The big story on this day two years ago – the final Thursday of the 2007 election campaign – was the Lindsay leaflet scandal, which made an interesting fit with the rumors of the previous afternoon flying around about Joe Hockey being in deep trouble in North Sydney. Today’s Election Redux takes in the two [...]
Politics, elections and piffle plinking
Author Archives: Possum Comitatus
07 Election Redux: Andrew Robb the Google Assassin
November 21, 2009 – 9:57 am
The Wednesday before the Saturday election of 2007 was filled with Andrew Robb suggesting that 13 Labor candidates were fulfilling an office of profit under the crown, effectively being employed by the government is some capacity, something that would disqualify them from being able to become elected to Parliament. It all looked wreaked of desperation [...]
ANU Poll – Public Perceptions of Rural Issues
November 20, 2009 – 10:52 am
The Australian National University has released their latest ANU Poll, this quarter giving it a rural flavour by focusing questions on issues related to rural and regional Australia. It’s a phone poll of 1200, giving us an MoE that maxes out around the 2.8% mark. You can read the full results in either a report [...]
This day in 2007
November 20, 2009 – 7:56 am
Two years ago today it was the Tuesday before the Saturday election that saw the Howard government swept from office. Everyday until the 24th, I’ll repost an article from this day in 2007 – reliving the last rather hectic/tragic/comedic days of that historic election campaign. A trip down memory lane if you will.
It’s also really [...]
Peak Wingnut
November 18, 2009 – 2:04 pm
In his continuing quest for relevance, Andrew Bolt went blogbaiting yesterday. It was the usual wingnut bingo board – ABC, Crikey, leftist conspiracies, Jonathan Green, Eric Beecher, Annabel Crabb – the typical sort of content diversity that we’ve all come to expect from that end of the online swamp.
I’m usually spared this sort of [...]
Global Warming and CPRS Polling
November 18, 2009 – 8:32 am
Morgan released a telephone poll yesterday (split into two parts) that looks at public perceptions of global warming and views on the current CPRS legislation. It was a phone poll running off a sample of 674, giving us an MoE that maxes out around the 3.8% mark.
The first question asked was “Which of the [...]
The polling isn’t as exciting as it looks
November 17, 2009 – 9:02 am
With pollster and electorate volatility apparently running rampant over the last few weeks, it’s worth taking a closer look at exactly what went on.
If we chart the first differences of each pollster since August – the amount that the two party preferred estimate has changed since the previous poll of that pollster – we [...]
Essential Report – Equal lowest ever for the ALP
November 16, 2009 – 3:26 pm
The equal worst Essential Report for the ALP comes in with the primaries running 45 (down 3) /39 ( up 4) to Labor, washing out into a two party preferred of 55/45 the same way – a 4 point gain to the Coalition. The Greens are on 9 (steady) while the broad “Others” are on [...]
Weekend Polling
November 16, 2009 – 6:06 am
Via The Oz and Newspoll comes some specific Qld marginal seat polling undertaken in the six electorates of Dawson, Flynn, Bowman, Dickson, Longman and Herbert. The average two party preferred in these marginals was given as 54/46 to the ALP.
That equates to an average swing of 2.7% to Labor in these six electorates (The Oz [...]
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