The Age has published a Nielsen poll which indicates the state Labor government may have finally lost the shine it gained in the wake of the bushfire disaster. Labor’s two-party lead is at 53-47, which The Age compares to The Sunday Age’s Saulwick poll from November to point to a five-point reversal. This is Nielsen’s first state poll since November 2008, when Labor led 55-45. Labor holds a one point lead on the primary vote, 40 per cent to 39 per cent, with the Greens on 14 per cent. John Brumby maintains a 13 per cent positive net approval (52 per cent to 39 per cent) while Ted Baillieu is 5 per cent negative (40 per cent to 45 per cent), with the former leading 54 per cent to 34 per cent as preferred premier. The sample for the poll was 1000, with a margin of error of about 3 per cent.

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