Rundle Live

McCain concedes

Tired, but holding himself together, McCain is conceding in Phoenix..booing early on, when he mentions Obama and he tries to calm them, but the best he gets is stony silence

Hes generous about Obama, still a bit quirky….’this is a proud day for African Americans’ – well particularly them but for everyone surely

He talks of the racism that disfigured America and that doesnt get much support either…the idea of overcoming it, gets tepid applause…

Mentions Obama’s grandmother, maybe to shame them into some sort of fellow feeling…

The failure is mine – they now chant ‘John McCain’ in support

He mentions Palin and the whole place goes spack ….gee that must hurt

‘I don’ t know what more we could have done to win this election’ …..competence would have helped

He rounds out the speech well about it being a privilege to serve….

‘americans never quit, we never hide from history, we make history….’

Now he is history.

But a generous and well-made speech, held together well.

Finis

 

Right on the stroke of 11pm here, the networks have almost simultaneously declared the elction for Barack Obama, just as the last polls closed on the west coast. In the end it’s gone pretty much as it was projected, with the polls nailing it pretty well.

What would have to happen for this to be wrong? Some quantum leap of loop gravity through the tracitr beam to make everything go backwards I would suspect.

Further results follow

yes Virginia there is a sanity claus

FOX has just called Virginia for Obama – if you want a really funny ongoing coverage tune in to ‘national review’s ‘ ‘The Corner’ (its on ‘blog row’ on the site) and tell me if all these people aren’t weepy drunk, weaving from euphira to despair, resolve to torpor. Hilarious

Colorado and new mexico are in the tank

Colorado and New Mexico have been called for Obama by most outlets – which is beond the ballgame….but McCain can still win! Oregon, Washington state and Hawaii! Yessssss!!!!

Obamohio

 

Ohio’s been called for Obama in the last ten minutes or so, by most networks, which together with Pennsylvania is the ballgame for McCain – unless he can Washington State and Oregon ha ha ha.

The projection is based on 15% of returns, but theyre a reasonably even spread across different areas of Ohio, and it shows Obama with a 55% to 43% result

Someone’s going to have to tell Joe the Plumber………

dont panic dont panic

Virginia is reporting 55 to 44% for McCain – but it’s only two southern moonshine counties

head to head exit polls

here’s some exits from Huffington Post, leaked to them by a Democrat

The usual caution on exit polls is that young people are more likely to answer them than old people which skews to the Dems. However, this year that may be offset by early voting, which also skews to the dems, and whose participants obviously aren’t included in the exit results, so that may even it out.

If so the thing looks good for Obama:

The states looking good for Obama:

Florida: 52 percent to 44 percent
Iowa: 52 percent to 48 percent
Missouri: 52 percent to 48 percent
North Carolina: 52 percent to 48 percent
New Hampshire: 57 percent to 43 percent
Nevada: 55 percent to 45 percent
Pennsylvania: 57 percent to 42 percent
Ohio: 54 percent to 45 percent
Wisconsin: 58 percent to 42 percent
Indiana: 52 percent to 48 percent
New Mexico: 56 percent to 43 percent
Minnesota: 60 percent to 39 percent
Michigan: 60 percent to 39 percent

The states where McCain is leading in exit polls:

Georgia: 51 percent to 47 percent
West Virginia: 45 percent to 55 percent

first results – Indiana and Kentucky

Okay, so there’s early polling in Indiana and Kentucky…Kentucky is of no interest if McCain loses that throw him in a deep fat fryer and serve him up in a bucket.

But with almost nothing counted, Obama and McCain  are neck and neck 50-49. The really important thing here is that none of these results are coming from the urban black redoubt of Gary,  Indiana which will deliver late, and quite possibly with more votes for Obama than there are voters.

UPDATE: it must be anomolous but even Kentucky is running 51-49 McCain – Obama. Surely that will come back in better for McCain. Surely…..

early exit polling

is near meaningless – first time voters in Virginia, Ohio and Indiana found…

first time voters going for Obama about 70-30

late deciding voters going for Obama about 55-45 (and about 62-38 in Virginia)

white male voters going for McCain about 55-45, and about 60-40 in Virginia

Ruh roh, as electoral analyst Scooby Doo would say.

However, it needs to be borne in mind that this is only polling day exit polling, so isnt taking into account those who’ve already voted

McCain almost crashes another plane

story that the Straight Talk jet had an aborted landing in Albuque…Albak….A…some city in New Mexico, almost hitting traffic on the runway.

Remember Keating’s near miss  – was it in a helicopter – in 1996? Do the Gods like to throw a scare into folks?