Politics, elections and piffle plinking

Victorian Newspoll -ALP Solidish Edition

Newspoll via The Oz have released a Victorian State poll – usually these jobbies come in every two months, but we havent had one since February. The primaries come in at 42 (down 4) / 37 (up 3) to Labor, washing out into a two party preferred of 56/44 the same way – a 4 point gain to the Coalition since last poll. This come from a sample of 1150, giving us an MoE that maxes out around the 2.9% mark.

Worth noting is the general decline in the net-satisfaction levels of both the Labor government and Liberal opposition, with the government dropping 10 points to come in at 11, while the Opposition dropped 7 points to come in at negative 9. The other thing worth mentioning is the continuing rise of the Green vote over the last 2 to 3 years, firstly at the net expense of the broad “Others” vote, then later at the broad net expense of Labor – with the Libs seeming to lose a few while the Greens grew right at the end of the series.

The usual charts come in like this:

vicprimsj30 victppj30

vicgreensj30 betterpremvicj30

vicpremsatj30 vicopsatj30

vicnetsatsj30 vicmarginsatsj30

4 Comments

  1. 1
    caf
    Posted June 30, 2009 at 3:39 pm | Permalink

    That “better premier” rating looks like a (noisy) perfect exponential decay.

  2. 2
    Yaz
    Posted June 30, 2009 at 7:35 pm | Permalink

    I for one am glad to see the Green vote up. Then again, with a Minister like Peter Batchelor in charge of key energy portfolios, it doesn’t surprise me. I am struggling desperately to like any decisions the Brumby government has made about climate change related matters. They are managing to make Wong and Rudd look committed!

  3. 3
    Floccinaucinihilipilificator
    Posted June 30, 2009 at 9:19 pm | Permalink

    It pleases me that the Greens now occupy the role the Democrats formerly held, but god forbid they should ever come to power.

  4. 4
    wilful
    Posted July 1, 2009 at 11:03 am | Permalink

    interesting to see that Bracks and Brumby, after a bit of noise, made no difference to Premier satisfaction.

    it’s inarguable that the bushfires had a temporary positive effect on Brumby’s popularity. Of course, with fixed four year terms (thank goodness), that’s quite immaterial.

    I wonder whether the Libs have any money to spend on campaigning?

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