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Articles by Possum Comitatus

When Wholes Are Less Than Sums of the Parts

Headline national two party preferred results are clouding the dynamics and reality of what is happening at the state level – where elections are won and lost

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Anatomy of a Modern Campaign

One of the biggest jokes politics plays on itself is “secrecy” – secret internal polling that apparently makes public polling wrong, secret campaign tactics that relegate Sun Tzu to the status of mere amateur, through to other various secret and supposedly profound insights into the electorate that are beyond the comprehension of normal mortals.  Cryptic [...]

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Megapoll – Full Breakdowns

The data and breakdowns from the largest political poll ever conducted in Australia – all focusing on privatisation and Qld

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Trends, The Horserace and random numbers

Today we look at latest polling trends, the timing issues of the ALP carbon tax recovery and big analysis of how most of Australia’s polling and political commentary is based on random numbers.

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Qld State Polling and Bad Analysis

How two pollsters showing identical results can deliver two completely different accounts of voter behaviour – why timeliness matters if you want to avoid bad analysis

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The Primary Dynamic

The extraordinary growth in the relationship between perceptions of the Prime Minister and the electoral fortunes of the government they lead. A statistical analysis of our new primary dynamic.

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Introducing the Qld Treasurer

Introducing Tim Nicholls, the man who doesn’t realise he’s the Treasurer

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What Australians Believe

Australian economic beliefs and our perceptions on the role of government

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The State of Play for June

Australian federal polling trends for June

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The 2012 State of Play

Australian federal polling trends and election simulations

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Womens Agenda

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Smart Company

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StartupSmart

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Property Observer

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