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The Poll Bludger

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Essential Research: 53-47 to Labor

William BoweAug 22, 2017249 Comments

Essential Research goes the other way from Newspoll on voting intention, while both pollsters suggest the same-sex marriage plebiscite will record a high participation rate and a resounding yes vote.

Newspoll: 54-46 to Labor

William BoweAug 20, 2017920 Comments

Malcolm Turnbull records an eight-point deterioration in his net approval rating, as Labor's lead on voting intention widens still further.

BludgerTrack: 53.1-46.9 to Labor

BludgerTrack: 53.1-46.9 to Labor

William BoweAug 18, 20171698 Comments

With only one new poll this week, the latest BludgerTrack update yields little to report.

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Reflections on the Miracle of Democracy at Work in the Greatest Nation on Earth

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Essential Research: 54-46 to Labor

William BoweAug 15, 20172292 Comments

Essential Research records support for a postal survey on same-sex marriage dissolving on contact with reality, while voting intention remains unchanged.

ReachTEL Victorian state marginals polling

William BoweAug 13, 201712 Comments

Polls of four seats in Melbourne's electorally sensitive south-east provide encouraging results for Daniel Andrews, whose government's fortunes appear to have reversed.

EMRS: Liberal 37, Labor 34, Greens 16 in Tasmania

William BoweAug 12, 20173 Comments

A surge in support for Labor's new leader puts the Tasmanian Liberal government in grave peril, according to a new poll.

Saturday snippets

Saturday snippets

William BoweAug 12, 20172482 Comments

Detailed polling on same-sex marriage and republicanism, plus state electoral developments in New South Wales and South Australia.

BludgerTrack: 53.3-46.7 to Labor

BludgerTrack: 53.3-46.7 to Labor

William BoweAug 11, 2017716 Comments

A solid move to Labor in this week's reading of the poll aggregate, although its concentration in Victoria means it makes no difference to the seat projection.

YouGov-Fifty Acres: 50-50

William BoweAug 9, 20171910 Comments

YouGov's latest records primary support for the major parties lower than others, and finds strong support for both same-sex marriage and a plebiscite.

Essential Research: 54-46 to Labor

William BoweAug 8, 2017714 Comments

The Coalition takes a hit in the latest voting intention reading from Essential Research, which also records solid support for anything on same-sex marriage other than inaction.

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