The Newspoll site (and presumably somewhere at The Oz) has a new Victorian State poll out with the primaries running 43 (steady) /35 (down 2) to Labor, washing out into a two party preferred of 57/43 the same way – a 1 point gain to the Labor party over the last two monts. The Greens are on 15 (up 3) while the broad “Others” are on 6 (down 2). This comes from a sample of 1151, giving is an MoE around the 2.9% mark.
In the usual charts below, you’ll notice that Ted Baillieu has a bit of a kick upward in his satisfaction rating, his dissatisfaction rating went down and his preferred premier level lifted – yet the Liberal Party vote contracted by 3 points over the period. Sometimes you can’t take a trick.
Not much to say about this except that it’s the sort of business as usual poll in Victoria we’ve been seeing for the last 6 months. The charts come in as:
One Comment
Interesting that when you look at the Green graph, the vote at the election(2006) was higher than the poll trend, now I know that Anthony Green has had a crack at this new Green strenght, but anyone looking at the graph would suggest that they the Greens have settled at a higher (12-15%) space.
These results would be more interesting if there were some stronger breakdowns into regions, inner city, metro etc.
Disaster for The COALition, they are gone and there seems no way back.