This fortnight’s Newspoll via The Oz comes in with the primaries running 46 (up 3) / 38 (down 1) to Labor, washing out into a two party preferred of 57/43 the same way – a 2 point increase to the ALP since last fortnight. This comes from a sample of 1156, giving us an MoE that maxes out around the 2.9% mark. The Greens have dropped from 11 to 9, while “Others” have remained steady on 7.
Rudd’s satisfaction level continues to rise in a linear manner from it’s downturn in May - at the expense of his dissatisfaction rating. The damage that Turnbull had done to Rudd’s personal political standing with the Coalition’s debt and deficit attack has now effectively washed out of the system as far as public satisfaction with the Prime Minister is concerned.
Turnbull continues his bounce back from the precipice of political oblivion with his satisfaction and dissatisfaction ratings again moving in the right direction, but as you can see from the netsats chart below, his bounce back has only brought him up to the levels that Nelson was experiencing when he was given the boot. In fact, this whole poll is pretty much identical to Nelson’s last, which we can see when we compare the metrics from today’s Newspoll with Nelson’s final one from the 7th September 2008.
On the beauty contest that is Preferred Prime Minister, Turnbull’s PPM rating has, for the first time, ducked below Undecideds.
We’ll go through this cycle’s Pollytrend result a little later, and also compare the ETS Newspoll question with some Essential Report responses from earlier.
The usual charts come in like this:
Continue on to the Newspoll and the CPRS Questions.
6 Comments
Has it not been a year yet, since Nelson’s demise? It seems longer. No doubt it seems even longer to the Liberals. All that stamping of feet and scratching of eyes, and on these figures they face losing a further 21 seats. To paraphrase the Bulletin: Why does this party bother?
The Coalition is obviously testing which of the key demographics finds it most despicable, so that it is clear who to castigate when power is restored in seven or eight elections’ time.
And the winner (so far) is… the Female population!
And you thought Howard was a miserable mysogynist? Welcome to the Abbott era.
And Alex every time they let People Skills near a TV camera the demographic gets more certain of its feelings and the baton is past to future generations. A friend told me the other day that People Skills now scares her 4 year old daughter more effectively than Severus Snape. The good news for the coalition is that Joe Hockey makes the same 4 year old giggle.
Was the preferred opposition leader question done this time? (Sorry I never stray anywhere near the Oz).
Geez Poss – that net satisfaction rating and 2PP margin is a good fit.
You’ll have to change your headline Poss. Tony Abbott has told us that the Kevin Rudd honeymoon is wearing off.
There’s no way he could be wrong.
http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,25847113-601,00.html