The latest EMRS survey of Tasmanian state voting intention finds the tide continuing to go out on David Bartlett’s Labor government: after distribution of the undecided, it has the Liberals up three points to 44 per cent on the previous survey in August, and Labor down two to 33 per cent. The Greens are steady on 21 per cent. Liberal leader Will Hodgman has widened the lead as preferred premier he first achieved over Bartlett at the previous poll, which is up from 37-30 to a commanding 40-28. Greens leader Nick McKim is up four points to 19 per cent.

Based on the electorate breakdowns (notwithstanding that these are extremely small samples), the poll points to a result of 2-2-1 in every electorate except Braddon, which would go 3-2 in favour of Liberal, for a total result of Liberal 11, Labor 10 and Greens four.

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