Morgan released a telephone poll yesterday (split into two parts) that looks at public perceptions of global warming and views on the current CPRS legislation. It was a phone poll running off a sample of 674, giving us an MoE that maxes out around the 3.8% mark.
The first question asked was “Which of the [...]
Politics, elections and piffle plinking
Tag Archives: Coalition
Global Warming and CPRS Polling
November 18, 2009 – 8:32 am
The polling isn’t as exciting as it looks
November 17, 2009 – 9:02 am
With pollster and electorate volatility apparently running rampant over the last few weeks, it’s worth taking a closer look at exactly what went on.
If we chart the first differences of each pollster since August – the amount that the two party preferred estimate has changed since the previous poll of that pollster – we [...]
Morgan and a Pollytrend Update
November 13, 2009 – 2:47 pm
Morgan has released a face to face poll from last weekend with the primaries running 46.5 (down 4.5)/38.5 (up 6) to Labor, washing out into a two party preferred of 56/44, a 5 point gain for the Coalition. The Greens are on 8 (down 1.5) while the broad others are on 7 steady.This comes from [...]
Asylum Seeker Polling – Three Pollsters
November 9, 2009 – 9:00 am
Today we have some results on the public perception of asylum seeker policy issues from both Newspoll and Nielsen. When combined with last week’s Essential Report questions on the same issue, all three pollsters turn out to be pretty consistent with each other, only differing by amounts we’d expect from slightly different question wording. First [...]
Honeymoon Restored
November 9, 2009 – 5:52 am
Not that it actually stopped to begin with, we have this months Nielsen today in Fairfax (demographic tables here) coming in with the primaries running 45 (down 1)/ 38 (up 1) to Labor, washing out into a two party preferred of 56/44 the same way – a one point increase to the Coalition since the [...]
New Pollytrend Metric – Phone Pollster Trend
November 8, 2009 – 11:25 am
We all know about our Pollytrend chart – where we build a rolling average of the most recent poll from each pollster weighted by sample size, then run an aggressive locally weighted polynomial regression through the results to give us an adaptive trend line. While Pollytrend is good for picking up medium term shifts in [...]
Morgan Adds Outlier Weight to Newspoll
November 6, 2009 – 5:18 pm
Morgan has cheekily come in a week early, giving us the first week of what is usually a two week Face to Face poll with the primaries running 51 (down 1) /32.5 (down 2) to Labor, washing out into a two party preferred of 61/39 the same way – a half a point increase to [...]
Outliers Outliers – get’em while they’re hot!
November 3, 2009 – 6:43 am
Today’s Newspoll via The Oz comes in with the primaries tied at 41 a piece with the ALP down 7 and the Coalition up 7. This washes out into a two party preferred of 52/48 – a 7 point change from last Newspoll. The Greens are steady on 10 while the broad “Others” are unchanged [...]
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From the Latest
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The Stump- Driving to Balliol to see the Big Galah: a reply to Tim Soutphommasane Guy Rundle
- CPRS deal? Bernard Keane
- Nastier refugee stand-offs in our region Andrew Bartlett
- Simon Birmingham talks sense Bernard Keane
- Qld’s CMC, Police & Palm Island Andrew Bartlett
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Pollbludger
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Antony Green
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Mumble
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The Tally Room
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Andrew Norton
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Meganomics
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Larvatus Prodeo
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Club Troppo
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Core Economics
- Superannuation co-contribution, jam choice, and taxation Andrew Leigh
- You can’t teach an old Beatle new tricks Andrew Leigh
- The RMB and the US trade deficit Mark Crosby
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Jack the Insider
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Peter Martin
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Pure Poison
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Woolly Days
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Political Sword
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Public Opinion
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Tasmanian Politics
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