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Federal Election 2010

Jul 30, 2010

Nielsen: 52-48 to Coalition

Courtesy of the always reliable GhostWhoVotes, we are informed of a bombshell Nielsen poll which puts the Coalition at an election-winning 52-48 lead, from primary votes of 45 per cent

Courtesy of the always reliable GhostWhoVotes, we are informed of a bombshell Nielsen poll which puts the Coalition at an election-winning 52-48 lead, from primary votes of 45 per cent for the Coalition, 36 per cent for Labor and 12 per cent for the Greens. More to follow.

UPDATE: Michelle Grattan reports “the gender gap on voting intention has disappeared, with primary and two-party-preferred votes now little different” – which frankly doesn’t seem likely. Julia Gillard’s approval rating is down five points to 51 per cent and her disapproval up six to 39 per cent, while Tony Abbott is up six points on approval to 49 per cent and disapproval down six to 45 per cent. Gillard’s lead on preferred prime minister has narrowed from 55-34 to 49-41. The poll was conducted from Tuesday to Thursday from a sample of 1356.

UPDATE 2: Possum has full demographic tables here. Not that it should offer Labor too much comfort, but the size of their slump among women (58-42 to 49-51) and in NSW (59-41 to 42-58) looks overcooked.

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2047 comments

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political animal
Guest

OK Latham became rather a rat after his resignation as Leader. He did, however, end the over-generous parliamentary pensions and the ever-greening of drug patents in the FTA with the US, so in that regard I respect him.

Shineybum
Guest

Gusface@1998

I too was at the steps of Parl House on 11/11/75, I was in 3rd year at ANU. Anyway, I was as confident as anything that Gough would be returned in the election and I was devastated by the actual result (I still am). Since that day, I have never dared to predict the outcome of a federal election.

Bushfire Bill
Guest

So “Great Big New Tax Great Big New Tax” is fine politics, but when Labor points out that Abbott has promised to cut services and initiatives, indeed boasts of it as his main policy platform and something he is morally bound to do for the good of the country, The Age sees includes this in an article titled “Labor prepares smear campaign against Abbott .”

In a further negative onslaught, Labor is also stepping up warnings that Mr Abbott as prime minister would wield ”a great big axe” on vital services.

http://www.theage.com.au/federal-election/labor-prepares-smear-campaign-against-abbott-20100731-110pa.html

Labor can go on the attack all it likes, but unless the media print it, and run with it as they have run with Abbott’s similar negative campaign, there is little hope.

imacca
Guest

Hey, so whats this about Oakes and Goats?? Sounds credible to me. πŸ™‚

imacca
Guest

Wow, they are rolling out Dolly Downer to throw a bit of shite at Kev?? OO must be getting desperate to keep the “leak” meme going.

Surely, they could find someone who actually has some vestige of even apparent credibility? Not only given his known affiliation is he so obviously partisan, he’s the AWB, Food for Oil Corruption, Things that Batter, Fishnet Stockings man, whos only real relevance when in his portfolio was to bully small Pacific nations and East Timor??

Post politics, he has been as far as i know one of the least sucessful UN envoy’s in the history of that organisation (Cyprus). I mean, he’s a bona fide nobody / has been failure. And, Rudd put him out of a comfy job.

Not sure who’s less beliveable, Dolly, or Mark Latham??

Ron
Guest

j/v

I’ve said nothing for 24 hrs since your ethnic slur to Frank , and that has been enuf time for you to apologise

Whilst Truth Hurts made some offensive GENERIC comments on PB (but perhaps education/enviro may be cause of his nt knowing) , but you got no such excuses Us Bogans dont need a Uni education to understand decency , and clearly a Uni educaton does not teach it

Franky , if you got anyting urgent to post here time wise on this election email me

Rational Leftist
Guest

[Napolean was a nobody?]

He was at the beginning. A mere Corsican boy who joined the army. If I recall correctly, Corsica was ceded to the French only a year before Napoleon was born. History may have been different if he were born a year earlier.

Sir Oftswing
Guest

Napolean was a nobody?

Ron
Guest

Psephos
Posted Saturday, July 31, 2010 at 9:52 pm | Permalink

‘once Rudd has had a good rest, unleash him on the rest of the campaign – he’ll be now much fitter and ready to let rip on Abbot!’

*with asperity* If Rudd was popular he’d still be PM. It was Rudd’s talent for pissing people off that created this situation in the first place. Perhaps we should let Latham loose on the marginals as well?”

Adam , that was naive , you obvious never lived in Q’ld prob most parochal State in oz
Kevin Rudd is Quneenslanders own nerd to Queenslanders and if anyone was going to chop off a Q’lder PM its Q’lders voters , not ‘Southerners’

suggest you look at 2007 results , and Qld swings then delivering so many big swings and seats vs Fed ALP record in Q’lder for past 20 yrs except 1996 ,and Rudd being form Q’ld was ‘a factor’

At minimum Julia must campaign public with Kevin in Griffith a couple of times , one as ‘a Q’ld sop’ to sooth/motavate always needed ALP troops on th ground to 21/8 , and two to undermine perseption that Kevin Rudd is source of Leaks which is giving leaks some credibility , and three to give nuanse to voters that Labor Govt is united , and is not in disunity

(and i googled that 2nd word , and it makes no sense)

I can hardly beleive Bruce Hawker is not saying this , and for you to it seems dismiss this is amazing

Ryan
Guest

I’m going to bed before this thread any more resembles a conversation between truckies over the CB radio.

gusface
Guest

william

apols

anyway off on a big bird in the am to truthy town

agin

πŸ™
cya’s monday evening

Rational Leftist
Guest

[TMZ are ready

thats all that matters]

Ha! πŸ™‚

gusface
Guest

TSOP

TMZ are ready

thats all that matters

πŸ™‚

Ryan
Guest

I hear Rudd is doing some ‘straight to video’ these days

Let’s just say it wouldn’t pass Conroys filter…

Mainly watersports

Rational Leftist
Guest

[worldwide release]

?

gusface
Guest

anyway dudes/dudettes

Aug 14

worldwide release

πŸ˜‰

Rational Leftist
Guest

[At least Jabba never wore garish black sneakers with a suit on national television.]

You’ve obviously never seen George Lucas’ super ultra special edition πŸ˜‰

Ryan
Guest

At least Jabba never wore garish black sneakers with a suit on national television.

Rational Leftist
Guest

[and anyone who links the term β€œtown bike” and abbott is merely aiming to bed goats ala L Oakes]

Oh you are so bad, Gusface πŸ˜‰

Needless to say, anybody who wants to bed Oakes must’ve gotten turned on when watching the Jabba the Hutt scenes in Return of the Jedi πŸ˜‰

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