Wednesday, August 12, 2009 – 9:46 pm
Hot on the heels of their Pembroke by-election win, the latest EMRS poll provides a further shot in the arm for the Tasmanian Liberals. The survey of 864 voters finds them ahead of Labor for the first time since David Bartlett replaced Paul Lennon as Premier in May 2008. The Liberals are up five points [...]
Friday, July 31, 2009 – 11:20 pm
No Morgan poll this week, but the past week’s tide of political shenanigans and skulduggery can be held back no longer:
• The by-election for the Tasmanian upper house district for Pembroke will
be held tomorrow, which in partisan terms is the most interesting such contest for many a long year. Labor will not attempt to retain [...]
By William Bowe
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Posted in Federal Politics, NT Politics, Tasmanian Politics, US Presidential Election 2008, Victorian politics
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Also tagged Alex Hawke, Alison Anderson, Alister Jordan, Andrew Abercrombie, Annette Ellis, Berowra, Bob McMullan, Brian Walters, Bruce Poon, Canberra, Cook, David Clarke, Delia Lawrie, Fraser, George Williams, Gerry McCarthy, Gerry Wood, Greg Smith, Higgins, Honey Bacon, James Crotty, Jamie Snashall, Jen Alden, John Rawnsley, Karl Hampton, Kelly O'Dwyer, Les Twentyman, Macdonnell, Malarndirri McCarthy, Marie Ficarra, Melbourne, Michael Cooney, Nick Campbell, Noel McCoy, Northern Territory politics, Pembroke, Philip Ruddock, Rose Iser, Scott Morrison, Tasmanian Legislative Council, Vanessa Goodwin
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Monday, July 27, 2009 – 10:26 pm
From Peter Brent at Mumble comes news that the latest fortnightly Newspoll has Labor’s two-party lead at 57-43 – up from 55-45 last time – with Labor’s primary vote on 46 per cent (up three), the Coalition on 38 per cent (down one) and the Greens on 9 per cent (down two). More to follow. [...]
By William Bowe
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Posted in Federal Politics, SA politics, Tasmanian Politics, Victorian politics
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Also tagged Andrew Katos, Bass, Brant Webb, Brian Wightman, Electoral reform, Essential Research, Kathryn Hay, Kororoit, Michelle Cripps, Michelle O'Byrne, Newspoll, Rob Soward, Ron Humphrey, Royal Adelaide Hospital, SA politics, Scott McLean, South Barwon, Theo Theophanous, Victorian politics, Wentworth
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Wednesday, July 1, 2009 – 2:12 am
Friday, July 31
Tune in tomorrow for the usual live coverage of the count. Michael Stedman of The Mercury has a thorough round-up of the campaign and candidates; Kevin Bonham and Peter Tucker have added a sequel to their earlier overview; and Tucker offers a few more cents’ worth at his own Tasmanian Politics site. [...]
Monday, May 25, 2009 – 7:58 pm
The latest weekly Essential Research survey has Labor’s two-party lead narrowing from 62-38 to 59-41. There are also interesting breakdowns on attitudes to the budget and the retirement age by employment and self-identified social class: office workers think the higher retirement age fair, tradesmen and manual labourers very much the opposite, while class reaction to [...]
By William Bowe
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Posted in Federal Politics, Tasmanian Politics, Victorian politics
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Also tagged Brimbank City Council, Dennis Jensen, Essential Research, fixed terms, Franklin, George Seitz, Glenn Piggott, Kate Churchill, Keilor, Kororoit, Libby Lyons, Matt Brown, mini-redistributions, Peter Costello, Tangney, Victorian politics
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Friday, May 22, 2009 – 3:13 pm
Unpredictable Roy Morgan has unloaded two very different sets of poll results: one using its usual face-to-face methodology, but based on one week’s sample rather than the recently more usual two, and the other a phone poll in which respondents were also asked about leadership preference, contrary to normal Morgan practice. The face-to-face poll is [...]
Wednesday, May 13, 2009 – 5:22 pm
The latest quarterly EMRS survey of 1000 Tasmanian voters shows no radical change in state voting intention since February, with Labor’s lead after distribution of the undecided up a point to 43 per cent, the Liberals steady on 36 per cent and the Greens down two to 17 per cent. There are also breakdowns by [...]
Thursday, February 19, 2009 – 12:39 am
So much going on at the moment that it can’t wait for the next opinion poll post:
• Brendan Nelson’s announcement he will vacate his blue-ribbon northern Sydney seat of Bradfield at the next election could initiate another of the classic preselection clashes for the NSW branch of the Liberal Party has become justly famous in [...]
By William Bowe
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Posted in Federal Politics, Queensland Politics, Tasmanian Periodical Elections, Tasmanian Politics, Western Australian Politics
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Also tagged Adrienne Ryan, Alan Carpenter, Alister Henskens, Antony Green, Arthur Sinodinos, Bradfield, Brendan Nelson, Cameron Dick, Dave Kelly, David Elliott, Derwent, Fremantle, Gary Fenlon, Geoff Selig, Janet Albrechtsen, Jim McGinty, Mandy Johnstone, Michael Aird, Mike Reynolds, Paul Blanch, Peter Tagliaferri, preselection, Queensland Politics, redistributions, Tasmanian Periodical Elections, Tom Switzer, Tony Mooney, WA politics, Warren Pitt, Willagee
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Monday, February 16, 2009 – 5:10 pm
The latest weekly Essential Research survey has Labor’s two-party lead steady on 61-39. As promised, there is also voluminous material on attitudes to the economy and stimulus package:
• 62 per cent are “concerned” about job security over the coming year, although 60 per cent are “confident” Australia can withstand the crisis.
• The opposition’s approve-disapprove split [...]
By William Bowe
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Posted in Federal Politics, NSW Politics, Tasmanian Politics, Western Australian Politics
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Also tagged Bass, David Bartlett, Essential Research, Fremantle, Jim McGinty, Joe Hockey, Josh Frydenberg, Kevin Rudd, Kooyong, Malcolm Turnbull, Peter Costello, Peter Debnam, Peter Tagliaferri, Richard Alston, Scott McLean, stimulus package, Vaucluse
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Friday, February 13, 2009 – 12:53 pm
The latest Tasmanian state poll from EMRS has Labor at 42 per cent (up two from November), the Liberals at 36 per cent (up one) and the Greens at 19 per cent (down four). David Bartlett’s preferred premier rating is up four to 41 per cent, while Will Hodgman is steady on 29 [...]