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Newspoll: 55-45 to Coalition

GhostWhoVotes tweets that the latest fortnightly Newspoll has the Coalition's two-party preferred lead at 55-45, from primary votes of 32 per cent for Labor (up two on last time) and 46

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GhostWhoVotes tweets that the latest fortnightly Newspoll has the Coalition’s two-party preferred lead at 55-45, from primary votes of 32 per cent for Labor (up two on last time) and 46 per cent for the Coalition (up one). The personal ratings are good news for Tony Abbott: his approval rating is up four to 36 per cent and his disapproval is down three to 52 per cent, and he has opened up a lead over Julia Gillard as preferred prime minister of 40 per cent (up three) to 37 per cent (down three). Julia Gillard is respectively up down one to 32 per cent and up two to 57 per cent. Newspoll also ran a teaser last night showing Abbott favoured over Gillard for economic management 43 per cent to 34 per cent, and Wayne Swan and Joe Hockey in a statistical dead heat for preferred Treasurer (38 per cent to 37 per cent).

We also today had yet another 54-46 result from Essential Research. After losing a point on the primary vote over each of the two previous weeks, Labor was back up one to 34 per cent, with the Greens down one to 10 per cent and the Coalition steady on 47 per cent. Essential’s monthly measure of leadership approval found both leaders’ personal ratings essentially unchanged – Julia Gillard down one on approval to 36 per cent and up one on disapproval to 53 per cent, Tony Abbott steady on 35 per cent and up two to 53 per cent – but contrary to Newspoll, Gillard made a solid gain as preferred prime minister, her lead up from 39-36 to 41-34. However, only 31 per cent expected her to lead Labor to the next election against 47 per cent who said they didn’t (hats off to the 22 per cent who admitted they didn’t know); while for Tony Abbott the numbers were 47 per cent and 25 per cent.

A question on government control of media ownership has support for more control and less control tied on 24 per cent, with 34 per cent thinking it about right. There was also a question on the impact of Gina Rinehart on the independence of Fairfax newspapers, which I personally find a little odd – the issue would mean little outside of New South Wales and Victoria. I also had my doubts about the question on whether Australia is “fair and just”, but the question asking for comparison with other countries is interesting: Canada and New Zealand are seen as Australia’s main partners in freedom, the UK does less well, Japan and France less well again, and the United States worse still. China however sits well below the rest of the field.

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9410 comments

9,410 thoughts on “Newspoll: 55-45 to Coalition

  1. Fiz

    [Next time the PM is on with the Toolman and that other fool she should spell out answers in reply. Q are you concerned about the Polls… Answer No that is N.O.

    Q are you concerned about the Leadershit with FM Rudd. Ans. No I am the Leader of Labor… thats L.E.A.D.E.R]
    This has me laughing out loud! Hilarious 😀

  2. bemused

    Fiz @ 8978

    I also detest the line “without him having to lift a finger”.

    Because it’s true?
    Gillard has run a relentless campaign against her own ‘leadership’. She has got the ALP PV bouncing along from high 20s to low 30s. Great effort.

  3. janice2

    Bemused,

    Gillard is leading the government to oblivion. She is just not connecting with most voters.

    I beg to differ. She is not connecting with people such as you who have been conned into thinking Rudd is the bees knees. And, I wonder if you say the same things to your branch members and people you know as you do in here. Or are you a loyal enough ALP member to be out there pointing out Finns BISONs, the achievements of the PM in running a stable minority government and the fact that there should be no place in, or out of, a Labor Government for termites and wreckers.

  4. Muskiemp

    Typical of Rudd, Lay the bomb then take off overseas. He is a coward.

  5. Gary

    [Gary: I know which side I’d rather be on, and it’s not with Shorten/Arbib/Farrell/Feeney.
    I guess you’ll be calling Chris Bowen a political terrorist too?]
    Eh? Who did I call a terrorist in the first place?
    Still fighting the factional war evan. It must be a bastard walking around with that pent up hate inside.

  6. bemused

    my say @ 8980

    Bemused, iam not stupid
    Sop

    I am reassured.

  7. victoria

    Muskiemp

    Coward is a great word to describe him

  8. The Finnigans

    Those of you who are Gillard supporters should now support PM Gillard to take decisive action to stop Kevin Rudd’s destabilization. Sit and wait is no option.

  9. my say

    He woud need it in writing
    Then some because he does not want to sit in the back bench being seen he will not challenge
    Ego

    The man cannot even stay here

    How can he even tur

  10. The Finnigans

    [Gillard is leading the government to oblivion. She is just not connecting with most voters.]

    In the end the wild and rampaging BISONs will triumph 😛

    http://afrankview.net/2012/02/australias-great-bisons-beautiful-inspiring-set-of-numbers/

    I dare you to challenge my BISONs

  11. Diogenes

    I love these “Gillard must sack Rudd” headlines. These are the same people worried that Bligh needs help. I can’t see how sacking Rudd will help Bligh. A few Qlders might not be impressed.

  12. Gary

    I would have thought calling people “jokes” is on the same path Frank goes down, the path bemused bemoans. The irony.

  13. Thornleigh Labor Man

    [Typical of Rudd, Lay the bomb then take off overseas. He is a coward.]

    Wrong: He’s attending the G12 Foreign Ministers event, then going to Washington & London for official meetings.
    Yep, doing his job.

    What’s Shorten doing today? Counting numbers, and working on the next smear job.

  14. my say

    Muskiemp

    Men stay , whimps hide

  15. bemused

    Muskiemp @ 8991

    bemused, you are out of order.

    Your point is?

  16. Gary

    [I love these “Gillard must sack Rudd” headlines. These are the same people worried that Bligh needs help. I can’t see how sacking Rudd will help Bligh. A few Qlders might not be impressed.]
    To be honest I can’t see how anything will help Bligh. Kev could say he won’t challenge ever today and Bligh would still be in the shite tomorrow.

  17. my say

    I was thinking last night when i first came here there was about 3 lladies

    Now there is about 10 that i know

    L

  18. Muskiemp

    [Wrong: He’s attending the G12 Foreign Ministers event, then going to Washington & London for official meetings.
    Yep, doing his job.]
    That’s right lay the bomb then pisses0ff

  19. blackburnpseph

    [He’s attending the G12 Foreign Ministers event]

    When is the UN General Assembly going to be renamed the G188?

    or whatever the number is …

  20. Gary

    [What’s Shorten doing today? Counting numbers, and working on the next smear job.]
    An accusation you can’t prove.

  21. Thornleigh Labor Man

    Bligh is history – the idea that Julia Gillard banishing Rudd to Outer Siberia will help Labor in QLD is laughable.

  22. my say

    Rudd always
    Replied with a question
    @@@

  23. The Finnigans

    [I love these “Gillard must sack Rudd” headlines. These are the same people worried that Bligh needs help. I can’t see how sacking Rudd will help Bligh. A few Qlders might not be impressed.]

    Diog, QLD has the It’s Time factor after 16 years. I would even concede let the other bastards have a run. Just like NSW.

    As usual your logic is wRONg. Just because the street is wet, it doesnt mean it’s been raining 😛

  24. Mick Collins

    This will back fire on Rudd bigitme, just listen to what the talkback callers on Faine

    bemused, stop bullying My-Say

  25. Leroy

    http://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/news/opinion/long-dangerous-road-to-fair-go-for-truckies/story-e6frezz0-1226275112609

    [Long, dangerous road to fair go for truckies
    Anthony Albanese The Daily Telegraph February 20, 2012 12:00AM

    FACTS are stubborn but statistics are more pliable, said the master of the great one-liner Mark Twain. That’s why, when it comes to truck accidents, the figures might help but they don’t really tell the story.]

  26. Muskiemp

    [Muskiemp @ 8991

    bemused, you are out of order.

    Your point is?]
    In your remarks to some of the posters here.

  27. victoria

    Bligh may be the next federal MP for Griffith

  28. bemused

    Muskiemp @ 9013

    Wrong: He’s attending the G12 Foreign Ministers event, then going to Washington & London for official meetings.
    Yep, doing his job.

    That’s right lay the bomb then pisses0ff

    Yeah, that’s right, those damned foreigners wouldn’t re-schedule the meeting.

    And of course while Rudd is away, he is not in a position to defend himself is he?

  29. Gary

    [Bligh is history – the idea that Julia Gillard banishing Rudd to Outer Siberia will help Labor in QLD is laughable.]
    It’s also laughable that Rudd could save her. I’m glad we agree.

  30. The Finnigans

    [bemused, stop bullying My-Say]

    yeah bemused, STOP!!!!!!

  31. jeffemu

    [Boerwar #8973….jeffemu
    It is now on the public record that Mr Rudd has been disloyal. He was disloyal by trying to recruit Mr Wilkie against the Prime Minister. You appear to be arguing that the Prime Minister should just accept disloyalty from her Minister for Foreign Affairs.]

    My point Boerwar is this…. if we had a majority government and could afford the possibility to jettison a seat then fine, throw him to the backbench and let him threaten to resign from parliament.

    We simply do not have the numbers. Therefore we should have confidence in the policies that have passed and are about to pass. Eventually those that don’t want to see or those that can’t be bothered will one day have to tick a box at the ballot.

    Now I just have a hunch that when it comes to ticking the box with a choice of us or the Noalition, and the extra goodies in the punters back pockets, and with the threat of the Wingnut already stating he is going to take them back, and Fat Joe already saying his first blow to fix things will be to sack 12,000 public servants..

    I am confident we can and will win.

  32. Fiz

    I also detest the line “without him having to lift a finger”.

    Because it’s true?
    Gillard has run a relentless campaign against her own ‘leadership’. She has got the ALP PV bouncing along from high 20s to low 30s. Great effort.

    No, because it has an air of entitlement about it. I have always attributed that particular way of thinking to the Liberal Party.

  33. bemused

    Mick Collins @ 9019

    bemused, stop bullying My-Say

    You surely jest.
    She is continually sniping at me and I just occasionally return fire.
    And I am very mild in what I say, nothing like Frank or some others.

  34. Muskiemp

    Maybe Gillard should call Rudd back home to answer his destabilisation. That would really upset him 🙂

  35. my say

    Well julua

    Julia will’stay calm
    Do nothing thats what woma n do

    Men like rdd cannot stand being ignored

  36. Gary

    3AW took one of their I admit useless polls this morning. The question was “Should KR replace JG as PM?” The result came back 68% to 32%. Both of the breakfast boys guessed the 68% would be ‘yes’ and were very surprised when it turned out to be the ‘no’ vote.

  37. bemused

    The Finigans @ 9025

    yeah bemused, STOP!!!!!!

    Piss off idiot.

  38. gusface

    bemused

    i think u should stop bullying my say!!

    as for being a dickhead, well u cant stop being one obviously

    🙁

  39. blackburnpseph

    A PM challenged is a PM wounded even if they win. Gorton, Fraser and Hawke were all in the same boat and their authority never recovered – you can just see Tony Abbott now “Mr Speaker, the opinion polls show that the Australian people do not want this PM, Mr Speaker, (insert number here)% of those sitting behind her do not want her as PM, ” and it goes on.

    The third candidate is politically the only viable alternative for the ALP, poisoned chalice that it would be, otherwise the inevitable death roll will continue. Gillard and Rudd to the back benches – Gillard should have a future as a minister in a future Labor government, Rudd to be cast out into political oblivion at the next election.

  40. my say

    Bemused i amNOT talking to u
    I am talking to’others on this blogg

    Sop

  41. Boerwar

    M

    [Typical of Rudd, Lay the bomb then take off overseas. He is a coward.]

    Mr Rudd has legitimate business as a Minister for Foreign Affairs overseas right now. I doubt whether he was fully in control of the timing of events over the weekend. It is the sort of thing that happens when spend a couple of years destabilising things. They get destabilised.

  42. Mick Collins

    You surely jest.
    She is continually sniping at me and I just occasionally return fire.
    And I am very mild in what I say, nothing like Frank or some others.

    Rot, you are one of the biggest bullies here, you just use more subtle methods than any one else that you lay accusations at.
    The word Hypocrite comes to mind

  43. Muskiemp

    Maybe Gillard should call Rudd back home to explain his destabilisation. Now that would really upset him 🙂

  44. Fiz

    [My point Boerwar is this…. if we had a majority government and could afford the possibility to jettison a seat then fine, throw him to the backbench and let him threaten to resign from parliament.]
    Rudd’s position on the front bench is now simply untenable. It is out in the open that he is actively destabilising, whiteanting and trying to mount a challenge. Regardless of what happens, his job as Foreign Minister is over.

    If he were to resign from parliament, then he really will be considered a Labor Rat. I guess the question is: is he willing to sit on the bench with Mark Latham?

  45. blackburnpseph

    [Rudd always
    Replied with a question]

    I do not often agree with you, but on this I do.

    In fact, one of his worst traits was to interview himself when he was being interviewed ” … and I ask myself this” and off he would go. And the interviewer couldn’t get a word in.

  46. Thornleigh Labor Man

    3AW listeners would be Liberal supporters, so of course they’d vote for the person more likely to be defeated by Tony Abbott.

  47. Mick Collins

    Fiz iirc Krudd and Latham despised each other, so they’d make great bed-fellows

  48. my say

    Jeff agree,

    Boewar agree with u to

    This just why the coward is doinh this
    Bullying the pm
    I am glad she has tim by herside, and blaires ild adviser

    I would say on twitter sit tight julia we love u
    Liz the first courage

  49. The Finnigans

    [Piss off idiot.]

    As Showy would say “This not a toilet for a failed and frustrated politician”

  50. Gary

    [She is continually sniping at me and I just occasionally return fire.
    And I am very mild in what I say, nothing like Frank or some others.]
    I didn’t suggest you were like Frank, I suggested you were heading down that path. Calling people a ‘joke’ or anything else is unpleasant, particularly from someone who rails against name calling and intimidation of others. Whether you are responding in kind or not and whether it’s only a couple of times or not is surely irrelevant.

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