Another shocking opinion poll for Labor, this time the latest quarterly EMRS survey of Tasmanian state voting intention. Removing the undecided and including “leaners”, as other pollsters do but which EMRS publishes as “Table 3”, the poll has Labor down three points from an already disastrous result in May to 22 per cent, the Liberals up seven to 55 per cent and the Greens down four to 18 per cent (remembering that EMRS polls have traditionally been over-generous to the Greens). Since assuming the premiership in January, Lara Giddings preferred premier deficit over Opposition Leader Will Hodgman has progressed from 27-38 to 22-42 to 19-52.

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