Politics, elections and piffle plinking

Tag Archives: newspoll

Newspoll Tuesday -what was all the fuss about edition.

November 17, 2009 – 5:59 am

Newspoll via The Oz today comes in with the primaries running 43 (up 2)/ 37 (down 4) to the ALP, washing out into a two party preferred of 56/44 the same way – a 4 point gain to Labor since last fortnights Newspoll. This comes from a sample of 1162 for an MoE of around [...]

By Possum Comitatus | Posted in newspoll | Also tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , | Comments (11)

Weekend Polling

November 16, 2009 – 6:06 am

Via The Oz and Newspoll comes some specific Qld marginal seat polling undertaken in the six electorates of Dawson, Flynn, Bowman, Dickson, Longman and Herbert. The average two party preferred in these marginals was given as 54/46 to the ALP.
That equates to an average swing of 2.7% to Labor in these six electorates (The Oz [...]

By Possum Comitatus | Posted in Galaxy, morgan, newspoll, pollytrend | Also tagged , , , , | Comments (16)

Morgan Adds Outlier Weight to Newspoll

November 6, 2009 – 5:18 pm

Morgan has cheekily come in a week early, giving us the first week of what is usually a two week Face to Face poll with the primaries running 51 (down 1) /32.5 (down 2) to Labor, washing out into a two party preferred of 61/39 the same way – a half a point increase to [...]

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Pollytrend and Odds and Ends

November 5, 2009 – 7:59 am

Throwing the last polling cycle’s worth of data into the Pollytrend algorithm, we can see that Newspoll produced no discernible change in the trend line – which is to be expected, since our trend here measures how all polls move together and it can adapt to outliers.

Also worth having a squiz at are three charts [...]

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Outliers Outliers – get’em while they’re hot!

November 3, 2009 – 6:43 am

Today’s Newspoll via The Oz comes in with the primaries tied at 41 a piece with the ALP down 7 and the Coalition up 7. This washes out into a two party preferred of 52/48 – a 7 point change from last Newspoll. The Greens are steady on 10 while the broad “Others” are unchanged [...]

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NSW State Polling

November 2, 2009 – 9:44 am

Newspoll over the weekend via The Oz released another rather hideous poll for the NSW government showing the primaries running 42 (up 1) / 30 (down 2) to the Coalition, washing out into a two party preferred of 55/45 the same way – a 1 point increase to the Opposition over the last 2 months. [...]

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Victoria State Polling

November 2, 2009 – 9:22 am

The Newspoll site (and presumably somewhere at The Oz) has a new Victorian State poll out with the primaries running 43 (steady) /35 (down 2) to Labor, washing out into a two party preferred of 57/43 the same way – a 1 point gain to the Labor party over the last two monts. The Greens [...]

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Howard vs. Rudd at 23 months

October 22, 2009 – 7:33 am

Just a quicky with 3 charts using Newspoll monthly averages -  a  look at Howard vs. Rudd on net satisfaction, preferred PM and the two party preferred over comparative time periods. Rudd is in red, Howard in blue along with their respective axis.

By Possum Comitatus | Posted in newspoll | Also tagged , , , , , , , , , , | Comments (18)

Media, Leadership and the Structural Change of Australian Politics

October 21, 2009 – 9:26 am

This post could also be called “How to explain nearly everything about big P politics in 4 simple charts”.
Australian politics, or rather the dynamics of the relationship between the public and the party in government, has been undergoing a significant transformation over the last 25 odd years. In many respects, that is to be expected [...]

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Newspoll Tuesday – More pain for Malcolm

October 20, 2009 – 5:58 am

Newspoll Tuesday via The Oz rolls around again, this time with the primaries running 48 (up 1) / 34 (down 2) to Labor, washing out into a two party preferred of 59/41 the same way – a one point gain over last week’s special Newspoll. The Greens are steady on 10, while the broad “Others” [...]

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