Conservative commentator (Weekly Standard, Fox and the New York Times) William Kristol is said to have been Gov. Palin’s ‘patron’ and is now in the centre of a post-election losers’ firestorm which could see him dumped (there’s even an online poll about who should replace him) from his prestigious NYT columnist role. It raises questions about [...]
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MCCAIN
53 more polls
Realclearpolitics managed to add another 53 polls to its site on Monday (and over 150 in the last four days); there is no lack of data! A dozen national polls with Obama ranging from 5 points up to a massive eleven. There are five Florida polls and this key state is on a knife edge [...]
READ MOREKarl Rove, Bush election strategist, tips big Obama win
Los Angeles Times:”According to the research of compiled state polls by Karl Rove & Co., the hypothetical electoral college numbers suggest an Obama win over the Republican ticket of John McCain and Sarah Palin of 338 electoral votes to 200″.
READ MOREObama’s position has improved dramatically in the past four months
Back in late June, I posted about a dinner party disagreement I had: At dinner on Saturday night a Canberra political lobbyist told me that Obama can’t win because he just won’t win enough states to get there, a view I strongly disagreed with, so earlier this week I did up a state-of-play using the [...]
READ MOREGreg Sheridan spits the dummy
Sheridan’s writings are so often so ludicrous. Obviously, from the tenor of yesterday’s rant, he is now coming to terms, psychologically, with an impending thumping for the Republican Party next Tuesday. So I guess we should just consider this stuff as a vent, the early phase of grief. Let’s have a cursory look at some [...]
READ MOREArizona, Georgia could deliver surprises
Just four days to go. Obama’s vote is holding up around 50 to 51 per cent, while McCain’s vote has risen to the 45 to 47 per cent band. McCain’s vote has risen but Obama’s has not fallen. Obama continues to hold a heavy lead in electoral college votes. In Arizona (10 electoral college votes), [...]
READ MOREUS election, afternoon update
It’s late evening Thursday on the US east coast and the polls have been coming thick and fast today. Realclearpolitics has a list off 44 polls released on Thursday in the USA. None of the polls represents any gains for McCain in battleground states. Overall, the poll situation seems to have stablised a little after [...]
READ MOREObama has a large electoral college advantage
Obama’s lead declined slightly again in the national polls and is now between six and seven percentage points, probably closer to seven then six. But national polls do not reveal the way the race is going in the only place it matters i.e. the contest for the 538 electoral college votes which will determine the [...]
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