Politics, elections and piffle plinking

Category Archives: newspoll

Newspoll Tuesday -what was all the fuss about edition.

November 17, 2009 – 5:59 am

Newspoll via The Oz today comes in with the primaries running 43 (up 2)/ 37 (down 4) to the ALP, washing out into a two party preferred of 56/44 the same way – a 4 point gain to Labor since last fortnights Newspoll. This comes from a sample of 1162 for an MoE of around [...]

By Possum Comitatus | Tagged ALP, Australian Politics, Coalition, Kevin Rudd, Labor Party, Liberal Party, Malcolm Turnbull, net satisfaction, newspoll, Polling, preferred PM, primary vote, satisfaction rating, two party preferred | Comments (11)

Weekend Polling

November 16, 2009 – 6:06 am

Via The Oz and Newspoll comes some specific Qld marginal seat polling undertaken in the six electorates of Dawson, Flynn, Bowman, Dickson, Longman and Herbert. The average two party preferred in these marginals was given as 54/46 to the ALP.
That equates to an average swing of 2.7% to Labor in these six electorates (The Oz [...]

By Possum Comitatus | Also posted in Galaxy, morgan, pollytrend | Tagged Galaxy, Greens, marginal seats, morgan, newspoll, Queensland | Comments (16)

Asylum Seeker Polling – Three Pollsters

November 9, 2009 – 9:00 am

Today we have some results on the public perception of asylum seeker policy issues from both Newspoll and Nielsen. When combined with last week’s Essential Report questions on the same issue, all three pollsters turn out to be pretty consistent with each other, only differing by amounts we’d expect from slightly different question wording. First [...]

By Possum Comitatus | Also posted in Essential Report, nielsen | Tagged ALP, asylum seekers, Australian Politics, border protection, Coalition, Kevin Rudd, Labor Party, Liberal Party, Malcolm Turnbull, Polling, refugees | Comments (19)

Outliers Outliers – get’em while they’re hot!

November 3, 2009 – 6:43 am

Today’s Newspoll via The Oz comes in with the primaries tied at 41 a piece with the ALP down 7 and the Coalition up 7. This washes out into a two party preferred of 52/48 – a 7 point change from last Newspoll. The Greens are steady on 10 while the broad “Others” are unchanged [...]

By Possum Comitatus | Tagged ALP, asylum seekers, Australian Politics, Coalition, Kevin Rudd, Labor Party, Liberal Party, Malcolm Turnbull, newspoll, political polling, Polling | Comments (85)

Howard vs. Rudd at 23 months

October 22, 2009 – 7:33 am

Just a quicky with 3 charts using Newspoll monthly averages - a look at Howard vs. Rudd on net satisfaction, preferred PM and the two party preferred over comparative time periods. Rudd is in red, Howard in blue along with their respective axis.

By Possum Comitatus | Tagged ALP, Australian Politics, Coalition, John Howard, Kevin Rudd, Labor Party, Liberal Party, net satisfaction, newspoll, Polling, preferred PM, two party preferred | Comments (18)

Media, Leadership and the Structural Change of Australian Politics

October 21, 2009 – 9:26 am

This post could also be called “How to explain nearly everything about big P politics in 4 simple charts”.
Australian politics, or rather the dynamics of the relationship between the public and the party in government, has been undergoing a significant transformation over the last 25 odd years. In many respects, that is to be expected [...]

By Possum Comitatus | Also posted in leadership, media | Tagged approval ratings, Australian Politics, government, John Howard, Kevin Rudd, media, news cycle, newspoll, political cycle, Polling, preferred prime minister, satisfaction ratings | Comments (9)

Newspoll Tuesday – More pain for Malcolm

October 20, 2009 – 5:58 am

Newspoll Tuesday via The Oz rolls around again, this time with the primaries running 48 (up 1) / 34 (down 2) to Labor, washing out into a two party preferred of 59/41 the same way – a one point gain over last week’s special Newspoll. The Greens are steady on 10, while the broad “Others” [...]

By Possum Comitatus | Tagged ALP, approval ratings, Australian Politics, australian polling, Coalition, Kevin Rudd, Labor Party, Liberal Party, Malcolm Turnbull, newspoll, opposition, primary vote, satisfaction ratings, two party preferred | Comments (9)

When time takes its toll

October 12, 2009 – 9:33 am

We often look at line charts of the polling here across time, which party has done what according to some pollster over some period of time – and while that gives us an interesting time series showing the trends, it only partially does justice to the way time itself must be taking its toll on [...]

By Possum Comitatus | Also posted in Polling, leadership | Tagged ALP, Australian Politics, Brendan Nelson, Coalition, Labor Party, Liberal Party, Malcolm Turnbull, newspoll, Polling, primary vote, spoils of defeat, two party preferred | Comments (8)

Phone Poll Monday

October 12, 2009 – 7:37 am

Nielsen via Fairfax comes in with the primaries running 46 (up 2) / 37 (down 3) to Labor, washing out into a two party preferred of 57/43 – a 2 point gain to the ALP since last months Nielsen poll. The Greens came in on 10 (up 2), while the broad others are sitting on [...]

By Possum Comitatus | Also posted in nielsen | Tagged ALP, Australian Politics, Coalition, Kevin Rudd, Labor Party, Liberal Party, Malcolm Turnbull, net approval, net satisfaction, newspoll, nielsen, Polling, preferred PM, primary vote, two party preferred, vote estimates | Comments (2)

Monday’s Leadership Polling

October 12, 2009 – 6:39 am

Three new polls to have a look at today over the Coalition leadership – Nielsen (Oct 8-10, sample size =1400), Newspoll (Oct 9-11, sample size =1153) and Morgan Phone Poll (Oct 7-8, sample size 549). Both Nielsen and Newspoll used Turnbull, Hockey and Abbott as response options, allowing us a direct comparison:

Normally, when you get [...]