Politics, elections and piffle plinking

Seat of the Day:Bennelong

The infamous seat of Bennelong.

2007 Election Result and Two Party Preferred History

Party LP ALP GRN NP FFP OTH
07 Primary 45.49 45.33 5.53 0 0.33 3.32

Age Profile, Family Composition, Housing and Migration

The final three categories in that last chart measure the proportion of the population that had the same address in 2001 as they did in 2006, the proportion of the population that moved location between 2001 and 2006 but moved locally (that is, moved houses within their Local Statistical Area – an ABS geographical category based on local government boundaries), and the proportion of the population that moved houses between 2001 and 2006, but moved from outside of their local area. Those last three stats gives us an idea of the size of the population growth/churn going on in a seat.

Income and Employment

Please note: Centrelink data is from 2008 and comes from the Dept of Human Services website.
Map comes from the Australian Electoral Commission.
All other data derives from the 2006 Census.

2 Comments

  1. 1
    fmark
    Posted January 16, 2009 at 8:59 am | Permalink

    Poss, would you care to comment on the effect of the 2005 redistribution on Maxine McKew’s 2008 victory?

  2. 2
    MDMConnell
    Posted February 14, 2009 at 5:30 pm | Permalink

    About a month late and I’m not Possum, but…

    The redistribution did make the seat more marginal (slightly) by pushing into traditionally Labor leaning Ermington. It wasn’t so much that particular redistribution but a series of them that pushed Bennelong out of safe Liberal areas around Lane Cove and into more marginal Ryde. I read somewhere that the seat in 2007 contained no part of the seat which Howard first won in the 1970’s, which shows how much it’s changed.

    Also, natural demographic change has occured with a large number of Asians moving in around Eastwood. This clearly counted against a right-wing Liberal like Howard, but as the Ryde by-election showed these voters can be won back to the Libs with the right candidate and circumstances.

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