Politics, elections and piffle plinking

Tag Archives: preferred PM

Essential Report – strong support for Rudd Health

This week’s Essential Report, now brought to you earlier by Crikey, comes in with with the primaries running 45/38 to Labor (same as last week), washing out into a two party preferred of 56/44 the same way (again, the same as last week).The Greens are unchanged on 9, while the broad “Others” show the only [...]

Nielsen Part 1 – The Vote Estimates

Today’s Nielsen via the Fairfax press has the Coalition up 1 on the primaries and Labor steady to come in at 42/42, washing out into a two party preferred of 53/47 to Labor – a one point gain to the Coalition since last month. The Greens are on 9 (down 1) while the broad “Others” [...]

The pitfalls of Better Party To Manage

What started out as an exercise in looking at whether we can see any structural effects of incumbency on the results of “better party/leader to manage” polls over time – whether the act of being in government itself has an impact on these metrics – quickly became something else entirely as the data spoke in [...]

Newspoll – a close one

Newspoll via The Oz comes in with the primaries running 40 (steady)/ 41 (up 3) to the Coalition, washing out into a two party preferred of 52/48 to Labor. The Greens are on 12 (steady) while the broad “Others” are 7 (down 3). This comes from a sample of 1146, giving us an MoE that [...]

Newspoll – Abbott’s Debut Edition

Today’s Newspoll via The Oz comes in with the primaries running 40 (down 3) / 38 (steady) to Labor, washing out into a two party preferred of 54/46 the same way – a 2 point gain to the Coalition since the last Newspoll of 2009. The Greens are in on 12 (up 1), while the [...]

Newspoll – Spillist Edition

Newspoll via The Oz comes in with the primaries running 43 (steady)/ 35 (down 2) to Labor, washing out into a two party preferred of 57/43 the same way – a one point increase since last Newspoll. The Greens come in on 12 (up 1), while the broad “Others” are sitting on 10 (up 1). [...]

Newspoll Tuesday -what was all the fuss about edition.

Newspoll via The Oz today comes in with the primaries running 43 (up 2)/ 37 (down 4) to the ALP, washing out into a two party preferred of 56/44 the same way – a 4 point gain to Labor since last fortnights Newspoll. This comes from a sample of 1162 for an MoE of around [...]

Howard vs. Rudd at 23 months

Just a quicky with 3 charts using Newspoll monthly averages -  a  look at Howard vs. Rudd on net satisfaction, preferred PM and the two party preferred over comparative time periods. Rudd is in red, Howard in blue along with their respective axis.

Phone Poll Monday

Nielsen via Fairfax comes in with the primaries running 46 (up 2) / 37 (down 3) to Labor, washing out into a two party preferred of 57/43 – a 2 point gain to the ALP since last months Nielsen poll. The Greens came in on 10 (up 2), while the broad others are sitting on [...]

Newspoll – Secret Entrails Edition

Newspoll via The Oz comes in with the primaries running 44 (steady) / 39 (up 1) to Labor, washing out into a two party preferred of 55/45 the same way – no change from last fortnight. The Greens come in on 10 (up 1), while the broad “Others” are sitting on 7 (down 2). This [...]