Politics, elections and piffle plinking

Category Archives: State Polling

NSW State Polling

November 2, 2009 – 9:44 am

Newspoll over the weekend via The Oz released another rather hideous poll for the NSW government showing the primaries running 42 (up 1) / 30 (down 2) to the Coalition, washing out into a two party preferred of 55/45 the same way – a 1 point increase to the Opposition over the last 2 months. [...]

By Possum Comitatus | Tagged ALP, Australian Politics, Barry O'Farrell, Coalition, Labor Party, Liberal Party, Nathan Rees, new south wales, newspoll, Polling, State politics | Comments (7)

Victoria State Polling

November 2, 2009 – 9:22 am

The Newspoll site (and presumably somewhere at The Oz) has a new Victorian State poll out with the primaries running 43 (steady) /35 (down 2) to Labor, washing out into a two party preferred of 57/43 the same way – a 1 point gain to the Labor party over the last two monts. The Greens [...]

By Possum Comitatus | Tagged ALP, Australian Politics, Coalition, Greens, John Brumby, Labor Party, Liberal Party, newspoll, State politics, Ted Baillieu, victoria | Comments (1)

Victorian Newspoll – More of the Same.

August 21, 2009 – 8:32 am

Running late on yesterday’s Victorian state Newspoll which, via The Oz had the primaries running 43 (up 1) / 37 (steady) to Labor, washing out for a two party preferred of 56/44 the same way – zero movement from last poll in June. The Greens are 12 (down 2), while the broad “Others” are 8 [...]

By Possum Comitatus | Tagged Australian Politics, newspoll, Polling, Victorian politics | Comments (1)

NSW Newspoll – Close but no Cigar Edition

August 19, 2009 – 7:15 am

Today via The Oz comes a NSW State Newspoll showing the primaries running 41(steady) / 32 (up 1) to the Coalition, washing out into a two party preferred of 54/46 the same way – a one point gain to the Labor government since the last Newspoll in June. This comes from a sample of 1266, [...]

By Possum Comitatus | Also posted in newspoll | Tagged Australian Politics, Barry O'Farrell, better premier, Nathan Rees, newspoll, NSW, primary vote, satisfaction ratings, State politics, two party preferred | Comments (5)

SA State Newspoll – Redmond Debut Edition

August 12, 2009 – 6:10 am

The latest Newspoll for South Australian state politics (presumably via The Oz) comes in with the primaries running 41 (down 1) / 33 (down 1) to Labor, washing out into a two party preferred of 56/44 the same way – steady since last poll. The Greens come in on 11 (up 1) while the broader [...]

By Possum Comitatus | Tagged Australian Politics, isobel redmond, mike rann, newspoll, political polling, satisfaction ratings, South Australia, State politics | Comments (0)

Victorian Newspoll -ALP Solidish Edition

June 30, 2009 – 3:11 pm

Newspoll via The Oz have released a Victorian State poll – usually these jobbies come in every two months, but we havent had one since February. The primaries come in at 42 (down 4) / 37 (up 3) to Labor, washing out into a two party preferred of 56/44 the same way – a 4 [...]

By Possum Comitatus | Tagged Australian Politics, John Brumby, newspoll, political polling, Polling, Ted Ballieu, victoria | Comments (4)

NSW Newspoll – Cruising Coalition Edition

June 23, 2009 – 8:22 am

Today via The Oz comes the latest bimonthly NSW Newspoll which has the primaries running 31 (down 2) /41 (up 1) to the Coalition, washing out into a two party preferred of 55/45 the same way – a two point increase to the Coalition since April. This comes from a sample of 1281 for an [...]

By Possum Comitatus | Also posted in newspoll | Tagged Australian Politics, Barry O'Farrell, Coalition, Labor Party, Liberal Party, Nathan Rees, newspoll, NSW, optional preferential, Polling, primary vote, two party preferred | Comments (9)

WA and SA State Newspolls

May 21, 2009 – 9:38 am

Sometime back yonder (April or May one would think), the latest South Australian and WA Newspoll State politics quarterly estimates were released onto the Newspoll public database, but from my poor memory they weren’t actually reported (insert wild conspiracy theory here). This morning the South Australian individual file turned up at Newspoll as well.
So, starting [...]

By Possum Comitatus | Tagged better premier, colin barnett, eric ripper, martin hamilton smith, mike rann, newspoll, primary vote, satisfaction ratings, South Australia polling, State Polling, two party preferred, Western Australia polling | Comments (6)

NSW Newspoll – From Oblivion to Train Wreck Edition.

April 30, 2009 – 7:45 am

Today The Oz brings us a bimonthly NSW Newspoll, and the results come in on the primaries 40 (down 2) / 33 (up 3) to the Coalition, flowing through to a two party preferred of 53/47 the same way – Labor up 3 since February. This comes from a sample of 1265 for a margin [...]

By Possum Comitatus | Tagged newspoll, NSW polling, NSW state polling, O'Farrell, Rees | Comments (5)

Projecting election results from exit polls

April 14, 2009 – 10:15 am

Some of you may remember back a few weeks ago early on Qld election night, an Auspoll exit poll was released on Sky Nooz that polled Labor’s 20 most marginal seats. From that result I projected that Labor should win between 51 and 53 seats if that poll were correct. I used some simulations and [...]