Menu lock

Newspoll: 58-42 to LNP in Queensland

Newspoll has published the first poll of the Queensland election campaign, if that's what it can accurately be called before the writs have been issued, and it offers no respite for the

Newspoll has published the first poll of the Queensland election campaign, if that’s what it can accurately be called before the writs have been issued, and it offers no respite for the Bligh government: the LNP is up three points on the primary vote to 47 per cent, Labor is down one to 30 per cent and the Greens are down one to 9 per cent. Where in the final quarter of 2011 Labor narrowed its two-party vote deficit from 61-39 to 56-44, it’s now back out to 58-42. Anna Bligh has nonetheless gained two points on approval to 41 per cent, with disapproval steady on 50 per cent, while Campbell Newman’s disapproval rating continues to head north, to 37 per cent from 33 per cent in the previous poll and 27 per cent in the one before. His approval rating is steady at 45 per cent after a six-point drop last time. Both leaders are up a point on preferred premier, with Newman leading 44-40. There are also questions on respondents’ strength of commitment to their vote choice, which typically shows less commitment among supporters of the weaker party, and which party they expect to win (54 per cent for the LNP and 22 per cent for Labor). Full tables from GhostWhoVotes.

UPDATE (19/2): Now we have a Galaxy poll with the LNP’s two-party lead at 60-40, up from 59-41 a fortnight ago, with the primary votes at 30 per cent for Labor (down two), 49 per cent for the LNP (steady), 11 per cent for the Greens (up one) and 5 per cent for Katter’s Australian Party (up one). Campbell Newman’s lead over Anna Bligh as preferred premier is down from 49-40 to 50-43. Bligh is steady on approval at 43 per cent and up two on disapproval to 52 per cent; Newman is down one on approval to 47 per cent and up three on disapproval to 40 per cent.

We recommend

From around the web

Powered by Taboola

92 comments

Sort by:   newest | oldest | most voted
shellbell
Guest
dovif
Guest

Mack the Knife

The Newspoll got the NSW and Federal election exactly right. They under-reported the Liberal vote in the last SA, WA and Victoria Election.

Based on past trends, if Newspoll has any bias, it would be to the ALP

Lord Barry Bonkton
Guest

I had a Reach poll the other night , and i am in the edge of Lockyer ( Greenbank ). It was a computer asking Questions . Saw a Newman sign on the Greenbank Army Camp Fence (actually inside fence )??? Is that allowed on Commonwealth Land ? I rang Craig Emerson’s office to inform them. Looks like i will be busy pulling down illegal signs AGAIN !

DavidWH
Guest

Phil I did some quick calculations and think the bears margin of error is 50%. Reach Tel is likely to be less than that.

DavidWH
Guest

Phil I think Fraser does the same as you.

ShiftyPhil
Guest

DavidWH@86

Reach Tel did a recent survey on Ferny Grove which shows if anything the swing is back to the LNP. Mind you I agree those polls have to be taken with a degree of scepticism.

Well I choose to take the serious predictions of a psychic bear over your hocus-pocus “polling.”

DavidWH
Guest

Reach Tel did a recent survey on Ferny Grove which shows if anything the swing is back to the LNP. Mind you I agree those polls have to be taken with a degree of scepticism.

DavidWH
Guest

Phil are you sure that wasn’t the psyco-sun bear?

shellbell
Guest

Shifty

Looked rigged – what (or who) was behind Newman’s mask?

ShiftyPhil
Guest

I won’t be convinced until it’s confirmed by an octopus or a crocodile, but apparently the ‘psychic sun-bear’ says Bligh will win.

h­ttp://c.ooyala.com/MwN2xqMzpczwJLmYRZGR3w9RhEub94RN/DOcJ-FxaFrRg4gtGEwOjV2OjBmO6XjoQ

Mack the Knife
Guest

Personally I’ve been of the view that Newspolls have been used to steer elections towards the conservatives across the world. I find it significant that everyone of their polls anywhere show massive support for the local conservative parties.

I expect these pollsters to cover their arses closer to the election with a late narrowing of the gap between the parties like the last Queensland election where on election day the Courier Mail headlined (incorrectly) that voters were deserting Labor in droves and implied a LNP victory.

The election will be a litmus test for Newspoll accuracy

steve
Guest

Patrick Condren Ch7 Day 2 summary:

http://www.twitvid.com/EIWUM

steve
Guest
steve
Guest
steve
Guest

The @LNPQLD say they have nothing to do with the Aust Family Assoc, but they will NOT say whether they do or do not support the message.

wal kolla
Guest

I don’t understand why you call Newman can-do?
I would take that as a complement as someone prepared to do something.
Unlike the clowns we have had in victoria in the last 10 years.
Bailleu is a do-nothing
Brumby was a did-nothing to be premier
and bracks was a firecracker – made a lot of noise, but achieved very little. (regional trains excluded).

steve
Guest

couriermail.com.au @couriermail
Today I have accepted the resignation of Mr Peter Watson as candidate for Southern Downs- ALP’s state director Anthony Chisholm #qldvotes

DavidWH
Guest

How are we going to return to Joe style corruption when we have a functioning CMC with wide powers to investigate corruption? It was a different era and things have changed.

Geoff Robinson
Guest

KAP will help Labor a bit & maybe swing will be biggest in LNP seats but still looking like a very heavy defeat for ALP. Could it be particularity bad in Brisbane as urban voters rally to an urban conservative party?

1934pc
Guest

When people want change they move into the unknown, I just hope they blindly don’t return to the Joh era, the LNP with Newnam “the blow in” are a unknown quantity with as of now unknown policies, at least we KNOW the State is in resonable condition with huge potetial.
Be careful of what you ask for!.

wpDiscuz