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Tag Archives: WA politics

Newspoll: 55-45 to Coalition in WA

Thanks to Possum for alerting me to more strange behaviour from Newspoll, in this case the first set of state results since last September’s state election which they have snuck on to their polling archive without telling anyone. It shows the Coalition with a relatively mild honeymoon lead of 55-45 on two-party preferred, although the [...]

Fremantle by-election: May 16

This post is being progressively updated to follow events in the campaign for the May 16 by-election in the Western Australian state seat of Fremantle.
Wednesday, May 6
Last night’s by-election forum at Notre Dame University saw a crowd of several hundred assemble to observe and interrogate 10 of the 11 candidates, independent Rosemary Anne Lorrimar having [...]

Morgan: 59.5-40.5

Not exactly hot off the presses with this one, but Friday’s poll from Roy Morgan (who seem to have returned to their weekly polling habits of old) has Labor’s two-party lead at 59.5-40.5 compared with 60-40 the previous week. The primary vote movements are bigger than you would expect from this: Labor is down 2.5 [...]

Action-packed mid-week stop-gap thread

So much going on at the moment that it can’t wait for the next opinion poll post:
• Brendan Nelson’s announcement he will vacate his blue-ribbon northern Sydney seat of Bradfield at the next election could initiate another of the classic preselection clashes for the NSW branch of the Liberal Party has become justly famous in [...]

Morgan: 59.5-40.5

Morgan’s latest fortnightly face-to-face poll shows a one point narrowing in the two-party gap from 60-40 to 59.5-40.5. Labor is down one point on the primary vote to 50.5 per cent while the Coalition is up one to 36 per cent. Elsewhere:
• Not sure how much of this is news, but there’s a lot of [...]

Westpoll: 56-44 to Liberal in WA

The West Australian reports the latest Westpoll survey of 400 voters has the state Liberals leading 56-44 on two-party preferred, up from 55-45 in early December. A question on preferred Labor leader predictably has Alannah MacTiernan in front with 26 per cent, ahead of Mark McGowan on 16 per cent, Michelle Roberts and incumbent Eric [...]

Wisdom after the event

The Western Australian branch of the ALP has posted an expurgated version of a report conducted by former Senator Robert Ray into its recent state election defeat. The highlights for mine are as follows:
• Ray cites various elections over the past year-and-a-bit to observe that the advantages of incumbency are clearly not what they used [...]

Westpoll: 57-43 to Liberal in WA

Today’s West Australian carries a Westpoll survey of 400 voters which shows Colin Barnett’s newly elected Liberal government with a 57-43 lead over the Labor opposition. Barnett is rated preferred premier by 57 per cent of respondents against 16 per cent for the new Labor leader, former Treasurer Eric Ripper. The West also reports that [...]

Wild west wash-up

Upper house results from the Western Australian election are coming through this afternoon, and we will also have Premier-elect Colin Barnett announce his new cabinet. The first upper house result comes from Mining and Pastoral, which has gone two Labor (Jon Ford and Helen Bullock), two Liberal (Norman Moore and Ken Baston), one Nationals (Wendy [...]