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The Poll Bludger



YouGov-Fifty Acres: 50-50

William BoweJul 26, 2017281 Comments

YouGov again calls a tight race on two-party preferred, but only because of preference flows that have the Coalition outperforming their result at the 2016 election.

Essential Research: 53-47 to Labor

William BoweJul 25, 20171394 Comments

After two successive stronger results for Labor, Essential Research is back on Team 53-47.

Newspoll: 53-47 to Labor

William BoweJul 23, 2017709 Comments

Another stable Newspoll, as both major parties gain a point on the primary vote at the expense of the various “others”.

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ReachTEL: Liberal 43.0, Labor 32.9, Greens 13.4 in Tasmania

William BoweJul 23, 20171 Comment

A new poll suggests it will be touch-and-go for Will Hodgman's Tasmanian government as it seeks to retain its majority at the state election in March.

BludgerTrack: 53.4-46.6 to Labor

BludgerTrack: 53.4-46.6 to Labor

William BoweJul 23, 2017337 Comments

Labor records a second week of solid movement on the poll aggregate, although this doesn't yet account for the Coalition's relatively good result from ReachTEL.

ReachTEL: 51-49 to Labor

William BoweJul 20, 20171009 Comments

The Coalition gets a better federal voting intention result from ReachTEL, although the result would be more typical of recent polling of preferences are applied as per the 2016 election result.

Essential Research: 54-46 to Labor

William BoweJul 18, 20171344 Comments

Labor maintains its wide lead in an Essential Research poll that also gauges opinion on party polarisation, same-sex marriage and foreign leaders.

BludgerTrack: 53.0-47.0 to Labor

BludgerTrack: 53.0-47.0 to Labor

William BoweJul 17, 2017444 Comments

A bit of a fillip for Labor in the latest reading of the BludgerTrack poll aggregate, and also for Bill Shorten whose net approval rating has edged ahead of Malcolm Turnbull's.

Situations vacant

William BoweJul 14, 201752 Comments

An attempted review of the legal can of worms opened by Scott Ludlam's shock resignation.

YouGov-Fifty Acres: L-NP 36, ALP 33, Greens 12, One Nation 7

William BoweJul 13, 20171501 Comments

The second federal poll from YouGov goes against the grain in recording an uptick in support for the Coalition, while also finding a big majority in favour of legalising same-sex marriage.