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	<title>Comments for Pure Poison</title>
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	<description>Just another Crikey Blogs weblog</description>
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		<title>Comment on A fresh climate thread by confessions</title>
		<link>http://blogs.crikey.com.au/purepoison/2009/11/19/a-fresh-climate-thread/comment-page-3/#comment-16869</link>
		<dc:creator>confessions</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 21 Nov 2009 09:20:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.crikey.com.au/purepoison/?p=4495#comment-16869</guid>
		<description>Brian at LP comes across &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2009/11/the-cru-hack/comment-page-4/#comment-142223&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;this comment&lt;/a&gt; at Realclimate which notes the selectivity of what has been made public. Think about all the emails that hit your inbox at work: staff meetings, organisation-wide announcements, stuff from friends, joke emails, upcoming events and conferences of interest, professional external email lists you belong to. As has already been pointed out by Dave in 10 years there&#039;d be &lt;i&gt;heaps&lt;/i&gt; of stuff. And even if you are a religious deleter like me, a quick squiz through my inbox shows stuff that got missed or things I hadn&#039;t yet decided on.

AFAIK no hacker could screen out that stuff and certainly not going across 10 years worth of inbox content. Which strongly suggests the emails have indeed been culled. Given the exquisite timing of this issue, days out from Copenhagen, it&#039;s not beyond reason to further assume that what has been published has also been confected, either wholly or in part.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Brian at LP comes across <a href="http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2009/11/the-cru-hack/comment-page-4/#comment-142223" rel="nofollow">this comment</a> at Realclimate which notes the selectivity of what has been made public. Think about all the emails that hit your inbox at work: staff meetings, organisation-wide announcements, stuff from friends, joke emails, upcoming events and conferences of interest, professional external email lists you belong to. As has already been pointed out by Dave in 10 years there&#8217;d be <i>heaps</i> of stuff. And even if you are a religious deleter like me, a quick squiz through my inbox shows stuff that got missed or things I hadn&#8217;t yet decided on.</p>
<p>AFAIK no hacker could screen out that stuff and certainly not going across 10 years worth of inbox content. Which strongly suggests the emails have indeed been culled. Given the exquisite timing of this issue, days out from Copenhagen, it&#8217;s not beyond reason to further assume that what has been published has also been confected, either wholly or in part.</p>
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		<title>Comment on A fresh climate thread by heavylambs</title>
		<link>http://blogs.crikey.com.au/purepoison/2009/11/19/a-fresh-climate-thread/comment-page-3/#comment-16868</link>
		<dc:creator>heavylambs</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 21 Nov 2009 08:11:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.crikey.com.au/purepoison/?p=4495#comment-16868</guid>
		<description>Bulldust,I don&#039;t dispute the emails are real as far as anyone has scanned them all,and I have read a good number of them. What I have seen is the pretty unremarkable sight of collegial communication,with its usual humor,disagreement and back-and-forth. However,no-one at all is yet capable of verifying all of them because of sheer numbers,so it remains possible that some are confected or edited. Certainly ,they have been selected and collated,and illegally taken.

The contentious issue is Phil Jones and the FOI matter,but the reality is still unclear. His reluctance to be diverted by McI&#039;s demands is well known. I&#039;m not surprised at the concern these guys show towards a hostile,unaccountable and collusive group of contrarians who don&#039;t collect the data or produce any science of note,but pump a pliant political and media base for maximum spoilage. I&#039;d even go so far as to suggest some opinion writers are willing to sacrifice public trust in science to further their aims.These people,such as George Will and Andrew Bolt,are not accountable to or restrained by the standards of proof that scientists are,make no mistake. If you find it remarkable that scientists show private or public concern about &#039;mob/blog science&#039; I&#039;d have to think you naive. Or bunging it on.

What depresses me is the hypocrisy and scientific illiteracy of those anxious to spin these communications into yet another &#039;nail in the coffin&#039; of climate science. Most comments I have seen have been sad and deluded;there is a fearful,aggressive mob out there,being enabled by the Watts&#039; of this world. Watts is notorious for aggressively defending  many items of unreviewed junk analysis that pass for content on his blog. in calling for standards, he is the worst kind of hypocrite,and McIntyre reveals his true colors by actively linking him. I&#039;m horrified that people like this should be trying to influence public policy.

Gavin Schmidt is settling the misconstructions with his customary pith and economy,as,clearly, someone has to counter the confusion.You can&#039;t claim to have posed your question without hostility,what with your faux-intimate opening and bristling attitude. I also think that the context of many of the emails is pretty clear,but calls of conspiracy to manipulate data are dumb and hypocritical;I have rarely encountered a denialist &#039;study&#039; that isn&#039;t built on bad maths and manipulated information.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Bulldust,I don&#8217;t dispute the emails are real as far as anyone has scanned them all,and I have read a good number of them. What I have seen is the pretty unremarkable sight of collegial communication,with its usual humor,disagreement and back-and-forth. However,no-one at all is yet capable of verifying all of them because of sheer numbers,so it remains possible that some are confected or edited. Certainly ,they have been selected and collated,and illegally taken.</p>
<p>The contentious issue is Phil Jones and the FOI matter,but the reality is still unclear. His reluctance to be diverted by McI&#8217;s demands is well known. I&#8217;m not surprised at the concern these guys show towards a hostile,unaccountable and collusive group of contrarians who don&#8217;t collect the data or produce any science of note,but pump a pliant political and media base for maximum spoilage. I&#8217;d even go so far as to suggest some opinion writers are willing to sacrifice public trust in science to further their aims.These people,such as George Will and Andrew Bolt,are not accountable to or restrained by the standards of proof that scientists are,make no mistake. If you find it remarkable that scientists show private or public concern about &#8216;mob/blog science&#8217; I&#8217;d have to think you naive. Or bunging it on.</p>
<p>What depresses me is the hypocrisy and scientific illiteracy of those anxious to spin these communications into yet another &#8216;nail in the coffin&#8217; of climate science. Most comments I have seen have been sad and deluded;there is a fearful,aggressive mob out there,being enabled by the Watts&#8217; of this world. Watts is notorious for aggressively defending  many items of unreviewed junk analysis that pass for content on his blog. in calling for standards, he is the worst kind of hypocrite,and McIntyre reveals his true colors by actively linking him. I&#8217;m horrified that people like this should be trying to influence public policy.</p>
<p>Gavin Schmidt is settling the misconstructions with his customary pith and economy,as,clearly, someone has to counter the confusion.You can&#8217;t claim to have posed your question without hostility,what with your faux-intimate opening and bristling attitude. I also think that the context of many of the emails is pretty clear,but calls of conspiracy to manipulate data are dumb and hypocritical;I have rarely encountered a denialist &#8217;study&#8217; that isn&#8217;t built on bad maths and manipulated information.</p>
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		<title>Comment on A fresh climate thread by Nigel Molesworth</title>
		<link>http://blogs.crikey.com.au/purepoison/2009/11/19/a-fresh-climate-thread/comment-page-3/#comment-16867</link>
		<dc:creator>Nigel Molesworth</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 21 Nov 2009 07:23:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.crikey.com.au/purepoison/?p=4495#comment-16867</guid>
		<description>I would have thought you denialists would be quite disappointed by this heist. Of course, as we know from Bolt&#039;s site, you have absolute contempt for property laws, but even so after this massive theft you might have expected something a bit more incriminating if your bishops were to be believed. Where are the instructions from George Soros for the message of the day? Where are the instructions from our putative socialist/communist/vegetarian overlords instructing fakery of data? Not to be seen my dears, not to be seen.

All you have managed to thieve is the startling insight that climate scientists hold you in deep contempt and that in a presentation to a conference one climate scientist did not want to highlight some dodgy tree-ring data. As pissweak as everything you saucer people do...</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I would have thought you denialists would be quite disappointed by this heist. Of course, as we know from Bolt&#8217;s site, you have absolute contempt for property laws, but even so after this massive theft you might have expected something a bit more incriminating if your bishops were to be believed. Where are the instructions from George Soros for the message of the day? Where are the instructions from our putative socialist/communist/vegetarian overlords instructing fakery of data? Not to be seen my dears, not to be seen.</p>
<p>All you have managed to thieve is the startling insight that climate scientists hold you in deep contempt and that in a presentation to a conference one climate scientist did not want to highlight some dodgy tree-ring data. As pissweak as everything you saucer people do&#8230;</p>
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		<title>Comment on A fresh climate thread by Catsidhe</title>
		<link>http://blogs.crikey.com.au/purepoison/2009/11/19/a-fresh-climate-thread/comment-page-3/#comment-16866</link>
		<dc:creator>Catsidhe</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 21 Nov 2009 06:18:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.crikey.com.au/purepoison/?p=4495#comment-16866</guid>
		<description>I know nothing about these emails other than what I have seen written here and at LP, but I do have two observations: When people are communicating between themselves and taken out of context, as these most certainly must be, and then deliberately (mis)interpreted to fit a preconceived line of attack, then the conclusions drawn from any carefully cherrypicked message devoid of context can be used to suit whatever argument you have in mind. That given all this, the worst that can be found is where several people are talking in jargon about how to present data to best show its meaning, I take this to mean that even the denialists can&#039;t find anything to satisfy their prejudices.

Second, I saw the ‘argument’ yesterday that this must be true and damaging, because the organisation involved had not said anything. Today I see the ‘argument’ that this must be true and damaging, because they&#039;re busy explaining the contents. Heads I win, Tails you lose. Have you stopped beating your wife, yes or no? This doesn&#039;t bode well for a fair hearing.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I know nothing about these emails other than what I have seen written here and at LP, but I do have two observations: When people are communicating between themselves and taken out of context, as these most certainly must be, and then deliberately (mis)interpreted to fit a preconceived line of attack, then the conclusions drawn from any carefully cherrypicked message devoid of context can be used to suit whatever argument you have in mind. That given all this, the worst that can be found is where several people are talking in jargon about how to present data to best show its meaning, I take this to mean that even the denialists can&#8217;t find anything to satisfy their prejudices.</p>
<p>Second, I saw the ‘argument’ yesterday that this must be true and damaging, because the organisation involved had not said anything. Today I see the ‘argument’ that this must be true and damaging, because they&#8217;re busy explaining the contents. Heads I win, Tails you lose. Have you stopped beating your wife, yes or no? This doesn&#8217;t bode well for a fair hearing.</p>
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		<title>Comment on A fresh climate thread by confessions</title>
		<link>http://blogs.crikey.com.au/purepoison/2009/11/19/a-fresh-climate-thread/comment-page-3/#comment-16865</link>
		<dc:creator>confessions</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 21 Nov 2009 05:56:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.crikey.com.au/purepoison/?p=4495#comment-16865</guid>
		<description>&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2009/11/i-read-through-160000000-bytes-of.html&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;Nate Silver:&lt;/a&gt;

[Actually, what you have is a scientist, Dr. Jones, talking candidly about sexing up a graph to make his conclusions more persuasive. This is not a good thing thing to do -- I&#039;d go so far as to call it unethical -- and Jones deserves some of the loss of face that he will suffer. Unfortunately, this is the sort of thing that happens all the time in both academia and the private sector -- have you ever looked at the graphs in the annual report of a company which had a bad year? And it seems to happen all too often on both sides of the global warming debate (I&#039;d include some of the graphics from An Inconvenient Truth in this category, FWIW.)

But let&#039;s be clear: Jones is talking to his colleagues about making a prettier picture out of his data, and not about manipulating the data itself. Again, I&#039;m not trying to excuse what he did -- we make a lot of charts here and 538 and make every effort to ensure that they fairly and accurately reflect the underlying data (in addition to being aesthetically appealing.) I wish everybody would abide by that standard.

Still: I don&#039;t know how you get from some scientist having sexed up a graph in East Anglia ten years ago to The Final Nail In The Coffin of Anthropogenic Global Warming. Anyone who comes to that connection has more screws loose than the Space Shuttle Challenger. And yet that&#039;s literally what some of these bloggers are saying!]

As I suspected: a beat up by the desperate denialists, who don&#039;t understand the scientific process, yet just blurt out the first crap that enters their heads. 

Just another day in the far Right blogosphere.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2009/11/i-read-through-160000000-bytes-of.html" rel="nofollow">Nate Silver:</a></p>
<blockquote><p>Actually, what you have is a scientist, Dr. Jones, talking candidly about sexing up a graph to make his conclusions more persuasive. This is not a good thing thing to do -- I'd go so far as to call it unethical -- and Jones deserves some of the loss of face that he will suffer. Unfortunately, this is the sort of thing that happens all the time in both academia and the private sector -- have you ever looked at the graphs in the annual report of a company which had a bad year? And it seems to happen all too often on both sides of the global warming debate (I'd include some of the graphics from An Inconvenient Truth in this category, FWIW.)</p>
<p>But let's be clear: Jones is talking to his colleagues about making a prettier picture out of his data, and not about manipulating the data itself. Again, I'm not trying to excuse what he did -- we make a lot of charts here and 538 and make every effort to ensure that they fairly and accurately reflect the underlying data (in addition to being aesthetically appealing.) I wish everybody would abide by that standard.</p>
<p>Still: I don't know how you get from some scientist having sexed up a graph in East Anglia ten years ago to The Final Nail In The Coffin of Anthropogenic Global Warming. Anyone who comes to that connection has more screws loose than the Space Shuttle Challenger. And yet that's literally what some of these bloggers are saying!</p></blockquote>
<p>As I suspected: a beat up by the desperate denialists, who don&#8217;t understand the scientific process, yet just blurt out the first crap that enters their heads. </p>
<p>Just another day in the far Right blogosphere.</p>
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		<title>Comment on A fresh climate thread by Bulldust</title>
		<link>http://blogs.crikey.com.au/purepoison/2009/11/19/a-fresh-climate-thread/comment-page-3/#comment-16864</link>
		<dc:creator>Bulldust</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 21 Nov 2009 05:48:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.crikey.com.au/purepoison/?p=4495#comment-16864</guid>
		<description>heavylambs Posted November 21, 2009 at 3:48 pm
Why do you feel the urge to add adjectives in association with McIntyre? He is  rigorous and transparent in his methods. Re-read Schmidt&#039;s email I copied there... clearly you do not understand, or want to understand, what he, himself, wrote about McIntyre, despite lacking the understanding of the context of the study. This all in his own words. As far as he was concerned McIntyre was wrong before he even began the assessment of the man&#039;s work. There are appropriate adjectives to describe such a disposition, but unlike yourself I do not feel the need to attach them to Schmidt&#039;s name.

The logic why Gavin is trying to address pasted emails at the RC site is obvious to anyone. It really is that simple... if they were fake, even one of them, he would be saying it. Arguing the point any other way really makes one look stupid... sorry, but it does. Anyway, I won&#039;t dwelll here, because I know from previous experience the abuse that gets piled on people like myself for not slavishly towing the AGW line with blinkers affixed.

All I ask is that you folks read a few of the emails yourselves and think about what the mean and imply about the authors&#039; predisposition. The context in so many of them is clear as day.

As for those that say the emails are fake... I give that a less than 1% chance. The originals had incredible detail (email headers that were trace routable etc). Besides, they have already admitted the hack and verified the data were a true copy... only remains to be seen if by data they mean the emails as well or only the numerical data.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>heavylambs Posted November 21, 2009 at 3:48 pm<br />
Why do you feel the urge to add adjectives in association with McIntyre? He is  rigorous and transparent in his methods. Re-read Schmidt&#8217;s email I copied there&#8230; clearly you do not understand, or want to understand, what he, himself, wrote about McIntyre, despite lacking the understanding of the context of the study. This all in his own words. As far as he was concerned McIntyre was wrong before he even began the assessment of the man&#8217;s work. There are appropriate adjectives to describe such a disposition, but unlike yourself I do not feel the need to attach them to Schmidt&#8217;s name.</p>
<p>The logic why Gavin is trying to address pasted emails at the RC site is obvious to anyone. It really is that simple&#8230; if they were fake, even one of them, he would be saying it. Arguing the point any other way really makes one look stupid&#8230; sorry, but it does. Anyway, I won&#8217;t dwelll here, because I know from previous experience the abuse that gets piled on people like myself for not slavishly towing the AGW line with blinkers affixed.</p>
<p>All I ask is that you folks read a few of the emails yourselves and think about what the mean and imply about the authors&#8217; predisposition. The context in so many of them is clear as day.</p>
<p>As for those that say the emails are fake&#8230; I give that a less than 1% chance. The originals had incredible detail (email headers that were trace routable etc). Besides, they have already admitted the hack and verified the data were a true copy&#8230; only remains to be seen if by data they mean the emails as well or only the numerical data.</p>
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		<title>Comment on A fresh climate thread by heavylambs</title>
		<link>http://blogs.crikey.com.au/purepoison/2009/11/19/a-fresh-climate-thread/comment-page-3/#comment-16863</link>
		<dc:creator>heavylambs</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 21 Nov 2009 04:48:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.crikey.com.au/purepoison/?p=4495#comment-16863</guid>
		<description>Bulldust,when Schmidt isn&#039;t &#039;sure of the science&#039; or,as is actually the case, not a dendro specialist,he still clearly knows more about the issue and McIntyre&#039;s strategy than you,and he knows when to consult. Is this untrue?

 McIntyre&#039;s achievements as a silver-tongued dog-whistler more than outweigh his slim data-tidying contributions,and he claimed victory over Yamal despite reality. Who would be privately tolerant of that pattern of behavior?

 And Schmidt makes clear in his reply to you about why he is not well disposed towards McIntyre&#039;s approach; it&#039;s cart before horse,and calculated to antagonise.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Bulldust,when Schmidt isn&#8217;t &#8217;sure of the science&#8217; or,as is actually the case, not a dendro specialist,he still clearly knows more about the issue and McIntyre&#8217;s strategy than you,and he knows when to consult. Is this untrue?</p>
<p> McIntyre&#8217;s achievements as a silver-tongued dog-whistler more than outweigh his slim data-tidying contributions,and he claimed victory over Yamal despite reality. Who would be privately tolerant of that pattern of behavior?</p>
<p> And Schmidt makes clear in his reply to you about why he is not well disposed towards McIntyre&#8217;s approach; it&#8217;s cart before horse,and calculated to antagonise.</p>
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		<title>Comment on A fresh climate thread by Dewgong</title>
		<link>http://blogs.crikey.com.au/purepoison/2009/11/19/a-fresh-climate-thread/comment-page-3/#comment-16862</link>
		<dc:creator>Dewgong</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 21 Nov 2009 03:56:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.crikey.com.au/purepoison/?p=4495#comment-16862</guid>
		<description>Hmm, to clarify that last post, we know that much of the correspondence is real, I mean to say the emails that are supposedly damning need to have their sources verified, because as I said, it is not unreasonable to think some of it is not genuine at this stage.

But regardless, so far I have seen nothing that would considered damning at all.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Hmm, to clarify that last post, we know that much of the correspondence is real, I mean to say the emails that are supposedly damning need to have their sources verified, because as I said, it is not unreasonable to think some of it is not genuine at this stage.</p>
<p>But regardless, so far I have seen nothing that would considered damning at all.</p>
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		<title>Comment on A fresh climate thread by Dewgong</title>
		<link>http://blogs.crikey.com.au/purepoison/2009/11/19/a-fresh-climate-thread/comment-page-3/#comment-16861</link>
		<dc:creator>Dewgong</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 21 Nov 2009 03:46:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.crikey.com.au/purepoison/?p=4495#comment-16861</guid>
		<description>Bulldust, I&#039;m not quite sure how I was denying anything. I said that it would be smart to perform due diligence on the source of these emails before jumping to conclusions. You remember how &quot;utegate&quot; panned out don&#039;t you?

That Gavin Schmidt is &quot;trying to douse and explain every single quoted email at Real Climate&quot; is not evidence they are real, you just assume he &quot;would be vehemently denying the fact and shouting that they are faked&quot;, because that&#039;s what you would expect someone to do in such a situation, or because it is how you yourself would act in such a situation. It that doesn&#039;t at all mean they are real, it is just a conclusion you have drawn based on your opinion of how you think he should be acting. 

I&#039;m guessing you are one of the &quot;where there&#039;s smoke there&#039;s fire&quot; types, well be aware that sometimes what you are seeing is not smoke at all, but steam. You and the skeptics claim to be &quot;skeptics&quot;, so be skeptical and ascertain the truth about this hack, which means verifying the source of these emails before jumping to conclusions.   I&#039;m watching this with great interest, but unlike some, with a skeptical approach

I&#039;m still not sure what is actually damning about these emails even if they are all real, but if you could explain it to me that would be great. .</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Bulldust, I&#8217;m not quite sure how I was denying anything. I said that it would be smart to perform due diligence on the source of these emails before jumping to conclusions. You remember how &#8220;utegate&#8221; panned out don&#8217;t you?</p>
<p>That Gavin Schmidt is &#8220;trying to douse and explain every single quoted email at Real Climate&#8221; is not evidence they are real, you just assume he &#8220;would be vehemently denying the fact and shouting that they are faked&#8221;, because that&#8217;s what you would expect someone to do in such a situation, or because it is how you yourself would act in such a situation. It that doesn&#8217;t at all mean they are real, it is just a conclusion you have drawn based on your opinion of how you think he should be acting. </p>
<p>I&#8217;m guessing you are one of the &#8220;where there&#8217;s smoke there&#8217;s fire&#8221; types, well be aware that sometimes what you are seeing is not smoke at all, but steam. You and the skeptics claim to be &#8220;skeptics&#8221;, so be skeptical and ascertain the truth about this hack, which means verifying the source of these emails before jumping to conclusions.   I&#8217;m watching this with great interest, but unlike some, with a skeptical approach</p>
<p>I&#8217;m still not sure what is actually damning about these emails even if they are all real, but if you could explain it to me that would be great. .</p>
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		<title>Comment on A fresh climate thread by John Winston</title>
		<link>http://blogs.crikey.com.au/purepoison/2009/11/19/a-fresh-climate-thread/comment-page-3/#comment-16860</link>
		<dc:creator>John Winston</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 21 Nov 2009 03:14:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.crikey.com.au/purepoison/?p=4495#comment-16860</guid>
		<description>Hacking Sarah Palin&#039;s email bad. 
Hacking scientists&#039; email good.

Just so you know.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Hacking Sarah Palin&#8217;s email bad.<br />
Hacking scientists&#8217; email good.</p>
<p>Just so you know.</p>
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