Another Tuesday, another Newspoll and the usual charts can be seen on the Pollytrack page and the Polling Charts page.
The results of 55/45 coming off primaries of 44/38 is pretty much business as usual.
And THAT is the story.
If we run a simple linear regression through the ALP two party preferred results of all pollsters since July 1st, this is what we get.
We can see the same by looking at the Pollytrack TPP results.
There’s been five months worth of rock solid consistency, only interrupted by the week long Turnbull bounce – the rebound of which has actually left the ALP in a marginally stronger position than the they experienced during the last 8 weeks of the Nelson Era.
Often the absence of movement tells a more important story than movement itself.
Elsewhere: Larvatus Prodeo, Pollbludger, Ozpolitics
2 Comments
Surely by now Nick Minchin and the other rightwing extremists in the Libs should be getting the message? The only hope the Libs have is for Malcolm to stop dithering, veer strongly to the left and damn the torpedoes (from Minchin et al) and full steam ahead. Although I fear his pandering to the right wing has harmed what little credibility he may have had. Really, they need a newbie, like Rudd was 4 years ago. The next Lib PM isn’t in Parliament.
Turnbull’s negative tactics even if they do take a few points off Rudd will be in danger of damaging his own brand before it gets made.