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Should Sydney, Adelaide and Perth go bikeshare?

Bus driver deliberately runs down cyclist

If they’re tempted, other Australian cities should think long and hard before committing to bikeshare. If private investors are prepared to take on the risk that’s fine, but it’s highly unlikely they’re interested. The fact is bikeshare will only happen if taxpayers stump up most of the funds.

Cities should ask themselves, first, if bikeshare warrants funding and, second, if there might in any case be better uses for the money. There are a number of issues they should consider.

The obvious number one concern is the mandatory helmet law. It’s universally cited as the reason why Brisbanites and Melburnians haven’t embraced bikeshare with anything like the enthusiasm of Parisians and Londoners. However there are possible solutions to the helmet issue.

Those who oppose the helmet law argue that users don’t want to wear a helmet, but I suspect they’re well and truly out-numbered by those who don’t use bikeshare simply because they can’t get access to a helmet easily. Providing cheap helmets at point-of-sale – for example for $2 via vending machines – might address most of that problem.

Follow this link to win one to two copies of Andrew Leigh’s ‘Disconnected’

But that’s not the only concern. Even if the helmet issue is resolved, it doesn’t necessarily follow that residents of cities like Perth, Adelaide, Sydney and Newcastle would enthusiastically embrace bikeshare. As I’ve argued before, there are other factors, particularly fear of cycling in traffic, that might retard use of share bikes.

Safety is a much harder issue to address in the short-term than helmets. Unfortunately, our cities don’t have the bicycle infrastructure or the positive cultural and legal disposition towards cycling of many European cities.

The scale of financing could also be an obstacle to any city contemplating bikeshare. Melbourne’s scheme was set up on the basis it would cost $5.5 million over four years, but I expect that must’ve at least doubled by now. One reason for its lacklustre performance could be it was done on the cheap.

There are just 600 bikes and 50 docking stations in Melbourne, compared to 20,000 bikes and 1450 stations in Paris’s conspicuously successful scheme. So the cost and risk for government in a city like Sydney could be considerable (the Paris system cost a whopping $140 million to set-up).

Apart from these practical constraints, other cities might also ponder what benefits bikeshare would deliver to justify the subsidy. This is not a question that bothered Melbourne or Brisbane, to their cost. Their key motivation was ‘greenwashing’.

They set up bikeshare to sell an image of sustainability, never mind the substance. Either they were ignored, or nobody did the sums that would’ve led to the obvious but inconvenient conclusion – “it won’t work until the helmet issue is resolved”. As it’s turned out, bikeshare has probably done damage to the image of cycling and sustainability in these two cities.

Even if Novocastrians were confident ridership would be much higher in their city than in Brisbane, hard and probing questions should still be asked about the benefits of bikeshare. The key pay-offs usually cited are greater mobility and increased sustainability.

The mobility benefits seem obvious. There are plenty of trips within the city centre and inner city of Australian cities that would be faster and more convenient by bike than by public transport. After all, bikes are a form of individual transport not dissimilar in some respects to cars. They’re available on demand (no waiting), go direct to the destination (no transfers), and, notwithstanding the term ‘bikeshare’, don’t have to be shared with strangers during trips (no stops).

Still, while it’s far from perfect, public transport in the centre of Australian cities is pretty good and is getting better. The centre is where all the radial train, bus and tram lines converge. Cities should ask themselves if public subsidies should go to a competitor mode, or whether they would be better spent on improving inner city public transport.

Cities should also ask if bikeshare would deliver a significantly greener outcome. Unfortunately there’s an absence of hard data on this question, but improvement in sustainability will only be marginal if, as I suspect, share bikes mainly substitute for walking and public transport trips, or induce trips that wouldn’t otherwise be made.

And cities should think long and hard about whether bikeshare would really substitute for taxi and car trips. Many people imagine they’d use bikeshare if they had the opportunity rather than take a taxi or drive, but this is exactly the sort of choice where people tend to over-estimate their likely use of a new option.

On some occasions they no doubt would cycle, perhaps in the first flush of enthusiasm, but there are many more occasions when there’re reasons not to. Perhaps it’s raining, or it’s too hot or too cold, or they’ve had a drink. Or it might be it’s an important meeting, or they’re wearing their best clobber, or they’re not feeling 100%, or it’s a bit too far, or they’re reluctant to cycle at night, or their companion isn’t interested in cycling, or….well, work’s probably paying for the taxi; and if not, well, it’s the inner city so the trip won’t cost a lot anyway.

On the positive side, the potential of bikeshare to aid tourism would be worth investigating. The implementations in Melbourne and Brisbane are aimed at locals, not tourists. The design of Melbourne’s tariff positively discourages longer hires – say to cycle the inner parts of the Yarra Trail – that might be attractive to tourists. Of course it’s worth remembering that the centre of Perth, interesting as it is, is not inner city Paris or London.

Cities contemplating subsidised bikeshare should understand that getting large numbers of riders doesn’t necessarily mean the scheme’s successful. There has to be a public benefit that exceeds the public cost. And it should be the best available (transport) use for the funds.

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  • 1
    RidesToWork
    Posted March 5, 2012 at 10:10 am | Permalink

    It would have been more logical to compare Melbourne’s 600 bikes with Dublin’s 400 bike (in 40 docking stations).

    In the first 12 months of the Dublin scheme there were 47,000 subscribers and over 1.1 million journeys were made on the bikes. This averages around 5,000 trips per day, compared to Melbourne’s 200-500 trips per day.

    Are cities like Dublin and London less dangerous for cycling than Melbourne? Dublin was very dangerous, with 27 cyclists killed in 1997. Thankfully, in 2009 there were many more cyclists but only 3 fatalities.

    It would be interesting to know how these improvements were achieved. I suspect it may have more to do with regulation of traffic and safety in numbers, rather than large amounts of money spent on infrastructure.

    It would also be interesting to know more about the perception that cycling is unsafe. Is it because of helmet laws? Dr Ian’s Walker’s research showed a big increase in tight passing incidents when he wore a helmet. Indeed, Dr Walker was hit twice when conducting this research – by a truck and a bus – both times when he was wearing a helmet! http://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2006-09/uob-wah091106.php

  • 2
    hk
    Posted March 5, 2012 at 10:35 am | Permalink

    MBS IMPACT ON HEALTH

    My main reasons for choosing to become a MBS user on most weekdays from its early days in 2010, follow:
    1) Already meeting most of my transport needs by walking in inner Melbourne, the motivation to mode change from walking to bicycling was a result of entering the pre-diabetes phase, and finding no matter how far or energetically I walked daily for my transport needs my sugar readings did not change. Where as once I started cycling to meet my daily transport needs my sugar readings dropped significantly. (All other life style variables remained similar.)
    2) The choice to replace walking by cycling for health reasons was straightforward. By replacing my bike for inner city travel with a MBS bike, I automatically obtain the geographic space-time pattern profile of my transport activity. The convenience of using MBS in collecting data for health impact modelling and analysis should never be underrated,
    3) Analysis shows my average cycling time per trip is more than 15 minutes averaged out over hundreds of trips since 2010. Most of the bike trips would have been at 3 times the metabolic rate of walking (particularly on hot days). The personal health benefit is quantifiable: as is the resultant saving to the public heath bill.
    4) The personal travel time saving in cycling over walking and PT use is also quantifiable in terms of additional opportunity for higher-level choices.

  • 3
    Daniel Bowen
    Posted March 5, 2012 at 11:47 am | Permalink

    I blogged this well before the bike share scheme started up, but Harry Barber from Bicycle Victoria (now Bicycle Network Victoria) had some interesting comments at a Senate Committee hearing back when it was just a proposal:

    “We remain sceptical. We do not think the barrier is the bike; you can get a bike from the hard rubbish. The reason people are not riding is not because they do not have a bike. It is because they do not have somewhere to ride. As soon as you provide places to ride, people will get bikes. As the bicycle ecosystem develops, when it is comfortable for kids and cautious women to ride, as Senator Hutchins was talking about before, you may need hire bikes available that you can pick up for a small fee to get yourself, in Melbourne terms, down to St Kilda Road or something like that. We think that we are not quite there yet: that is a bit of an after-university thing and we are still at high school in the business of bikes. So we think it is very early to make this investment. They are quite expensive; all up, if you were to divide the number of bikes by the investment, they are going to be $8,000 bikes sitting on the side of the road.”

  • 4
    RidesToWork
    Posted March 5, 2012 at 1:28 pm | Permalink

    Article in Today’s SMH:
    Bike hire plans hinge on helmets. “THE City of Sydney is considering a bicycle hire scheme, but only if it wins an exemption from compulsory helmet laws…” http://www.smh.com.au/nsw/bike-hire-plans-hinge-on-helmets-20120304-1ub4f.html#ixzz1oCnB22RJ

    If an exemption is granted, its would be a good opportunity to compare head injury rates of city bike users in Sydney with other cyclists.

  • 5
    Alan Davies
    Posted March 5, 2012 at 3:26 pm | Permalink

    Rides ToWork: Are you recommending that if Sydney gets an exemption from the helmet law it should start operations with 400 bikes and 40 docking stations, like Dublin?

  • 6
    michael r james
    Posted March 5, 2012 at 3:40 pm | Permalink

    Alas,it pains me to say so but Alan Davies writes another confusing piece on what many other cities have decided is a service of high public amenity.

    First and foremost is the issue of costs. Davies says “the Paris system cost a whopping $140 million to set-up” but he needs to read his Wikipedia more closely:

    JCDecaux paid the scheme's start-up costs, totalling about $140 million, and employs around 285 people full-time to operate the system and repair the bikes on a ten-year contract. The city receives all revenue from the programme, as well as a fee of about US$4.3 million a year.

    Now I am not going to say that any scheme will come as a “free lunch” to the city. Paris has had a large unexpected cost of vandalism which is estimated at up to 2M euro per year. But really is $140M such a “whopping” cost? And a capital cost incurred by the commercial partner? In the context of almost any other transport cost it is peanuts. And with the various issues, including vandalism, being overcome with time, there is a steady annual income stream from the advertisers. It is beyond silly, indeed willfully obfuscating, to argue that costs of this order are decisive. (If it averages even as high as $5M per year, this is one 20th or less of the cost of a single km of new freeway or widening.)

    Anyway, instead of focussing on negatives what Australian cities need to examine is what makes such schemes a success elsewhere. In both London and Paris it is certainly partly that the city is so compact that cycling is often the best option (for distances where walking is a bit too time consuming). But, as I have previously written, Paris –contrary to what many Australians may think–is a very good model to follow. Namely, that a city and culture of semi-laissez faire driving/parking (midway between Italians and northern Europeans) CAN be converted culturally and behaviourally.

    As a decade-long resident (and sometime cyclist until it was stolen) I was pretty gob-smacked by the change in driver behaviour when I happened to visit in mid-2007 only a month after introduction of the Velib bike scheme. First, is to realize that one cannot just introduce such a bike culture overnight and expect it to take root. In fact Paris had been building bikeways and infrastructure towards increased bike use since the mid-90s, after a several months transport strike had caused lots of Parisians to rediscover cycling, walking and roller-blading to get around. This encouraged the city to begin building proper cycleways–some segregated and some sharing with buses and taxis on new busways that took a lane from the wider boulevards. Second, in turn this involved obvious training of the bus and taxi drivers–easier enough since their livelihoods depended on proper respect for cyclists. Third, at some point in the 2000s (my Parisian friends tell me) there was an official blitz against car driver transgressors–something unthinkable in my days in Paris! Apparently it was para-military, in the sense of zero-tolerance and widely policed along with saturation publicity. It worked, in a way I would never have believed. Parisian drivers have been tamed!

    So, by the time the Velib scheme was introduced, more than a decade of building proper cycleways and integrating busways, into a Paris*-wide network, the city and its people were ready. The Velib scheme was literally an overnight success (though the various problems took a very determined city government to overcome in the first year). The lesson: an “overnight” success that took at least a decade of persistent government policy.

    Is there any rational argument why this cannot be done in Sydney and our other cities? Of course not. (Certainly not the feeble economic-rationalist argument.) The fact that Brisbane (and perhaps Melbourne) have been lazy and, as Davies says, resorted to greenwashing, is not an argument against bikeshare schemes. And, needless to say, once you have a reasonable integrated network of mostly segregated cycleways, the helmet nonsense arguments disappears. Forget the classic examples of Copenhagen or Amsterdam, but think Paris where a feral car mentality ruled the streets until quite recently.

    (*Paris refers to inner Paris, population about 2.2 million, inside the Peripherique ring road, not the greater Paris area encompassing greater than 11 million.)

  • 7
    michael r james
    Posted March 5, 2012 at 3:58 pm | Permalink

    @RidesToWork at 1:28 pm

    Yes, and at least Sydney’s mayor, Clover Moore, has had a consistent and persistent effort at building proper cycleway network (contrast with the new state government that immediately muttered anti-bike sentiments soon after election, presumably to pander to the neanderthal car lobby).

    The problem is that it is still a long way from having a proper network–so one can cycle with safety in semi-segregated protection across the city. For me, it would be more informative to examine safety and accident statistics from a successful scheme like Paris (and definitely NOT London, except as a counter-example because they have the same patchy half-arsed “cycleways” that abruptly end in traffic snarls on narrow roads where cars have or take de facto priority). I don’t know if such statistics are collected or are publicly accessible. The French hospital system probably does collect the data but I have no idea about accessibility–I might ask some of my medico Parisian friends.

  • 8
    Alan Davies
    Posted March 5, 2012 at 4:47 pm | Permalink

    michael r james: I doubt it pains you one you little bit, Michael. :-)

    Unless JCDecaux or another private operator is going to come up with the money for a Sydney scheme, your argument is irrelevant – the cost of setting up bikeshare and operating it in Sydney will fall on the public sector. I’d be amazed if Sydney had to pay as much as $140 million, but whatever is required will be too much if it exceeds the benefits. That’s not ‘economic rationalism’ as you would have it, that’s just being responsible.

    P.S. Your account of the change in driver attitudes in Paris is interesting. That’s one of the keys to increasing cycling here.

  • 9
    RidesToWork
    Posted March 5, 2012 at 5:14 pm | Permalink

    michael r james wrote: “Definitely NOT London, except as a counter-example because they have the same patchy half-arsed “cycleways” that abruptly end in traffic snarls on narrow roads where cars have or take de facto priority”

    Here’s a quote from a web article: “It seems counterintuitive. You’d think that riding your own bike would be safer than riding a shared bike. But that’s not the case. In Paris, London, and Washington, D.C., fewer people are injured when they use the new bike-sharing systems.

    “In London, no one was seriously injured or killed on the first 4.5 million trips on what the locals call Boris Bikes…”

    Perhaps the bikes are so recognizable, or the riders look relatively inexperienced, that drivers take greater care? Stranger things have happened. Remember the video of Hans Monderman, who confidently walked backwards into a busy intersection knowing that the drivers would move round him?

    Have a look at the objective data on accidents and injuries complied by UK cycle expert John Franklin – http://www.cyclecraft.co.uk/digest/research.html

    I’m not sure that segregated facilities are actually as safe as you seem to think. Injury rates tend to increase at intersections. Increased injury rates in places where most injuries occur can make things more dangerous.

    Legislation to crack down on dangerous driving might have a better chance of making things safe for pedestrians and cyclists.

  • 10
    michael r james
    Posted March 5, 2012 at 5:25 pm | Permalink

    Alan at 4:47 pm.

    It genuinely pains me a lot. Because if someone who should be a natural ally of such schemes presents a rather negative case, it means the battle to tame and civilize our cities is that much harder. I must admit, if a somewhat aggressive tone crept into my post, it is because I am irritated by such arguments because they have never been applied to the fantastic mis-spending of tens of billions of dollars on freeways and tunnels that will cost our cities even more tens of billions in tolls over the coming decades (the case for the Brisbane tunnels is so weak that the concession had to be the longest ever awarded: 45 years; they are talking about 60 years for future ones but it doesn’t matter because in the short term the traffic predictions were so cooked up that all these tunnels will collapse financially within 5 years of construction; guess who will pick up the tab? Especially if Newman becomes Premier!). So you are applying a nitpicking argument to perhaps $5 to $10M pa for cycle schemes which has been ignored for billions on roads. It seems in every case–whether it is a train line to airports, or more generally public transit for cities or HSR for inter-city routes, and cycle schemes for inner cities, you cannot calculate the “benefit”. So it seems in all cases you simply favour the status quo: more roads.

    And why be so pessimistic about JCDecaux funding a Sydney scheme? Certainly they helped set up the Brisbane scheme–and this arrangement might be the only factor stopping the city closing it down (ie. the commercial arrangement which is long-term as JCD knows from their worldwide experience, might be required to bring the scheme to proper functioning). And this from a council that wants to (and is) spend $1 billion on repairing existing roads in the city.

    I’m afraid it seems your vague definition of “benefits” would condemn all such progressive and long-term schemes before they get started. What monetary benefit can one ascribe to making a city or urban environment more walkable, more safe for pedestrians, simply more pleasant? It is the same argument about trying to justify public transit versus more roads. The government (and certainly not a private company) cannot recover the full cost by charging fares; this is precisely the economic rationalist argument: therefore public transit should not be built, because it is “uneconomic”. The public health benefit alone would justify encouraging more walking and bike riding, not to mention actually relieving congestion so that freight and services operate more efficiently on the roads.

    I wonder what reasons you think the Paris council went ahead with their scheme? Or NYC where they have to fight an even more regressive car culture?

  • 11
    michael r james
    Posted March 5, 2012 at 5:40 pm | Permalink

    @RidesToWork at 5:14 pm

    I am aware of the London data but it is not a convincing case to use London as a model. Because most cyclists there still complain bitterly about the half-measures taken. But the Brits have that “muddle through” and “mustn’t grumble” thing that has left them with ratty public infrastructure compared to their counterparts across the channel. They might also allow some credit and leeway for Boris supporting the cycle scheme and (inadequate) cycle lanes–the laughable “bike super-highways”–against all the usual neanderthals (eg. Jeremy Clarkson).
    Looking at Paris and compare to London! A few years ago I would never have recommended anyone cycle in either, but Paris today…. There may be various counter-intuitive reasons why cycling accidents are not as bad as feared in London (some of which is that a lot of Boris Bike users, in contrast to the Lycra crowd, get off their bike at the dangerous points and walk it along foothpaths and intersections). I have no doubts that segregated cycleways will have to come–this means a approx. 1.5 m section of road next to footpath with low bollards that cars will choose not to cross.
    Re intersections I will post separately.

  • 12
    Alan Davies
    Posted March 5, 2012 at 5:42 pm | Permalink

    michael r james: Past and present misspending on freeways is irrelevant – linking it to consideration of bikeshare is fallacious logic and essentially emotional. You say $10m is nitpicking, but I say lack of proper evaluation is why Melbourne Bike Share failed – and I reckon the image of cycling could’ve suffered. BTW I don’t restrict my definition of ‘benefits’ solely to those that can be monetised.

  • 13
    michael r james
    Posted March 5, 2012 at 5:43 pm | Permalink

    About intersections, here is a nice video from a busy NYC three-way.

    Here was my post to that site:

    What the video shows is that, yes, lots of cyclists are ignoring rules and sometimes doing seriously dangerous maneouvres, but it also shows that plenty of pedestrians are doing the same. BUT overwhelmingly what it reveals is that the streetscape is still dominated by cars and trucks, and that plenty of them are also disregarding rules (the giant articulated truck doing a U-turn takes the cake), and of course that this is what leads to nasty consequences. Note that almost all the cyclists are moving quite slowly and especially when weaving thru pedestrians. There is no contact between cyclists or pedestrians in this vid (and if there were no one would be hurt seriously) and a couple of close calls with cars--all of which are avoided by the cyclist's action, not the vehicles' action.
    So, since when has it made sense to give over 90% of the earth's surface shown in this video to one form of transport that probably accounts for maybe 10% of the people movement shown in the video? There is often not even enough width of the ped crossing for the number of pedestrians so that they are forced to stray out of the zone. There is one clear lesson from the video: the intersection is poorly designed for the majority of actual people using it: there needs to be dedicated bike lanes (with segregation from traffic, not just painted white lines). Traffic planners and many drivers shriek that there would be catastrophic gridlock and congestion yet it doesn't happen where it has been tried.
    We need to redesign our city streets and get over this aberrant 50 year slice of history in which we will look back and be amazed that we gave over so much of our precious public space to motorized transport catering for a small minority.

  • 14
    michael r james
    Posted March 5, 2012 at 6:02 pm | Permalink

    @Alan Davies at 5:42 pm

    Actually I do not disagree with the argument that neither Brisbane or Melbourne properly planned or thought-out the adoption of these share schemes. I predicted that the Brisbane scheme could simply not attract riders as forecast–because the city’s cycle network is woeful, despite what Newman or now Quirk might claim (they count all those useless, nay veritable dangerous, cyclelanes consisting of whitelanes that are overridden by buses and cars.

    Naturally it makes a lot more sense that the network needs to be developed first. But in our awful incompetent Anglo manner, it is better to start somewhere (though the quality of city vision in Brisbane is dispiriting on both sides; as usual only the Greens have sensible plans). I don’t agree that the perception of city cycling has been adversely affected. On the contrary, most people realize that cycling has to attain primary safety (ie. separation from traffic) before most people would venture into our inner city, with or without a helmet. So, yes we will go thru this unnecessary messy period and “waste” millions of dollars but the end goal will slowly but surely come closer. After the spending orgy on roads in the past decade–in all major east coast cities–I think the tide has turned with the unwashed public; even they can see it does not solve the problem. Just like for public transport in Brisbane, more buses cannot solve it. We have wasted at least the last decade spending on non-solutions and the cost is simply incalculable. No matter your arguments you are quibbling over a few millions while ignoring the bigger picture. (Are you an economist by chance? :-)

    I cannot see how your approach (not even sure what it is; do you just believe our cities should abandon any attempt to encourage cycling?) leads to progress.

  • 15
    Alan Davies
    Posted March 5, 2012 at 10:14 pm | Permalink

    Now this is a bikeshare scheme! 50,000 bikes in Hangzhou, a city of 7 million.

  • 16
    Mark Newton
    Posted March 6, 2012 at 10:56 am | Permalink

    Pretty sure Adelaide already has a bikeshare scheme, CityBikes.
    http://www.bikesa.asn.au/AdelaideCityBikes

    – mark

  • 17
    Bobo
    Posted March 6, 2012 at 11:00 am | Permalink

    Alan’s perspective on the helmet issue could only have been written by a man. The fact of the matter is most women won’t do helmets because they are simply not compatible with having Good Hair. Modern female urbanites might fancy themselves no-nonsense, I’m-no-fashion-slave feminists, but the reality is that most women care deeply about looks, style and grooming. Perhaps a better way to encourage commuters out of cars and onto bikes would be to construct more bike-and-pedestrian-only pathways where helmet-wearing need not be compulsory because of the safety issue.

  • 18
    Alan Davies
    Posted March 6, 2012 at 11:17 am | Permalink

    #16 Mark Newton: That’s an interesting operation but I note they refer to it as “bike hire”. A key way it differs from bikeshare is it only has 7 outlets (and I can’t tell if hirers have to return the bike to the source outlet or not). Many cities around the world have these sorts of operations, primarily geared to tourists.

    #17 Bobo: Guilty as charged. I agree ‘helmet hair’ is an issue. This piece isn’t primarily about helmets, though.

  • 19
    SBH
    Posted March 8, 2012 at 11:55 am | Permalink

    I wonder what the effect of making CBD Melbourne a 40 Kmh limit would be on bicycle use. 40 is already about the practical limit, it would make all road users safer and I doubt that it would increase travel times or congestion. It would also be easier to advocate for and achieve than reversing a nationally consistent helmet law.

  • 20
    Alan Davies
    Posted March 8, 2012 at 12:24 pm | Permalink

    #19 SBH: I’d go 30 kph but even better, remove cars from the CBD, or at least price access. The basic public transport infrastructure in the CBDs of Australian cities is good enough, with some strategic improvements, to do without cars.

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