Politics, elections and piffle plinking

Tag Archives: Malcolm Turnbull

Global Warming and CPRS Polling

November 18, 2009 – 8:32 am

Morgan released a telephone poll yesterday (split into two parts) that looks at public perceptions of global warming and views on the current CPRS legislation. It was a phone poll running off a sample of 674, giving us an MoE that maxes out around the 3.8% mark.
The first question asked was “Which of the [...]

By Possum Comitatus | Posted in morgan | Also tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Comments (84)

Newspoll Tuesday -what was all the fuss about edition.

November 17, 2009 – 5:59 am

Newspoll via The Oz today comes in with the primaries running 43 (up 2)/ 37 (down 4) to the ALP, washing out into a two party preferred of 56/44 the same way – a 4 point gain to Labor since last fortnights Newspoll. This comes from a sample of 1162 for an MoE of around [...]

By Possum Comitatus | Posted in newspoll | Also tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , | Comments (11)

Morgan and a Pollytrend Update

November 13, 2009 – 2:47 pm

Morgan has released a face to face poll from last weekend with the primaries running 46.5 (down 4.5)/38.5 (up 6) to Labor, washing out into a two party preferred of 56/44, a 5 point gain for the Coalition. The Greens are on 8 (down 1.5) while the broad others are on 7 steady.This comes from [...]

By Possum Comitatus | Posted in morgan, pollytrend | Also tagged , , , , , , , | Comments (10)

Essential Report – political approval and the economy

November 10, 2009 – 6:12 am

This week’s Essential Report has the primaries coming in 48 (down 1) /35 (steady) to Labor, washing out into a two party preferred of 59/41 the same way – no change since last week. The Greens are on 9 (up 1) while the broad “Others” are sitting on 8 (steady). This comes from a two [...]

By Possum Comitatus | Posted in Essential Report | Also tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , | Comments (9)

Asylum Seeker Polling – Three Pollsters

November 9, 2009 – 9:00 am

Today we have some results on the public perception of asylum seeker policy issues from both Newspoll and Nielsen. When combined with last week’s Essential Report questions on the same issue, all three pollsters turn out to be pretty consistent with each other, only differing by amounts we’d expect from slightly different question wording. First [...]

By Possum Comitatus | Posted in Essential Report, newspoll, nielsen | Also tagged , , , , , , , , , | Comments (19)

Honeymoon Restored

November 9, 2009 – 5:52 am

Not that it actually stopped to begin with, we have this months Nielsen today in Fairfax (demographic tables here) coming in with the primaries running 45 (down 1)/ 38 (up 1) to Labor, washing out into a two party preferred of 56/44 the same way – a one point increase to the Coalition since the [...]

By Possum Comitatus | Posted in nielsen | Also tagged , , , , , , , , | Comments (14)

Morgan Adds Outlier Weight to Newspoll

November 6, 2009 – 5:18 pm

Morgan has cheekily come in a week early, giving us the first week of what is usually a two week Face to Face poll with the primaries running 51 (down 1) /32.5 (down 2) to Labor, washing out into a two party preferred of 61/39 the same way – a half a point increase to [...]

By Possum Comitatus | Posted in morgan | Also tagged , , , , , , , , , , | Comments (58)

Outliers Outliers – get’em while they’re hot!

November 3, 2009 – 6:43 am

Today’s Newspoll via The Oz comes in with the primaries tied at 41 a piece with the ALP down 7 and the Coalition up 7. This washes out into a two party preferred of 52/48 – a 7 point change from last Newspoll. The Greens are steady on 10 while the broad “Others” are unchanged [...]

By Possum Comitatus | Posted in newspoll | Also tagged , , , , , , , , , | Comments (85)

First big polling on Asylum Seeker issue

November 2, 2009 – 3:23 pm

This weeks Essential Report has the primaries running 49 (down 1) / 35 (down 1) to Labor, washing out into a two party preferred of 59/41 the same way – steady since last week. The Greens are on 8 (steady), while the broad “Others” are up 1 to 8. The missing point is due to [...]

By Possum Comitatus | Posted in Essential Report | Also tagged , , , , , , , , , , | Comments (22)

Could the polls actually be undercooked for Labor?

October 27, 2009 – 11:38 am

Something interesting has been popping up in the polling with the two party preferred vote – there is a statistically significant difference between the two party preferred estimate when poll respondents get to allocate preferences compared to the two party preferred estimate when preferences are allocated on the same basis that they were at the [...]

By Possum Comitatus | Posted in Polling, election results, morgan, nielsen | Also tagged , , , , , , , , , , , | Comments (28)