Newspoll via The Oz have released a Victorian State poll – usually these jobbies come in every two months, but we havent had one since February. The primaries come in at 42 (down 4) / 37 (up 3) to Labor, washing out into a two party preferred of 56/44 the same way – a 4 point gain to the Coalition since last poll. This come from a sample of 1150, giving us an MoE that maxes out around the 2.9% mark.
Worth noting is the general decline in the net-satisfaction levels of both the Labor government and Liberal opposition, with the government dropping 10 points to come in at 11, while the Opposition dropped 7 points to come in at negative 9. The other thing worth mentioning is the continuing rise of the Green vote over the last 2 to 3 years, firstly at the net expense of the broad “Others” vote, then later at the broad net expense of Labor – with the Libs seeming to lose a few while the Greens grew right at the end of the series.
The usual charts come in like this:










4 Comments
That “better premier” rating looks like a (noisy) perfect exponential decay.
I for one am glad to see the Green vote up. Then again, with a Minister like Peter Batchelor in charge of key energy portfolios, it doesn’t surprise me. I am struggling desperately to like any decisions the Brumby government has made about climate change related matters. They are managing to make Wong and Rudd look committed!
It pleases me that the Greens now occupy the role the Democrats formerly held, but god forbid they should ever come to power.
interesting to see that Bracks and Brumby, after a bit of noise, made no difference to Premier satisfaction.
it’s inarguable that the bushfires had a temporary positive effect on Brumby’s popularity. Of course, with fixed four year terms (thank goodness), that’s quite immaterial.
I wonder whether the Libs have any money to spend on campaigning?