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SA By-Elections

Jan 19, 2012

Nominations closed today for South Australia’s Port Adelaide and Ramsay by-elections (UPDATE: Apologies – Antony Green points out nominations for Ramsay are in fact open for another week), which will be held on February 11 to fill the respective vacancies of Deputy Premier Kevin Foley and Premier Mike Rann. The Liberals are not fielding candidates in either seat. It doesn’t say much for the Libs’ confidence if they won’t back themselves in Port Adelaide, where the margin of 12.8 per cent is half what the Liberals were getting in by-elections in NSW and even in the ballpark of the Victorian Liberals’ 12.3 per cent swing in Altona. Sitting out Ramsay is a lot more understandable, as the margin there is 18.0 per cent.

Port Adelaide appears the more interesting of the two constests by virtue of the candidacy of Port Adelaide-Enfield mayor Gary Johanson, who according to a poll published by The Advertiser today has 23 per cent support compared with 48 per cent for the Labor candidate, 14 per cent for a LDP that clearly stands to gain from homeless or just confused Liberals, and 9 per cent for Sue Lawrie (the sample was a small 475 and the margin of error a high 4.5 per cent; a larger sample poll in September which included the Liberals as an option had Labor leading 55-45 on two-party preferred). Port Adelaide has attracted a hefty nine candidates, who are in ballot paper order:

Sue Lawrie (Independent): The Liberal candidate from 2010.

Colin Thomas (Independent Ban Live Animal Exports): Beneficiary of SA’s law allowing indepenents five words to explain themselves on the ballot paper.

Bob Briton (Independent Communist Australia): Un-independent communism no longer being enough of a concern to achieve registration.

Elizabeth Pistor (Democratic Labor Party).

Grant Carlin (One Nation).

Susan Close (Labor). Department for Environment and Natural Resources executive and Left faction convenor.

Justin McArthur (Greens).

Gary Johanson (Independent): See above.

Stephen Humble (Liberal Democratic Party).

Ramsay has attracted only four candidates, with not only Liberal but also the Greens declining to enter the fray (UPDATE: As noted above, nominations hadn’t closed when I wrote this – but they have now, on January 26, so the following list is complete and in ballot paper order).

Mark Aldridge (Independent Voice of the Community): You can learn more about him in this post’s comments thread.

Ruth Beach (Greens).

Trevor Grace (Independent Trevor Grace Save the Unborn): Anti-abortion, would be my guess.

Zoe Bettison (Labor): Former state director for Labor’s public affairs firm (some prefer “spin doctors”) of choice Hawker Britton. Antony Green relates she has also been party secretary in the Northern Territory and a ministerial adviser in the NT government, government relations manager at Great Southern Rail, and that she got her start with the Right faction Shop Distributive and Allied Employees Association.

Chris Walsh (One Nation).

Mark Lena (Free Australia).

Christopher Steele (Liberal Democrats).

More detail available from Antony Green.

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30 comments

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Bird of paradox
Guest
Ahh, so there is a Green now. In that case I’ll guess about 65% ALP, 15% Green, 15% LDP, 5% for the other bug-eyed crazies. Here’s the results some of the dross got in the SA upper house in 2010: One Nation: 0.52% FREE Australia: 0.39% Trevor Grace: 0.28% Mark Aldridge: 0.13% Also, Christopher Steele was the LDP candidate in Adelaide last federal election, and came last with 0.8%. Another measure of the quality of minor candidates is their websites. Trevor Grace’s is more offensive than anything else, Aldridge’s is very poorly designed, but nothing comes close to the eye-watering… Read more »
mark aldridge
Guest

Vote one in number one 🙂

Toorak Toff
Guest

Candidates for Ramsay in ballot paper order:

ALDRIDGE, Mark (Independent Voice of the Community)
BEACH, Ruth Susan (The Greens)
GRACE, Trevor (Independent Trevor Grace Save the Unborn)
BETTISON, Zoe (Australian Labor Party)
WALSH, Chris (One Nation)
LENA, Mark (F.R.E.E. Australia Party)
STEELE, Christopher (Liberal Democrats)

sykesie
Guest

Very good Toorak!

Toorak Toff
Guest

I reckon it will be a Close result.

sykesie
Guest
Mark – I think you have misinterpreted the Advertiser poll from Friday 20th Jan. This poll clearly shows the Labor party in front (probably by a similar margin to the last election). No Liberal candidate is mentioned (as there isn’t one) – just the Liberal Democratic Party. Historically, all Advertiser polls breakdown the voting patterns into male and female – so nothing new there. The difficulty with the seat-based polls outside of the election cycle is the candidates are generally not preselected which makes it difficult to measure independents and the like. “Others” can be chosen, however. I am sure… Read more »
mark aldridge
Guest

My expertise for what it is worth is electoral conduct, as dodgy practices have become the norm, so after this election, I will continue to lobby for reform, the last state election in SA was the dodgiest in out countries history, with some where around 100,000 missing names and ballot papers, not the worst issue either, so 10% plus is always up in the air 🙁

mark aldridge
Guest
The Advertiser Poll for the Port Adelaide by election, has the Liberals winning, yet they are not running, the last poll was based on which gender people preferred as a candidate, they never conduct a poll that asks which candidate would you prefer that lists them all……over the past few years who would you prefer, was followed by Labor or Liberal in the main, which empowers the two party system, seems they dare not mention any opposition, and all this with out knowing if the results are even genuine. Over the years they never have included Independent as a choice… Read more »
Stephen Luntz
Guest
Independently Thinking, I don’t know the Greens candidate for Port Adelaide, but his CV doesn’t sound “lackluster” to me. One might not run an 18 year old for a seat a party expected to win, but I’m excited at the idea that someone who is doing things well ahead of schedule might learn a lot as the candidate this time, and prove major long term asset to the party. By-elections in seats where we got 6% last time are a great chance for the Greens to build the party and develop for the long term. Running a young, enthusiastic and… Read more »
Robyn Andrew
Guest

Mark the game is just starting mate and your right the media is nearly as crupted as labor and liberal.Bring in the independence and throw out labor and liberal .Vote 1 for Mark Aldridge in Ramsay and vote 1 for Gary Johansson in Port Adelaide

sykesie
Guest

Mark – just wondering what you meant by your comment “The Media will back Labor with all their polls”?

Toorak Toff
Guest

Plenty on the Port Adelaide poll in today’s Sunday Mail.

mark aldridge
Guest
No Need for a sorry mate, SA is a 2 party state, 2 party preferred politics, 2 party preferred electoral system and 2 party media, The Media will back Labor with all their polls, with the exception of Crikey and maybe Indaily, in the absence of the Liberals, they will to some degree remain silent, and as we can clearly see with the ADV dodgy polls that include the option of the Liberals in the port, division and diversion are on the table. After well over a decade in the game more so as a lobbiest (not much chance as… Read more »
Robyn Andrew
Guest

If i was in Ramsay area i would defintley be voting for Mark Aldridge he knows what he is talking about .he wants to hear what the people want not what the government wants which is a good thing.Pity more pollys ain’t like Mark we could do with some descent one’s Good luck Mark.

Diogenes
Guest

sykesie

The anger is no longer there in the electorate with Rann and Foley gone. We’re back to our usual apathy. Two easy wins for Labor.

sykesie
Guest
These two by-elections are clearly going to be won by the Labor party. Gary Johansson’s candidature makes the Port Adelaide by-election slightly more interesting, but I think the choice of a female candidate in Port Adelaide is a politically astute move. It enables a very clear break from the previous member Kevin Foley whose brash style had long since worn thin. This is a government who had a bit of an image problem with the antics of Kevin Foley and the Chantelois saga didn’t do much for Rann in the eyes of female voters. The advent of the even-tempered and… Read more »
mark aldridge
Guest

Never dismiss all the candidates, at such an early stage in the campaign, with the Aldridge name well known in the area and a true grass roots campaign starting this Monday, and a genuine local, with just a little experience hmmmmm…on the ground I will give Labor a run, so lets wee what the electorate do when given a choice 🙂

Toorak Toff
Guest

There seem tobe plenty of stooge candidates aiding Johanson.

Independently Thinking
Guest
Independently Thinking
Hmm, interesting to hear from ALP mate this arvo that Greens’ odd strategy of lumping seat with lacklustre candidate is to help ALP candidate who is also formerly involved in groups such as Greenpeace, Wilderness Society and Conservation Council. The Ban Live Exports candidate is a former Greens member who is also, by coincidence, a vegan like the ALP candidate. Also lives in the same suburb. Maybe not such a coincidence after the ALP was caught on Tuesday by Gary Johansen ringing around in the Port area trying to find a stooge candidate. Maybe they succeeded. Whether it will help… Read more »
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