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Federal Election 2010

Jul 30, 2010

Nielsen: 52-48 to Coalition

Courtesy of the always reliable GhostWhoVotes, we are informed of a bombshell Nielsen poll which puts the Coalition at an election-winning 52-48 lead, from primary votes of 45 per cent

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Courtesy of the always reliable GhostWhoVotes, we are informed of a bombshell Nielsen poll which puts the Coalition at an election-winning 52-48 lead, from primary votes of 45 per cent for the Coalition, 36 per cent for Labor and 12 per cent for the Greens. More to follow.

UPDATE: Michelle Grattan reports “the gender gap on voting intention has disappeared, with primary and two-party-preferred votes now little different” – which frankly doesn’t seem likely. Julia Gillard’s approval rating is down five points to 51 per cent and her disapproval up six to 39 per cent, while Tony Abbott is up six points on approval to 49 per cent and disapproval down six to 45 per cent. Gillard’s lead on preferred prime minister has narrowed from 55-34 to 49-41. The poll was conducted from Tuesday to Thursday from a sample of 1356.

UPDATE 2: Possum has full demographic tables here. Not that it should offer Labor too much comfort, but the size of their slump among women (58-42 to 49-51) and in NSW (59-41 to 42-58) looks overcooked.

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2047 comments

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political animal
Guest

OK Latham became rather a rat after his resignation as Leader. He did, however, end the over-generous parliamentary pensions and the ever-greening of drug patents in the FTA with the US, so in that regard I respect him.

Shineybum
Guest

Gusface@1998

I too was at the steps of Parl House on 11/11/75, I was in 3rd year at ANU. Anyway, I was as confident as anything that Gough would be returned in the election and I was devastated by the actual result (I still am). Since that day, I have never dared to predict the outcome of a federal election.

Bushfire Bill
Guest
So “Great Big New Tax Great Big New Tax” is fine politics, but when Labor points out that Abbott has promised to cut services and initiatives, indeed boasts of it as his main policy platform and something he is morally bound to do for the good of the country, The Age sees includes this in an article titled “Labor prepares smear campaign against Abbott .” In a further negative onslaught, Labor is also stepping up warnings that Mr Abbott as prime minister would wield ”a great big axe” on vital services. http://www.theage.com.au/federal-election/labor-prepares-smear-campaign-against-abbott-20100731-110pa.html Labor can go on the attack all it… Read more Β»
imacca
Guest

Hey, so whats this about Oakes and Goats?? Sounds credible to me. πŸ™‚

imacca
Guest
Wow, they are rolling out Dolly Downer to throw a bit of shite at Kev?? OO must be getting desperate to keep the “leak” meme going. Surely, they could find someone who actually has some vestige of even apparent credibility? Not only given his known affiliation is he so obviously partisan, he’s the AWB, Food for Oil Corruption, Things that Batter, Fishnet Stockings man, whos only real relevance when in his portfolio was to bully small Pacific nations and East Timor?? Post politics, he has been as far as i know one of the least sucessful UN envoy’s in the… Read more Β»
Ron
Guest

j/v

I’ve said nothing for 24 hrs since your ethnic slur to Frank , and that has been enuf time for you to apologise

Whilst Truth Hurts made some offensive GENERIC comments on PB (but perhaps education/enviro may be cause of his nt knowing) , but you got no such excuses Us Bogans dont need a Uni education to understand decency , and clearly a Uni educaton does not teach it

Franky , if you got anyting urgent to post here time wise on this election email me

Rational Leftist
Guest

[Napolean was a nobody?]

He was at the beginning. A mere Corsican boy who joined the army. If I recall correctly, Corsica was ceded to the French only a year before Napoleon was born. History may have been different if he were born a year earlier.

Sir Oftswing
Guest

Napolean was a nobody?

Ron
Guest
Psephos Posted Saturday, July 31, 2010 at 9:52 pm | Permalink ‘once Rudd has had a good rest, unleash him on the rest of the campaign – he’ll be now much fitter and ready to let rip on Abbot!’ *with asperity* If Rudd was popular he’d still be PM. It was Rudd’s talent for pissing people off that created this situation in the first place. Perhaps we should let Latham loose on the marginals as well?” Adam , that was naive , you obvious never lived in Q’ld prob most parochal State in oz Kevin Rudd is Quneenslanders own nerd… Read more Β»
Ryan
Guest

I’m going to bed before this thread any more resembles a conversation between truckies over the CB radio.

gusface
Guest

william

apols

anyway off on a big bird in the am to truthy town

agin

πŸ™
cya’s monday evening

Rational Leftist
Guest

[TMZ are ready

thats all that matters]

Ha! πŸ™‚

gusface
Guest

TSOP

TMZ are ready

thats all that matters

πŸ™‚

Ryan
Guest

I hear Rudd is doing some ‘straight to video’ these days

Let’s just say it wouldn’t pass Conroys filter…

Mainly watersports

Rational Leftist
Guest

[worldwide release]

?

gusface
Guest

anyway dudes/dudettes

Aug 14

worldwide release

πŸ˜‰

Rational Leftist
Guest

[At least Jabba never wore garish black sneakers with a suit on national television.]

You’ve obviously never seen George Lucas’ super ultra special edition πŸ˜‰

Ryan
Guest

At least Jabba never wore garish black sneakers with a suit on national television.

Rational Leftist
Guest

[and anyone who links the term β€œtown bike” and abbott is merely aiming to bed goats ala L Oakes]

Oh you are so bad, Gusface πŸ˜‰

Needless to say, anybody who wants to bed Oakes must’ve gotten turned on when watching the Jabba the Hutt scenes in Return of the Jedi πŸ˜‰

gusface
Guest

also

the imputation that cos L oakes is a frequent and valued guest of a few goateries doesnt mean that he has deep and meaningful interchanges with goats

I mean the suggestion is just so wrong

How could anyone dare to suggest he enjoys goats or their special company?

gusface
Guest

and anyone who links the term “town bike” and abbott is merely aiming to bed goats ala L Oakes

leaks have a habit of staining one’s cloth

Rational Leftist
Guest

[and tone in morning]

Ewww! Imagine that!

Makes me feel sorry for his wife! πŸ˜†

gusface
Guest

tho of course riding a bike is not an analogy for getting notches on ones gun?

gusface
Guest

ryan

and tone in morning

or when a new conquest presents?

Rational Leftist
Guest

In other words, WA?

Ryan
Guest

Freedom rises in the West.

Rational Leftist
Guest

out of curiousity Ryan, where do you hail from? (State will do)

Ryan
Guest

Pebbles knows the score.

gusface
Guest

To the fibs

herro, you are yerro

and we aim to to make sure you really yerro

as loud as humanly possibly

πŸ™‚

Rational Leftist
Guest

Ryan is our Truthy Pro tempore, methinks πŸ˜‰

gusface
Guest

TSOP

ta

John was that sort of mate that defines you

tho if truth be told he was an aerial ping pong to my game played in heaven bloke

a true believer nevertheless

Rational Leftist
Guest

[I miss Frank here.]

I know he’s under moderation, which I assume means William needs to approve his posts before they appear, but Franks late night musings are always great. Especially when he is posting people’s tweets and the OO’s headlines for the next morning…

gusface
Guest

Ryan

are you the goat wrangler by chance?

or the boyo who cleans up?

Rational Leftist
Guest

[john weatherley was a nobody]

Nobody is nobody.

Napoleon was a nobody, but our history books are full of references to him

(I know your late friend didn’t have the impact of Napoleon, but still, every person who fights the good fight is a part of its victory.)

People like Abbott, they go down in history as villains. People like you and me (and others) will be seen in a more positive light.

Your late friend is gonna make me work harder to make sure the baddies don’t win this story!

scorpio
Guest

I miss Frank here.

Common William, how about a reprieve for Frank!

Night all from me too.

Ryan
Guest

If this leaker saves us from another three years of Labor he’s a national hero.

gusface
Guest

So FU you,unless you are here for the greater good

gusface
Guest

and with my last breath i will fight em

anything else would just be a revocation of my humanity

πŸ™

cud chewer
Guest

@2003, its just not true! no self respecting goat would ever…

gusface
Guest

TSOP

john weatherley was a nobody

he worked for parks and gardens ACT and payed his taxes

Once, along time ago we thought we could change the world

when john and then evil john came soem of us lost our way

My missus getting fired for nothing short of economic gain proved tgo me that the fibs aint about us BUT only themselves

brownies passing has reinforced what i am all about

not personal advancement

BUT THAT LIGHT ON THE HILL

Jake
Guest

[Anybody else, gonna at least give a howdy on PB before passing out on election night?]

I’ll be here TSOP, either very happy or in a furious rage.

[And yes laurie does goats

prove me wrong you fat corpulent shite]

πŸ˜†

Jake
Guest

JV,

Let me just say this – putting aside the role of the journalists in all this, whoever is leaking this stuff to Oakes in the middle of a campaign (with Abbott a chance for PM) should be, well…, they should simply be taken out the back and shot.

Goodnight all.

Rational Leftist
Guest

I am gonna work even harder to honour your friend’s memory. Even though I am in SA, there is still a bit of work to be done to ensure Sturt and Boothby fall to Labor.

I am going to be out on election night, but my desire to catch a reasonable train home means I’ll probably be home before midnight. Anybody else, gonna at least give a howdy on PB before passing out on election night?

gusface
Guest

And yes laurie does goats

prove me wrong you fat corpulent shite

I have a leak to prove it !!!!

gusface
Guest

TSOP

cheers

John was a manuka AFL lad thru and thru

his da once was liberal

howie turned him to the light

No grandson would ever be consigned to indentured slavery

jezza was his mentor way back then, tho brownie chose suburbia to stardom

πŸ™

jaundiced view
Guest

“I’ve made my policy-free bed and must now lie in it” – J Gillard

*me too*

gusface
Guest

ps

TSOP

laurie certainly mounts an argument, at least as many times at the mount allows

πŸ˜‰

jaundiced view
Guest

*moving forward to a policy-free bed*

gusface
Guest

In 1975 we held that the will of the people would carry us thru

Now I know its not the will, but how well you trick em

Well MSM suckholes wait till the blowtorch is applied tom your nuts

two can spread rumour you FC’s

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