Facebook Google Menu Linkedin lock Pinterest Search Twitter

Advertisement

Galaxy: 56-44 to Coalition

GhostWhoVotes reports that Galaxy have conducted their first poll of federal voting intention for some time, and it's bang on the mark of other recent polling: the Coalition leads 56-44

Share

GhostWhoVotes reports that Galaxy have conducted their first poll of federal voting intention for some time, and it’s bang on the mark of other recent polling: the Coalition leads 56-44 on two-party preferred, from primary votes of 31 per cent for Labor, 48 per cent for the Coalition and 13 per cent for the Greens. Thirty-seven per cent support the carbon tax (which is apparently “up two”, although I couldn’t tell you off the top of my head what they’re comparing it with), with 55 per cent opposed (steady). UPDATE: GhostWhoVotes in comments does my homework for me by pointing out that the point of comparison is this poll from May.

The sample, remarkably, is 2000, producing a low margin of error of 2.2 per cent. Pollsters rarely go this high, as the statistical return on the investment diminishes quite rapidly: a 1000 sample poll gets you a margin of error of about 3.1 per cent; another 500 cuts it by 0.6 per cent; but another 500 only cuts it a further 0.3 per cent. Newspoll approaches 2000 for its immediate pre-election polls, but it does this in order to boost its sample sizes in the smaller states so it can produce credible state-by-state breakdowns. Maybe Galaxy has done something similar here and we can expect more detail to be forthcoming – or alternatively, perhaps the method used is some sort of low-cost alternative to phone polling, such as the automated dialling employed by JWS Research.

UPDATE: Told you so: GhostWhoVotes reports that the figures for Queensland are 59-41 two-party, with primary votes of 32 per cent for Labor, 54 per cent for the Coalition and 8 per cent for the Greens.

UPDATE 2: Further from Ghost central:

In the Sydney Metro area the primaries are ALP 29 L/NP 54 GRN 9. The two party preferred comes to ALP 40 L/NP 60, which is apparently a swing of 13% since the last election …

People that believe that man-made carbon emissions are the cause of global warming has remained steady at 36, while belief in the cycle of nature being responsible rose 6 points to 32 percent.

Advertisement

Advertisement

We recommend

From around the web

Powered by Taboola

2164 comments

Sort by:   newest | oldest | most voted
poroti
Guest

charlton

[I can’t recall whether is was an off the cuff remark but the dry-ice falls on foot line cut to the bone in my view.]
It was an off the cuff remark and yes it really did cut through in a way even the flattest of flat earthers could see.

dave
Guest

Mini Flash Crash Following CDU Statement Eurozone Leaders Have Excluded Boosting Volume Of EFSF Sends ES Down 30 Points

After soaring by over a hundred points, the DJIA subsequently plunged in a flash crash type move after Reuters carried headlines saying that the CDU budget expert said that the Eurozone leaders have clearly excluded boosting the volume of the EFSF (and the plunge has nothing to do with any ridiculous rumor of an S&P downgrade – the S&P would be sent into exile if it dared to defy Obama at this point in his debt ceiling hike victory lap).

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/mini-flash-crash-following-cdu-statement-eurozone-leaders-have-excluded-boosting-volume-efsf-se

Puff, the Magic Dragon.
Guest
Puff, the Magic Dragon.
oops forgot quotes. Frank, and you too can end up like this:, No way. I have qualifications, I studied for hard for during my morning break to pass that test and as soon as I send the $14.95 to East Bumcrack Cyber College of Organic Therapies and Wood Carving I can download my certificate. If I pay $19.95 I can even print it in any colour I like and I think that is what I will do, in orange. I can’t charge for my services until I print out my certificate, and anyway, the printer is out of paper, so… Read more »
Puff, the Magic Dragon.
Guest
Puff, the Magic Dragon.
Frank, No way. and you too can end up like this:, I have qualifications, I studied for hard for during my morning break to pass that test and as soon as I send the $14.95 to East Bumcrack Cyber College of Organic Therapies and Wood Carving I can download my certificate. If I pay $19.95 I can even print it in any colour I like and I think that is what I will do, in orange. I can’t charge for my services until I print out my certificate, and anyway, the printer is out of paper, so PB is getting… Read more »
dave
Guest

charlton
Posted Saturday, August 6, 2011 at 12:22 am | Permalink

Just feeling I had buy the tone of some of your posts tonight,

I have *feelings* about the tone of your posts on an ongoing basis.

dave
Guest
The meme is slowly changing – Hit by the debt boomerang Peter Hartcher It remains to be seen whether this will be the GFC mark II but the reality is Australia is well placed to cope. …At its worst point, Australia’s cumulative federal net debt is blowing out to a projected $107 billion, or 7 per cent of GDP, in 2011-12. This is remarkably modest by international comparison. The US economist David Hale observed: “Most other G-20 governments are deeply envious of Australia’s fiscal situation.” And Australia’s banks are sound and profitable. None of this happened by accident. Australia’s politics… Read more »
charlton
Guest

dave

[charlton

So why don’t you play along for a while?

Who says I’m not ?]

Just feeling I had buy the tone of some of your posts tonight, unless I’m mixing you up with some else which is quite possible.

Anyway, I’m doing a Samuel Pepys & I wish you well.

Frank Calabrese
Guest
Jake
Guest

[Let me make you a cup of chamomile tea.]

You’re the best Puff,

And a sincere ‘Goodnight’ to you

And to all

Frank Calabrese
Guest

[Puff, the Magic Dragon.

Posted Saturday, August 6, 2011 at 12:14 am | Permalink

And Glen/Thomas/John,
You can have the couch over there. Just relax back and watch the pocket-watch swing to and fro, to and fro, to and fro…
]

and you too can end up like this:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fv5kYpJVJos

Puff, the Magic Dragon.
Guest
Puff, the Magic Dragon.

And Glen/Thomas/John,
You can have the couch over there. Just relax back and watch the pocket-watch swing to and fro, to and fro, to and fro…

Puff, the Magic Dragon.
Guest
Puff, the Magic Dragon.

Drake,
The Bludgers will always be here for you, no matter how arduous the road to wellness. It will be a tough fight, but remember, you are worth it.

Let me make you a cup of chamomile tea.

dave
Guest

charlton
Posted Saturday, August 6, 2011 at 12:09 am | Permalink

So why don’t you play along for a while?

Who says I’m not ?

charlton
Guest

dave @ 2129:

[charlton

What’s going on in the Glen, Winston, Dewey & Gorton household?

Discussing their *favourite colours* and star signs ?]

It is true that there’s a fair bit of banter tonight.

I’ve been accused by some of not have sense of humour but even I’m tired of being serious after a day of being fairly serious, although that might be a moot point for some.

So why don’t you play along for a while?

Jake
Guest

[Don’t whatever you do feel guilty about it.

It’s best to get these sort of things out in the open.

Talking about a problem is a way of solving it.]

😆

Thanks for the support guys. With your help, I’m sure I’ll find a way through.

dave
Guest

WASHINGTON—After months of heated negotiations and failed attempts to achieve any kind of consensus, President Obama turned 50 years old Thursday, drawing strong criticism from Republicans in Congress.

🙂

MickGCollins
Guest

cught = caught

charlton
Guest

drake @ 2132:

[Frank, Gus, Scarps, Charlton and Dave,

I’ve got a confession to make.

I don’t think I’ve ever told anyone this before, and it’s not an easy thing to say.

So here goes…

I find Glen highly amusing. I don’t know why, I just do.]

Don’t whatever you do feel guilty about it.

It’s best to get these sort of things out in the open.

Talking about a problem is a way of solving it.

Jake
Guest

And here I was thinking Obama gave a stuff about his country…

MickGCollins
Guest

ok so holt has already been metioned. I have only just cught up.

Scarpat
Guest

[The Onion: “Obama Turns 50 Despite Republican Opposition”.

http://www.theonion.com/articles/obama-turns-50-despite-republican-opposition,21061/%5D

makes one smile.

Scringler
Guest

People that believe that man-made carbon emissions are the cause of global warming has remained steady at 36, while belief in the cycle of nature being responsible rose 6 points to 32 percent.

Quick. Rush to the cliff, lemmings.

Jake
Guest

Thanks Puff,

I feel a great weight has lifted…

dave
Guest

drake@2132

Frank, Gus, Scarps, Charlton and Dave,

I’ve got a confession to make.

I don’t think I’ve ever told anyone this before, and it’s not an easy thing to say.

So here goes…

I find Glen highly amusing. I don’t know why, I just do.

Sorta like a circus clown you mean ?

Sometimes I find morons *amusing*, but rarely highly amusing.

Don’t believe I’ve ever told many people this before either. Please don’t repeat it, because its not an easy thing to say.

Ta.

Jake
Guest
Gary Sparrow
Guest

Frank for a moment there I thought you were going to show a clip from Some Mothers Do ‘Ave ‘Em 😆

Night all!

Go Dees!!!!

Puff, the Magic Dragon.
Guest
Puff, the Magic Dragon.

There, there Dake, just get it off your chest, you feel better for it.

charlton
Guest

gusface @ 2051:

[charlton

Ha

here on PB we have a plethora of 6.5 stars generals]

Given the navy is the senior service, my argument is that a 6 star admiral outranks a 6.5 star general.

Plus Dewey died with his 6 stars whereas currently Poll Bludgers with 6.5 stars are subject to reversion in rank if they transgress.

MickGCollins
Guest

Spealing of Dewey. Mellville Dewey, he of the dewey decimal classificatio system was a bit of a nutter, apparantly.

Glen => Harold Holt.

You know you want to Baby 😀

Frank Calabrese
Guest

[drake

Posted Friday, August 5, 2011 at 11:41 pm | Permalink

Frank, Gus, Scarps, Charlton and Dave,

I’ve got a confession to make.

I don’t think I’ve ever told anyone this before, and it’s not an easy thing to say.

So here goes…

I find Glen highly amusing. I don’t know why, I just do.
]

Well he could be described as this:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gNS69tObPNQ

Jake
Guest

Frank, Gus, Scarps, Charlton and Dave,

I’ve got a confession to make.

I don’t think I’ve ever told anyone this before, and it’s not an easy thing to say.

So here goes…

I find Glen highly amusing. I don’t know why, I just do.

Rational Leftist
Guest

[Discussing their *favourite colours* and star signs ?]

Blue and Gryffindor… that’s a sign, right?

Gary Sparrow
Guest

Frank maybe I could change to Cletus Klump?

dave
Guest

charlton
Posted Friday, August 5, 2011 at 11:29 pm | Permalink

What’s going on in the Glen, Winston, Dewey & Gorton household?

Discussing their *favourite colours* and star signs ?

Gary Sparrow
Guest

[What’s going on in the Glen, Winston, Dewey & Gorton household? ]

Just finding an appropriate pseudonym…

Frank Calabrese
Guest

[charlton

Posted Friday, August 5, 2011 at 11:29 pm | Permalink

Thomas E. Dewey @ 1985:

You have now assumed John Gorton’s identity.

What’s going on in the Glen, Winston, Dewey & Gorton household?
]

This:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BS8zi7Dg8TM

charlton
Guest

Thomas E. Dewey @ 1985:

You have now assumed John Gorton’s identity.

What’s going on in the Glen, Winston, Dewey & Gorton household?

Scarpat
Guest

[Labor would do well to counter to Tories sloganeering with the of killer one liner used by Turnbull. As I’ve said before, the likes of Fred Daly and Jimmy Killen had this ability. Surely there’s someone in the Labor camp who could do likewise.]

unfortunately PJK is otherwise engaged…

dave
Guest

gusface
Posted Friday, August 5, 2011 at 11:15 pm | Permalink

syria isnt ripe for revolt

Prehaps you should remind those who are opposing assard and putting their lives and that of their families on the line in order to do exactly that – revolt!

Be it *ripe* or not.

What is *ripe* is the chinese and the russians.

charlton
Guest
poroti @ 1925: [Whatever the political implications I was (as a Chemist) extremely impressed at his using dry ice as a way of slapping down Tones pig ignorant “weightless CO2? comment. I would have talked of moles of gsr and weight per liter which would have been boring batshit to joe blow. However using solid dry ice as a way of pointing out the fact CO2 has weight in a single sentence explained to all and sundry the idiocy of Tone’s weightless comment.] I can’t recall whether is was an off the cuff remark but the dry-ice falls on foot… Read more »
Gary Sparrow
Guest

[T.E. Lawrence: So long as the Arabs fight tribe against tribe, so long will they be a little people, a silly people – greedy, barbarous, and cruel, as you are.]

It’s sad but some things never change 🙁

This tribalism has been around for centuries and it’s the same as it is in Libya as well and all throughout the Arab world.

gusface
Guest

dave

steady!

what i am saying is that syria doesnt have the fundamentals of egypt

assad isnt some rose

but the realities should be acknowledged

syria isnt ripe for revolt

gusface
Guest

drake

in order

latent monarchism

suppression of debate

stultifying state control

dave
Guest

gusface
Posted Friday, August 5, 2011 at 11:11 pm | Permalink

you cant revolt against what you believe in

Ahh – that must be why all those people are being SHOT by that prick !

Jake
Guest

Gus, Scarps,

Thanks for that. Sounds like they’re in big trouble. The poor buggers, I feel sorry for them.

My only taste of a culture even remotely resembling an arab state was Dubai. I loved the place. The people were very friendly and there was this fantastic Lebanese restaurant near our hotel which was unbelievably cheap (a trivial thing to say, but it really was the best tucker).

I think (but don’t really know) the middle east is full of good, everyday kind of people who are constantly being f$*^ed-over by forces too powerful to resist.

gusface
Guest

in egypt there was a similar structure of croneyism

in egypt the muslim brotherhod was suppressed

in syria it is part of life

assad wont be toppled by popular revolt

you cant revolt against what you believe in

🙁

gusface
Guest

scarps

hama is not all of syria, the rvolt is in one sector of one province

no tahrir square this time

🙁

Scarpat
Guest

Gus,

Yes, Assad is still popular with his ‘clan’ many of whom are in the armed forces.

wpDiscuz

Advertisement

Telling you what the others don't. FREE for 21 days.