Politics, elections and piffle plinking

Nelson Plays Poker

Below is Nelson’s media release on calling for a leadership spill tomorrow morning.

LEADER OF THE OPPOSITION

THE HON. DR BRENDAN NELSON MP

THE FEDERAL LIBERAL PARTY: MOVING TO THE NEXT PHASE

Tomorrow morning, I will be declaring the leadership of the Federal Parliamentary Liberal Party vacant.

I will be a candidate.

If I am re-endorsed as leader, I will remain absolutely determined and committed to the future of our Party and Australia.

But as we move forward, I am asking our Party to draw a line in the sand and mark a transition – from the difficult aftermath of an election defeat to the building and presentation of a credible, attractive and inspiring alternative government.

In doing so, we will make a renewed commitment to unity and discipline, to focus less on internal preoccupations and more on the Rudd Government, policy and the important issues concerning everyday Australians.

Millions of Australians are counting on us – to hold the Government to account and provide Australians with a credible, attractive and inspiring alternative.

I am asking my colleagues to make a renewed commitment to do just that.

——————————–

The phones will be running hot in Tory Town tonight.

More later….

UPDATE:

Some might be tempted to think that it was the full moon responsible for the Nelson lunacy, but by calling for a leadership spill tomorrow morning, Nelson controlled the one thing, the only thing that he really had control of when it came to the inevitable challenge – he controlled the timing.

Catching everyone off guard, particularly Turnbull – having just flown in from his overseas jaunt – he has, if nothing else, at least put himself on the front foot. No one seems to know who has the numbers, there’s too many undecideds and waverers for each camp, so by pulling the trigger and going early he has forced a great big chunk of his party room to make up their mind, and make it up now. It’s high risk, but by controlling the timing of the spill Nelson has prevented Turnbull from being able to slowly build momentum in the party room over the next month or two, momentum that would have guaranteed Nelson defeat.

So Nelson at least has a fighting chance, or at least a greater chance than he would have had were he to let Turnbull control the timing. The power of the status quo, the power of leadership incumbency in the Liberal party is nothing to sneeze at – he’s hoping that it, combined with the hostility to Turnbull in some party quarters will be just enough to get him through tomorrow as the victor. Nelson’s actions look pretty sharp considering the alternatives he had available.

And Costello? After spending the last few months damaging the Liberal party with his petulance simply to promote his memoirs, he gets his book launch swept from the front pages, with column inches that would ordinarily be all about his memoirs instead turning to the fallout of a leadership spill that his actions may well have contributed to.

UPDATE 2.

Sportingbet is running odds! As of 9:50pm, Nelson is on $1.70 and Turnbull’s on $2.05.

Although why Ian MacFarlane is an option at $34 is a mystery. It’s the closest he’ll ever get to being leader!

Elsewhere: Pollbludger and Larvatus Prodeo and Surdom and Duckpond and Hoyden About Town

13 Comments

  1. 1
    Muskiemp
    Posted September 15, 2008 at 7:36 pm | Permalink

    That was quick possum. Fun for all….Bing it on.

  2. 2
    Spam Inbox
    Posted September 15, 2008 at 7:46 pm | Permalink

    I wonder what their up to now?

  3. 3
    Cuppa
    Posted September 15, 2008 at 7:51 pm | Permalink

    presentation of a credible, attractive and inspiring alternative government

    So … a party of IR extremists, with a record of policy that deliberately destroyed Australians and Australians’ livelihoods … is “credible, attractive and inspiring”?

    In their dreams.

    Different leader, same old mob of malicious anti-employee misfits.

  4. 4
    Posted September 15, 2008 at 8:01 pm | Permalink

    ...] Press release at Pollytics; Talk at Larvatus Prodeo and The Poll Bludger;  Breakfast, lunch and dinner at [...

  5. 5
    Generic Person
    Posted September 15, 2008 at 8:27 pm | Permalink

    No 3

    Cuppa, that is dishonest and you bloody well know it.

    Australians are worse off now than they were in 2007.

  6. 6
    Cuppa
    Posted September 15, 2008 at 8:49 pm | Permalink

    WorkChoices was a deliberate and premeditated attack on the pay, conditions and job security of employees. The cabinet knew workers would be worse off, and they went ahead in this full knowledge.

  7. 7
    Posted September 15, 2008 at 8:49 pm | Permalink

    GP No 5

    Nothing to do with global credit crisis I take it?

    Nothing further to do with inflationary howard/Costello spending last few years?

  8. 8
    Generic Person
    Posted September 15, 2008 at 9:11 pm | Permalink

    No 6

    Absolute rubbish.

  9. 9
    Cuppa
    Posted September 15, 2008 at 9:19 pm | Permalink

    Generic Person

    You should cease with the accusations of “dishonest” (no 5) and “absolute rubbish” (8).

    Just because you may find the facts embarrassing (or whatever) does not mean you should impugn the messenger. Especially given your own claim of “dishonesty” is, at best wrong, at worst dishonest in itself.

    The Age, 22 July 2007:

    John Winston Howard: The Biography, by academics Wayne Errington and Peter van Onselen, says cabinet members who approved the introduction of the laws in 2005 knew some workers would be disadvantaged.

    However, the Prime Minister ruled out further changes because he was keen to have the legislation passed. Mr Howard wanted the laws bedded down well before this year's election.

    http://www.theage.com.au/news/national/cabinet-knew-there-would-be-losers-at-work/2007/07/21/1184560109129.html

  10. 10
    Posted September 15, 2008 at 9:46 pm | Permalink

    Some comments have been binned. This argument will go nowhere.

  11. 11
    Grumps
    Posted September 15, 2008 at 10:05 pm | Permalink

    Poss,

    Good note on the Night Watchman’s ultimatium to the party. As you say timing is critical and if he has got it right Aqua Boy has been caught flat footed; those pesky memoirs of the “could have been” lose their appeal to a press gallery whose attention span is shorter than a goldfish.

    I know we have talked about the Night Watchmen sacrificing himself to lead and regroup the party (like beazely prior to rudd), but maybe the NW has hit on a formula to focus a rabble that still thinks it is in power, but more importantly center debate where the liberals need to be to start shifting those magic polls.

    Not wishing to eat my hat (I ain’t got one) if I am wrong, but I for one would be prepard to sat that if NW gets this right I think he will take the liberals to the next election. If he gets real lucky he maybe able to shift some of the deadwood that has survuved by sucking up to the Rodent for years and start rebuilding from fresh talent.

    A bold step from a pretty colourless character. I looove a gambler prepared to bet it all on one throw. (I bloody well wouldn’t)

  12. 12
    Posted September 16, 2008 at 12:12 am | Permalink

    ...] Possum admires the Admiral’s fighting qualities and strategy: Catching everyone off guard, particularly Turnbull – having just flown in from his overseas jaunt – he has, if nothing else, at least put himself on the front foot. No one seems to know who has the numbers, there’s too many undecideds and waverers for each camp, so by pulling the trigger and going early he has forced a great big chunk of his party room to make up their mind, and make it up now. It’s high risk, but by controlling the timing of the spill Nelson has prevented Turnbull from being able to slowly build momentum in the party room over the next month or two, momentum that would have guaranteed Nelson defeat. [...

  13. 13
    JP
    Posted September 16, 2008 at 12:26 am | Permalink

    I hope Nelson wins. That would be delicious.

    And GP @ 5: I’m better off than I was in 2007. Sorry to hear things aren’t so good for you ;)

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