Steve Fielding]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/?p=2958</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The latest weekly Essential Research has Labor&#8217;s lead at 58-42, down from 60-40 last week and 62-38 the week before. Also featured are yet more questions on the global financial crisis and one on the recent activities of Peter Costello, of which most respondents take a dim view. Also:
&#8226; The government&#8217;s second go at the [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The latest weekly <a href="http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/files/2009/03/essential-report_160309.pdf">Essential Research</a> has Labor&#8217;s lead at 58-42, down from 60-40 last week and 62-38 the week before. Also featured are yet more questions on the global financial crisis and one on the recent activities of Peter Costello, of which most respondents take a dim view. Also:</p>
<p>&#8226; The government&#8217;s second go at the Commonwealth Electoral Amendment (Political Donations and Other Measures) Bill passed the House of Representatives yesterday. Daryl Melham, Labor&#8217;s member for <a href="http://www.pollbludger.com/fed2007/banks.htm">Banks</a> and chair of the Joint Standing Committee on Electoral Matters, had some <a href="http://www.abc.net.au/pm/content/2008/s2517653.htm">harsh words</a> during the debate for Family First Senator Steve Fielding, who joined with the Coalition to reject the earlier version of the bill in the Senate last week.</p>
<p>&#8226; The <a href="http://www.aec.gov.au/pdf/redistributions/2008/tas/final/2009-final-report-redistribution-tasmania.pdf">redistribution of Tasmanian electorates</a> (which uniquely applies to both federal and state elections) has been finalised, with only minor amendments to the boundaries as originally proposed. These have very slightly weakened Labor&#8217;s position in both <a href="http://www.pollbludger.com/fed2007/braddon.htm">Braddon</a> and <a href="http://www.pollbludger.com/fed2007/franklin.htm">Franklin</a>. More from <a href="http://blogs.abc.net.au/antonygreen/2009/03/final-electoral.html">Antony Green</a>.</p>
<p>&#8226; The Electoral Commissioner has <a href="http://www.aec.gov.au/About_AEC/Media_releases/2009/03_16.htm">determined quotas</a> for Queensland and New South Wales, the first stage in the redistributions that will give a new seat to the first at the expense of the second.</p>
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		<slash:comments>1741</slash:comments>
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		<title>Morgan: 60.5-39.5</title>
		<link>http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2009/03/13/morgan-605-395-4/</link>
		<comments>http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2009/03/13/morgan-605-395-4/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 13 Mar 2009 04:30:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>William Bowe</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Federal Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NSW Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SA politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Alannah MacTiernan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Barry O'Farrell]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Canning]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chris Back]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chris Ellison]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Don Randall]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Glenn Sterle]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Kym Richardson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Matthew Donovan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mawson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Morgan poll]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[political donations]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Steve Fielding]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/?p=2949</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Morgan&#8217;s latest polling release covers 955 respondents from last weekend&#8217;s face-to-face surveys, and shows Labor&#8217;s two-party lead down from 61.5-38.5 to 60.5-39.5. Labor&#8217;s primary vote is down a point to 50.5 per cent, and the Coalition&#8217;s is up 1.5 per cent to 34.5 per cent. On top of which:
&#8226; Silly Steve Fielding joined with the [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Morgan&#8217;s <a href="http://www.roymorgan.com/news/polls/2009/4364/">latest polling release</a> covers 955 respondents from last weekend&#8217;s face-to-face surveys, and shows Labor&#8217;s two-party lead down from 61.5-38.5 to 60.5-39.5. Labor&#8217;s primary vote is down a point to 50.5 per cent, and the Coalition&#8217;s is up 1.5 per cent to 34.5 per cent. On top of which:</p>
<p>&#8226; Silly Steve Fielding joined with the Coalition on Wednesday to vote down government electoral reforms that would tie public funding for election candidates to their electoral expenditure, lower the threshold for disclosure of donations to $1000 from $10,000 (which the Howard government used its Senate majority to jack it up to), ban foreign donations and anonymous donations of over $50, and require parties to disclose donations every six months rather than annually. The sticking point is Fielding&#8217;s insistence that the government also arbitrarily cap public funding to political parties at $10 million. The bill was reintroduced to the House yesterday.</p>
<p>&#8226; <a href="http://www.pmc.gov.au/consultation/elect_reform/submissions.cfm">Submissions have been published</a> in response to the federal government&#8217;s green paper on donations, funding and expenditure.</p>
<p>&#8226; Responding to mounting speculation she will take on Don Randall in <a href="http://www.pollbludger.com/fed2007/canning.htm">Canning</a> at the next federal election, senior Gallop/Carpenter government minister Alannah MacTiernan tells The West Australian: &#8220;It&#8217;s something that I&#8217;d consider but it&#8217;s far too early. The election is a long way away and it&#8217;s not something a decision can be made on until early next year.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8226; The South Australian Liberals have picked a new candidate for the state seat of <a href="http://www.pollbludger.com/sa2006/mawson.htm">Mawson</a> to replace former <a href="http://www.pollbludger.com/fed2007/kingston.htm">Kingston</a> MHR Kym Richardson, who was charged in December with <a href="http://www.news.com.au/adelaidenow/story/0,22606,24666895-2682,00.html?from=public_rss">attempting to pervert the course of justice</a> by impersonating a police officer. Matthew Donovan, described by the local Southern Times Messenger newspaper as a &#8220;self-employed importer and property developer&#8221;, won preselection ahead of Heidi Harris, adviser to Shadow Transport Minister Duncan McFetridge and unsuccessful candidate for federal preselection in <a href="http://www.pollbludger.com/fed2007/mayo.htm">Mayo</a>; Heidi Greaves, public servant, former Onkaparinga councillor and unsuccessful candidate for <a href="http://www.pollbludger.com/sa2006/elder.htm">Elder</a>; and Alana Sparrow, Housing Industry Association lawyer and former media adviser to Richardson.</p>
<p>&#8226; The Daily Telegraph reports that NSW Opposition Leader Barry O&#8217;Farrell &#8220;will hire a team of constitutional lawyers to explore recall provisions to end fixed four-year terms for incompetent governments&#8221;. This would involve provisions for the Governor to &#8220;sack a corrupt or useless government&#8221; if called on to do so by public petitions, presumably in a fashion similar to that which brought Arnold Schwarzenegger to power in California. <i>UPDATE: More from a skeptical <a href="http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,25180617-5013945,00.html">Imre Salusinszky at The Australian</a>.</i></p>
<p>&#8226; Chris Back this week took his place in the Senate, filling the vacancy created by the departure of Western Australian Liberal Chris Ellison.</p>
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