Politics, elections and piffle plinking

Tag Archives: asylum seekers

The polling isn’t as exciting as it looks

November 17, 2009 – 9:02 am

With pollster and electorate volatility apparently running rampant over the last few weeks, it’s worth taking a closer look at exactly what went on.
If we chart the first differences of each pollster since August – the amount that the two party preferred estimate has changed since the previous poll of that pollster – we [...]

By Possum Comitatus | Posted in Polling, pollytrend | Also tagged , , , , , , , , , , | Comments (9)

Essential Report – political approval and the economy

November 10, 2009 – 6:12 am

This week’s Essential Report has the primaries coming in 48 (down 1) /35 (steady) to Labor, washing out into a two party preferred of 59/41 the same way – no change since last week. The Greens are on 9 (up 1) while the broad “Others” are sitting on 8 (steady). This comes from a two [...]

By Possum Comitatus | Posted in Essential Report | Also tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , | Comments (9)

Asylum Seeker Polling – Three Pollsters

November 9, 2009 – 9:00 am

Today we have some results on the public perception of asylum seeker policy issues from both Newspoll and Nielsen. When combined with last week’s Essential Report questions on the same issue, all three pollsters turn out to be pretty consistent with each other, only differing by amounts we’d expect from slightly different question wording. First [...]

By Possum Comitatus | Posted in Essential Report, newspoll, nielsen | Also tagged , , , , , , , , , | Comments (19)

Outliers Outliers – get’em while they’re hot!

November 3, 2009 – 6:43 am

Today’s Newspoll via The Oz comes in with the primaries tied at 41 a piece with the ALP down 7 and the Coalition up 7. This washes out into a two party preferred of 52/48 – a 7 point change from last Newspoll. The Greens are steady on 10 while the broad “Others” are unchanged [...]

By Possum Comitatus | Posted in newspoll | Also tagged , , , , , , , , , | Comments (85)

First big polling on Asylum Seeker issue

November 2, 2009 – 3:23 pm

This weeks Essential Report has the primaries running 49 (down 1) / 35 (down 1) to Labor, washing out into a two party preferred of 59/41 the same way – steady since last week. The Greens are on 8 (steady), while the broad “Others” are up 1 to 8. The missing point is due to [...]

By Possum Comitatus | Posted in Essential Report | Also tagged , , , , , , , , , , | Comments (22)

Push vs. Pull – Asylum Seeker Numbers and Statistics

October 19, 2009 – 10:50 am

Round 42 in the never ending war against ratbaggery brings us to the argument of what drives asylum seeker numbers – push factors vs. pull factors.
Proponents of the push factor view claim that the numbers of people attempting to enter Australia to seek refugee status – including those that arrive by boat – are primarily [...]

By Possum Comitatus | Posted in general politics, statistics | Also tagged , , , , , , , , , , | Comments (90)

Essential Report: Border Protection and Stimpac Edition

April 29, 2009 – 7:14 am

This week’s Essential Report has the primaries running 48 (down 2) /36 (up 2) to Labor, washing out for a two party preferred of 58/42 – the ALP down 2 since last week. This comes from a two week rolling sample of 2181 for a hypothetical margin of error around the 2.1%.
The supplementary questions this [...]

By Possum Comitatus | Posted in Essential Report | Also tagged , , , , , , , , | Comments (5)

Newspoll Part 2 – The Lost Wedge.

April 21, 2009 – 12:03 pm

There was a set of three supplementary questions to the usual voting intention jobbies run today by Newspoll over in The Oz. Some of the more interesting bits come out on the demographic breakdowns, so we’ll break the results of the questions up into two lots – answers by voting intention and gender on the [...]

By Possum Comitatus | Posted in newspoll | Also tagged , , , | Comments (7)

Australian Opinion on Refugees – Part 1

April 20, 2009 – 8:16 am

Since we’ll probably be getting some new polling data on public perceptions of this asylum seeker business over the next week or so, it might be worth having a quick squiz back at the most recent data. There was some stuff in Newspoll back in 2004 sometime that keeps getting mentioned – but that’s a [...]

By Possum Comitatus | Posted in Essential Report | Also tagged , , , , | Comments (13)