Our first Tassie seat for the series.
2007 Election Result and Two Party Preferred History
| Party | LP | ALP | GRN | NP | FFP | OTH |
| 07 Primary | 43.5 | 37.23 | 15.27 | 0 | 1.46 | 2.5 |
Age Profile, Family Composition, Housing and Migration
The final three categories in that last chart measure the proportion of the population that had the same address in 2001 as they did in 2006, the proportion of the population that moved location between 2001 and 2006 but moved locally (that is, moved houses within their Local Statistical Area – an ABS geographical category based on local government boundaries), and the proportion of the population that moved houses between 2001 and 2006, but moved from outside of their local area. Those last three stats gives us an idea of the size of the population growth/churn going on in a seat.
Income and Employment
Please note: Centrelink data is from 2008 and comes from the Dept of Human Services website.
Map comes from the Australian Electoral Commission.
All other data derives from the 2006 Census.
3 Comments
Notice that Bass and Tassie generally have a sharp dip in the 25-34 age group and to a lesser extent 35-44 cf the rest of Australia. I don’t know for sure but I’m guessing that’s the influence of young people in the 1990s (when the state’s economy was a basket-case) leaving the state in search of work elsewhere and never coming back.
The Tassie age profile is pretty much the same as most rural and regional electorates on the mainland – no doubt a consequence of the exact thing you mention. Although, the 1990’s might have just exaggerated the “young flight” problem that is usually always hanging around anyway – at least in rural and regional seats.
Some of the QLD regional seats have been getting a young person substitution effect of late (and not only related to the resources boom) where one set of young folk move out while an entirely separate group move in to replace them.
I wonder if it would be in Tasmania’s interest to try and replicate that phenomenon?
It always been the case really that young people leave Tassie for better paying jobs on the mainland. Even around federation it was an old saying that “Tasmania’s best export was its youth”. As someone who lives in Hobart it kinda hurts my feelings to be called rural.