Is Fairfax telling us stories?
Fairfax newspapers seem to have a conscious policy of identifying with certain issues they presumably think are popular with their readers. In my area of interest – urban affairs – The Age often takes predictable and specific lines on certain topical matters.
Whatever the commercial advantages of such a strategy might be, there’re clear public interest risks in a media organ taking a partisan view. One is that conflicting views and facts might be deliberately excluded from public debate.
Here’s a current example – direct from the pages of The Age – of the potential dangers of partisanship.
This prominent page 3 news report in The Age last Tuesday (July 24), Doncaster railway line ‘could be built for $840m’, reported on a new study led by Professor Peter Newman. The key message is a new 12 km rail line to Melbourne’s east could be built for the unbelievably low cost of just $840 million.
The Doncaster study hasn’t been released publicly, but it was given to The Age. The paper followed up next day with an enthusiastic editorial, A rail link we need, and one we don’t, strongly endorsing the proposed rail line (and opposing the proposed East-West road link).
The study was commissioned by six eastern suburbs municipalities with an interest in the rail line. It was undertaken by Professor Newman’s Curtin University Sustainability Policy Institute, in conjunction with RMIT University and global engineering firm Arup.
I wrote about the report last week (Is this rail line too good to be true?). I was critical of the costings and the patronage estimates reported in The Age, which in my opinion are way, way out of line with reality. As I indicated in my analysis, they significantly under-estimate the cost of a new line and significantly over-state the likely patronage.
The Victorian Government is currently undertaking its own feasibility study of a rail line to Doncaster at a reported cost of $6 million. In my view, the six municipalities commissioned their study with the primary intent of putting political pressure on the Government to commit to the rail line.
Their prime interest isn’t in an objective assessment of the appropriateness of a rail line. So far as they’re concerned, the more attractive it looks – especially in terms of cost – the more pressure it puts on the Government.
It’s probably unrealistic to expect The Age to make a critical judgement prior to publication about the credibility of the material it reports, particularly on a technical topic like this. It could no doubt claim it’s just reporting what the experts say is true.
Be that as it may, I would nevertheless expect The Age to very speedily publish any contrary opinions from credible sources, especially if they cast serious doubt on the substance of the original “facts”. In this case, The Age received within a day of publishing the initial report not one dissenting letter from a highly credible source, but letters from two such sources.
One came from Tim Gosbell, the Leader of the Government’s Doncaster Rail Study. The other came from Andrew Wisdom of Arup, the engineering firm that’s a member of Professor Newman’s study team.
To its credit, The Age did publish a story the next day reporting comments by Tim Gosbell that the estimates were too cheap. However the report was much smaller and considerably less prominent than the original (although you can’t tell that from the on-line story). Importantly, it only covered the smaller part of Tim Gosbell’s arguments and gave no coverage to Andrew Wisdom’s comments which, because the firm is part of Prof Newman’s team, are particularly telling. (Note: this para was added on 30 July at 4.30 pm in response to this comment).
I find it extraordinary that The Age has not published either of these letters. Yet on Friday it found room to publish this unsubstantiated endorsement of the proposed rail line from a reader (Lorraine Bates of Surrey Hills):
Why is the government wasting more than $6 million of taxpayers’ money lining the pockets of consultants reinventing the wheel? We know what needs to be done – people have reportedly been requesting a rail line to Doncaster since the 1880s. Just do it.
Tim Gosbell’s view is at odds with the claims of Professor Newman’s report. Here is the nub of what he says in his letter (full text here):
To suggest that any Doncaster rail line option could be built for only $840M is overlooking the complexities of building a new railway line to Doncaster. One of our options follows the Eastern Freeway, but needs major tunnelling infrastructure to provide a connection to Doncaster Hill at its terminus, and major works to connect either near Victoria Park station or more tunnelling to connect to Parkville. More than half of this alignment is outside of the freeway median, requiring much more complex engineering.
Furthermore, it is completely inappropriate to compare a Doncaster rail line with a project in Mandurah built nearly 10 years ago, in a different construction environment, using different rolling stock and to different rail standards…..
To claim that a rail connection to a catchment the size of Doncaster would carry 100,000 people a day is simply misleading….
The letter from Arup’s Andrew Wisdom is understandably more oblique, but there’s no mistaking the distance he wants to put between his firm and the claims reported in The Age (full text here):
Arup was not involved in providing any advice on cost estimates, engineering or constructability for the Doncaster Rail project.
There can surely be no question that these letters are pertinent, credible and should’ve been published. The whole affair smacks of The Age taking a position that’s so partisan it won’t give contrary views a full airing.
Some have characterised The Age as having a “leftish” or “progressive” bias but I think that’s inaccurate. Even if the editors think that’s what they’re doing, a Doncaster rail line would be inequitable and do virtually nothing for sustainability.
If the billions of dollars required for Doncaster rail were applied to alternative public transport projects, they would give a much better outcome in terms of the traditional progressive agenda. If The Age really were a progressive paper it would be cautioning against projects like Doncaster.












Please login below to comment, OR simply register here :
Thank you for registering, we have just sent you a confirmation email, which includes your new password to be entered below.
The Age would be well advised to publish a few opinion pieces by professional urban planners to retain their credibility.
I miss the liberal/progressive Age that i grew up with. The weird campaigns for upper-middle class special projects, of which a rail line to Doncaster is the headline act, just disappoints. “If only they had a train, they’d stop driving their Mercs”! Yeah right.
I can remember the story that the Eastern Freeway was extended so VicRoads executives could get to work quickly in Kew. Imagine how fast they’d be if they had a train!
“One of our options follows the Eastern Freeway, but needs major tunnelling infrastructure to provide a connection to Doncaster Hill at its terminus, and major works to connect either near Victoria Park station or more tunnelling to connect to Parkville.” (Tim Gosbell).
If you insist on major tunnelling infrastructure the price will go up. I have commented on your other blog (Is this rail line too good to be true?) that it is possible to avoid major tunneling. This smacks of gold plating the problem to ensure that a solution is financially ridiculous.
We shall have to await the release of the two reports to consider which is reasonable, and which has no value. But re Mr Gosbell’s comment: “it is completely inappropriate to compare a Doncaster rail line with a project in Mandurah built nearly 10 years ago, in a different construction environment, using different rolling stock and to different rail standards.” With respect, sir, no! The Mandurah project used a very expensive tunnel. It inserted a railway line into an existing freeway. Rolling stock is irrelevant – apart from the gauge and the power supply the Perth rolling stock could probably be used in Melbourne. Standards? Does he mean that Victoria’s rail standards are better or worse than WA’s. Surely not.
That said, is “The Age” even a reliable paper? Not for nothing was its offices termed the “Spencer Street Soviet”. Has it changed?
Interesting. When I read the age’s costing, it swayed me, and I thought ‘should build it’
But this blog has made me pause.
Good reporting, keep it up.
The Age followed up the article you quoted on 25/7 with “Cost of Doncaster line ‘too cheap’”. So it presented the alternate view. Roads get 4 times the funding of rail and any benefit from the expenditure is offset by population growth. Try the Monash Fwy any morning to get the picture. Baillieu’s promised to “fix public transport” as an election pledge.
Anyhow a partisan position is no different to this blog and its overiding “we know better than you” and “growth is good” narratives. Growth may benefit planners, but the rest of us pay the price.
Microseris #6:
The issue here isn’t that rail is better than road but rather that Doncaster rail is a poor project in absolute terms. Doncaster rail wouldn’t do anything “to fix public transport”, it would just be replacing the new Doncaster Area Rapid Transit system. Fortunately, Mr Baillieu only promised to undertake a study of Doncaster rail so strictly speaking he won’t be breaking a promise if he doesn’t go ahead with it.
Thanks for pointing out the follow-up report you spotted in The Age. I acknowledge it diminishes the paper’s culpability somewhat and I’ve updated the original post to recognise it. But I don’t think it excuses its treatment of the issue. The report is much smaller and less prominent than the original story (it’s easily missed!). Importantly, it only covers the smaller part of Tim Gosbell’s arguments and gives no coverage to Arup’s comments which, because the firm is part of Prof Newman’s team, are particularly telling. The Age should’ve published the letters so the counter argument was fully exposed (and they’re hardly long letters).
Of course Ballieau is not going ahead with it. The terms of reference excluded light rail, why? Who the he11 knows really other than to bin the study due to cost and then have a bark at IA for not giving loads of money. The construction works to get heavy rail up Doncaster hill alone would be mad (as Tim refers to), as the existing gradient is too great, let alone flyovers, grade separation, and how to terminate at the other end!….Light rail would be more feasible, could at least get up the existing hill for a start on already enabled road pathways, 100kph down the eastern, then terminate into Nicholson St (Smith St is too packed)….
As for Mandurah, it had the grade separation mostly sorted at the freeway implementation stage with enabling works for rail pretty much designed in….
And for The Age, well it can be cringe worthy to say the least. Can get boring reading Kenneth Davidson’s anti privatisation crusade with not a lot of the converse….
Good article. I too missed the additional story quoting gosbell despite someone telling me it was there and me therefore looking for it!
One thing I’ve never understood is this suggestion that government transport planners want to gold plate projects so they aren’t built (post 3 and 8 both suggest this)… Do Dudley and Mook deliberately sabotage their own work as a way to justify their jobs? So why would the transport bureaucracy do that to their own jobs? Surely the best way for them to justify their jobs (in a world where the government is cutting jobs) is to make sure as many transport projects are built as possible?
Mook – why would light rail be any better than the buses that are already in Doncaster?
Alan perhaps you can get your hands on the study that manningham had done into extending the route 48 tram up Doncaster road a few years ago (maybe 6). I think the consultants concluded it wasn,t a feasible solution and so council quietly put the report on the shelf to gather dust… Local council,s don,t have to worry about FOI though so the report just won,t ever see the light of day I suppose.
7
The issue with Doncaster rail is what is a better way and level of spending money to deal with the traffic issues on the Eastern Freeway and Hoddle St as money looks almost certain to be spent on this. The road lobby and Liberals are saying east west tunnel (that will move traffic to streets to the west of the tunnel), the ALP are saying make Hoddle St more freeway like (an idea that the road lobby are not impartial to) and the Greens, PTUA and other sensible people are saying Doncaster rail. Rail is certainly not the most expensive option there and it makes the least mess (i.e. not much at all) of the inner city.
8
The reasons Nicholson St are a good idea for light rail are that it avoids turning into and out of Gertrude St and separation from shopping patronage but Smith St/Gertrude St could easily be sped up with traffic light priority and banning cars.
Kenneth Davidson is correct about privatisation. It is a rip off of the public. Australia is not lacking is publication of support for privatisation. If you don`t like it, don`t read his column.
9
The reason that the council commissioned report into an extension of the 48 tram to Doncaster was that is did not reject Vicroads ridiculous insistence that tram line could not be built down the middle of the road in mixed traffic like most of Melbourne`s tram system and that land would have to be acquired. This is what made the cost unviable. Just a normal tramline (with modern platform stops) in mixed traffic with traffic priority would be viable.
@ John, I believe the transport planners are held to the terms of reference given to them by say some politicos? As for gold plating, i would say the project is not gold plated, just the decision making on which project perhaps to meet some constituent promise before the election. And I didn’t say light rail would be better than buses, off the top of my head, buses seem to be the best option, well at least with relatively cheap rapid access laneage…
Tom – Smith St has congestion yes but it is well utilised compared to route 96. 96 is (kind of) grade separated mostly from Alexandra Pde into the CBD. I can’t see why Gertrude St turn is a particular issue (current design?), tram has to turn somewhere? Put your extra services where the headways can handle it…
Kenneth may be correct in your opinion, but at least Kenneth should stump up funding alternatives for the billions of asset debt the country has in his articles…..
Re John Proctor (9) and Mook Schanker (11). What I said was: “If you insist on major tunnelling infrastructure the price will go up. . . . .. This smacks of gold plating the problem to ensure that a solution is financially ridiculous.”
Mook is correct. The scope of the Study is limited to “heavy rail” – see Doncaster Rail Study documentation. As such, light rail is expressly excluded from consideration. Now I am certain that the Study personnel are competent, and would not willingly or knowingly gold plate the systems they are considering BUT many people are opposed, for various reasons, to light rail. Accordingly, to prevent a light rail solution, the scope of the project insists on “heavy rail”.
Now, a heavy rail project will require tunneling at the City end, or else a very expensive widening of the Collingwood to Jolimont section. It will require tunnelling from the freeway to Doncaster if it runs under Doncaster Road, or any other routing from the freeway to Doncaster Hill. Build in these expensive tunneling or expensive widening projects and you have automatically “gold plated” a project which could be done for far less money with pretty near as good results with light rail.
11
Light rail to Doncaster would have its own patronage so the lesser patronage route is desirable. Nicholson St tram track (south of Brunswick Rd/Holden St) is segregated from Nicholson St traffic not grade separated. Trams turning at intersections requires tight turns which slow the trams down and are noisy as well as needing separate light cycles (easily achievable with traffic light priority but still not perfect). Unnecessary turns should thus be avoided. Using Smith St requires turns at Alexandra Parade and Smith St, Smith and Gertrude and Smith Sts and Nicholson and Smith Sts while using Nicholson St requires a turn only at Nicholson St and Alexadra Parade as well as being easily segregated from traffic in Alexandra Parade rather than in in mixed traffic in Gertrude St. Neither Smith St or Nicholson St are St Kilda Rd/Swanson St or Elizabeth St and can thus handle the extra trams.
You have obviously not read his articles properly as they point out that the return on assets like electricity is greater than the outlay on the debts. Where the service is not profitable, subsidy still has to be outlayed under a private system but proffit also has to be payed for.
Tom, I’m glad we agree on Nicholson st then.
No need to verbalise about Kenneth though, I have read his articles, and he gives little hint on how we fund billions for assets required that won’t make a return – this is the crux (leaving aside potential for efficient/inefficient public delivery for another article). He completely ignores any potential to leverage public debt in raising additional private finance due to his ideology. For example, $20 million of public debt could have potential to realise $100 million in private finance support through allocation of risk and sharing of return. Sure the private sector may make a profit (at our expense or we win if cashflow negative) but things will at least get built/delivered. Tell me a Government willing to seriously delve into debt to fund the nations asset debt? I’m not flying the flag for private finance but it should be on the plate along with other procurement options otherwise little will happen…..
14
Governments should spend more on infrastructure through a combination of higher taxes and higher borrowings.
The private sector are not interested in building infrastructure that will not make a return on their investment.
Naive naive naive. Or just impossibly biased. Yes the estimate of $840 Million my be too low. Yes there are vested interests- the councils want a railway. But equally there are vested interest in providing a bloated cost of $6 Billion. “Unbelievably low’? Well maybe not. The prices for infrastructure projects in Victoria and NSW appear to be consistently higher than those in the other states, or practically anywhere else in the world.
Dudley Horscraft #11
The Rowville feasibility study is strictly confined to heavy rail too. My guess is this restriction is a political response to the public demand in these areas (i.e. both Doncaster and Rowville) for rail, rail, and nothing but rail.
fisher greg #16
Where did the $6 billion figure come from? Haven’t heard anyone suggest an estimate for Doncaster rail that’s as high as that.
There are concerns about high infrastructure costs in lots of places, not just NSW and Vic e.g. see here and here.
Please login below to comment, OR simply register here :
Thank you for registering, we have just sent you a confirmation email, which includes your new password to be entered below.