Politics, elections and piffle plinking

Australian Opinion on Refugees – Part 1

Since we’ll probably be getting some new polling data on public perceptions of this asylum seeker business over the next week or so, it might be worth having a quick squiz back at the most recent data. There was some stuff in Newspoll back in 2004 sometime that keeps getting mentioned – but that’s a bit too far in the distant past for my liking to be relevant. Thankfully though, Essential Report had some polling on this in July-August last year using a sample of 1013 for a margin of error around the 3% mark.

refugee1

refugee2

It will be interesting to see if that general thrust of public opinion has changed much in the intervening 7 months – although I’d be surprised if it would have changed greatly, if at all.

One of the more mundane and nonsensical arguments that ooze from the wingnut right over this issue is the allegation that anyone that believed Howard’s Pacific Solution was inhumane and/or a waste of money, was somehow wanting to “open the floodgates” for refugees to descend on Australia like some rampaging horde. But as we can see, even though around a quarter of the public believed that Australia’s mandatory detention policies of the past were too tough, only 6% of the public believed that the current refugee intake was too small.

13 Comments

  1. 1
    Sgt Pepper's Bleeding Hearts Club Band
    Posted April 20, 2009 at 9:46 am | Permalink

    Possum, I love you, I really do, but you’re killing me with the apostrophes.

  2. 2
    Posted April 20, 2009 at 10:09 am | Permalink

    Good grief! I did it again.

  3. 3
    Dan
    Posted April 20, 2009 at 1:24 pm | Permalink

    Given that very few of the general pop would know what that 13500 figure is as % of total immigration figures, i’m suspicious that the lack of context would skew the figures. How can such an even distribution on the policy feed into a polarised dissatisfaction with the numbers being taken? Just seems weird is all

  4. 4
    don
    Posted April 20, 2009 at 2:41 pm | Permalink

    Poss, I’ve learned to live with your creative punctuation. Carry on, and let the apostrophes fall where they may!

    Just keep punching out the data and the occasional rant, and we’ll all be happy!

    ;)

  5. 5
    Jon Hunt
    Posted April 20, 2009 at 4:31 pm | Permalink

    Doesn’t this simply suggest that one in two Australians are selfish?

  6. 6
    Jon Hunt
    Posted April 20, 2009 at 4:33 pm | Permalink

    Or perhaps that my grammar is poor?

  7. 7
    Posted April 20, 2009 at 5:02 pm | Permalink

    I suspect the responses would be different if the figures were put in context. Increase by how much rather than increased to. And a comparison to what other countries are taking would but it in perspective and also a mentioning of Australia’s responsibility. And even a references to what we took in previous years.

  8. 8
    Posted April 20, 2009 at 5:26 pm | Permalink

    They’re good points Dan and Jon – I might try and hunt down some historical polling on migration issues and see if this sort of disconnect is unusual or not.

    Don went:

    let the apostrophes fall where they may!

    hear hear! :-D

  9. 9
    David Richards
    Posted April 20, 2009 at 7:20 pm | Permalink

    I read and re-read poss’s words and could find no problems with the use of apostrophes (he doesn’t use many), but there may be a comma issue.

  10. 10
    Posted April 20, 2009 at 7:33 pm | Permalink

    Possum, can you explain the argument you make in that last paragraph? I can’t see how that poll result has any negative effect on that right-wing allegation whatsoever.

    Are you sure that you haven’t swapped the meaning of the ‘Too Small’ and ‘Too Large’ answers? If not, then I honestly have no idea what you could be talking about.

  11. 11
    bob1234
    Posted April 21, 2009 at 2:45 am | Permalink

    http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/files/21apr-newspoll.html – latest Newspoll, 58-42 unchanged.

    27% say Labor handles the issue of asylum seekers better, against 26% for the coalition. 6% for someone else, and a whopping 41% for none/uncommitted.

    Tighter laws to reduce the number of asylum seekers?

    Yes/will reduce – 36%
    No/no difference – 57%

    That splits 31 to 64 for Labor voters, and 47 to 46 for coalition voters.

  12. 12
    RICK68
    Posted April 22, 2009 at 6:43 am | Permalink

    Still waiting for Andrew Bolt to supply me with the names of just ten children, who were tossed overboard, off the coast of Western Australia.

  13. 13
    Posted April 24, 2009 at 5:31 pm | Permalink

    ...] that I was looking for, but if I had not been behind in Pollytics blog reading I would have seen this post reporting an Essential Research poll last year on the size of the refugee program. The table below, [...

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