Just four days to go. Obama’s vote is holding up around 50 to 51 per cent, while McCain’s vote has risen to the 45 to 47 per cent band. McCain’s vote has risen but Obama’s has not fallen. Obama continues to hold a heavy lead in electoral college votes.
In Arizona (10 electoral college votes), the race has tightened significantly in recent days:
Another poll shows that John McCain could be in serious danger of losing his home state of Arizona — and remember, the Obama campaign just announced that they’ll be advertising there for the first time in the general election.
The new numbers from Research 2000: McCain 48%, Obama 47%, with a ±4% margin of error. The key number from the internals is that Obama is winning the early vote by a 54%-42% margin, and this group is expected to make up 17% of the total likely voters.
Bush won Georgia (15) by 17 points in 2004, the Democrats last won there in 1992 when Clinton squeaked in by 1 point. Now it is dramatically close again.
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