Comments on: What Size a Turnbull Poll Bounce? Win a Crikey Sub

By: fredn

fredn — Sun, 21 Sep 2008 00:59:57 +0000

The liberal party is still in a mess.

ALP 54-46 TPP
Coalition Primary 39
ALP Primary 45
Turnbull PPM 29
Rudd PPM 57
Undecided 14

By: David Richards

David Richards — Sat, 20 Sep 2008 11:06:29 +0000

Long, Long ago (well, just today actually), in a Galaxy Poll not so far away….

Not even a dead-cat, more like a lead balloon.

Plan C, are you still there? Now that the book has flopped, do you want the leadership after all?

By: Ryan Carey

Ryan Carey — Fri, 19 Sep 2008 11:30:08 +0000

Justification…
TPP: I think few wanted Nelson in the first place. whereas Malcolm Turnbull is a very articulate, powerful speaker.
primary votes: he is politically fairly centrist but this should be counterbalanced by the class-warfare issue
preferred PM: I think he acts the part so I gave him a high preferred PM score.

By: Ryan Carey

Ryan Carey — Fri, 19 Sep 2008 11:23:49 +0000

1. The Two Party Preferred Vote of the ALP and Coalition = 53 and 47

2.The Coalition Primary Vote = 40

3.The ALP Primary Vote = 42

4.The Preferred PM score of Truffles Turnbull = 29

5.The Preferred PM score of Rudd = 40

6.The Preferred Prime Minister Undecideds number = 31.

By: CountArach

CountArach — Fri, 19 Sep 2008 07:26:30 +0000

I just realised I didn’t put up my 1 sentence on why it will be like that:

I believe that Nelson’s polling has distorted the undecideds number somewhat in terms of both the Primary and PFPM numbers and Turnbull will help bring these people back in.

By: Labor Outsider

Labor Outsider — Fri, 19 Sep 2008 07:20:20 +0000

1. The Two Party Preferred Vote of the ALP and Coalition = 54/46

2.The Coalition Primary Vote = 39

3.The ALP Primary Vote = 41

4.The Preferred PM score of Truffles Turnbull = 30

5.The Preferred PM score of Rudd = 55

6.The Preferred Prime Minister Undecideds number = 15

By: philofsydney

philofsydney — Fri, 19 Sep 2008 05:21:34 +0000

1. The Two Party Preferred Vote of the ALP and Coalition = 53/47

2.The Coalition Primary Vote = 41

3.The ALP Primary Vote = 44

4.The Preferred PM score of Truffles Turnbull = 24

5.The Preferred PM score of Rudd = 47

6.The Preferred Prime Minister Undecideds number = 29.

By: Paul Tero

Paul Tero — Fri, 19 Sep 2008 02:55:08 +0000

1. The Two Party Preferred Vote of the ALP and Coalition
– ALP = 54, C = 46

2.The Coalition Primary Vote
– C = 39

3.The ALP Primary Vote
– ALP = 44

4.The Preferred PM score of Truffles Turnbull
– MT PPM = 22

5.The Preferred PM score of Rudd
– KR PPM = 63

6.The Preferred Prime Minister Undecideds number.
– U PPM = 15

By: Robert Beswick

Robert Beswick — Fri, 19 Sep 2008 02:39:27 +0000

The ALP vote is fairly static. But the WA change may be reflected. Whatever happens we may rest assured that Malcolm will be robust in his willingness to take the cred

1. The Two Party Preferred Vote of the ALP and Coalition = 54/46

2.The Coalition Primary Vote = 40

3.The ALP Primary Vote = 44

4.The Preferred PM score of Truffles Turnbull = 26

5.The Preferred PM score of Rudd = 58

6.The Preferred Prime Minister Undecideds number = 16.

By: Matt D

Matt D — Fri, 19 Sep 2008 01:56:27 +0000

1. 54/46 to ALP
2. 38
3. 43
4. PPM MT 28
5. PPM KR 50
6. PPM U 22

Brendan has been dragging the Coalition vote down, but they still have a lot of troubles.