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The latest weekly Essential Research survey shows no change on last week, bar a one point drop in the Greens vote to 10 per cent: the Coalition is on 49 per cent of the primary vote and Labor on 32 per cent, with the Coalition’s two-party lead at 56-44. Essential also found plenty of interesting questions to ask about the Labor leadership. Respondents were asked to evaluate the performance of various actors during the challenge, with Kevin Rudd coming out least badly (33 per cent good, 35 per cent poor), “Labor Party ministers” the worst (10 per cent and 52 per cent), the media also very poorly (14 per cent and 43 per cent), Julia Gillard not well at all (23 per cent and 49 per cent) and Tony Abbott hardly better even if it might be hard to recall what he did exactly (25 per cent and 40 per cent).

Sixty-two per cent of respondents said the leadership challenge was bad for the government and 47 per cent that it has made them less likely to vote Labor (64 per cent among Coalition supporters, obviously including many who wouldn’t vote Labor in a pink fit), against 13 per cent who said it was a good thing and another 13 per cent (or perhaps the same 13 per cent) who they were more likely to vote Labor. A question on Kevin Rudd’s future produces a miraculously even three-way split with 29 per cent saying he should stay in parliament and again challenge for the leadership, 28 per cent saying he should stay in parliament and not challenge for the leadership and 30 per cent saying he should resign from parliament.

Respondents were asked to indicate whether they supported the Australian system of leaders being elected by MPs (36 per cent), American-style presidential primaries (31 per cent) and British-style election by both MPs and party members (11 per cent). Fifty-six per cent believed MPs should be guided by public opinion in leadership contests against 30 per cent by who they believed was the best person. The poll also points to a slight increase in support for an early election since the end of January, up three to 44 per cent with support for a completed term down two to 46 per cent.

We have also had Newspoll publish results from last week’s polling on the most important political issues and the best party to handle them. Such figures are invariably very closely associated with voting intention, and since this was a 53-47 poll result, it finds Labor improving considerably since the question was last asked as part of the poll of October 7-9, which was a 57-43 result. Labor has recovered big leads on its traditional strong suits of health, education, industrial relations and climate change, and closed the gap on the economy, interest rates and national security. Full tables from GhostWhoVotes.

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2780 comments

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OzPol Tragic
Guest

[Consensus now “The narrowing”]

This time 2013, I expect, before the real turnaround, Saves getting aggro about uneven results.

OzPol Tragic
Guest

Bye bye till Sunday. Ava goodweekend!

BTW: I’m sure Kev R can suggest a handy gulag/ broom-cupboard!

cud chewer
Guest

Is there any chance of Jim Spigelman being able to tame or sack Mark Scott, or otherwise effect some cultural change?

Danny Lewis
Guest
Tony Abbott’s “signature policy” guff is a shot across the bows to his colleagues – nothing more, nothing less. After the PPL debacle he can’t afford to have anyone else questioning his authority to make policy without referring to his colleagues. I mean, what were they thinking? Don’t they know he is Prince Tony, Defender of the Tin Foil Hat Brigade, Supporter of Racist Bogans and Condescender of Women Everywhere? Bloody hell, they are ungrateful! Look at where they are in the polls! It’s because of him, don’t they know?!? Either they are with him or agin him, and if… Read more »
zoidlord
Guest

@stanny/2775,

As we’ve continually to say, Slow and steady.

stanny
Guest

Consensus now “The narrowing”

Personally don’t think Newspoll next Tuesday will validate that.
Unemployment up.
GDP down to 0.4% for quarter with several states in recession.
16 days to a QLD wipeout and change in COAG with Andrew Fraser gone.
Yep the n a r r o w I n g
Gus is right the move against Abbott on his reliable sources is on.

poroti
Guest

Boerwar

[c
Free speech threatened as in totally unbalanced panel composition?]
Ironic free speech discussed by some of the best arguments against free speech 🙂

confessions
Guest

Boerwar:

Apparently granting civil rights to minority groups is threatening our free speech.

Who knew?

confessions
Guest

Surely the irony has dawned on these people that speaking freely at a public forum about how our free speech is under threat kind of undermines their argument?

Danny Lewis
Guest

Just put some bets on the 2013 election:

Election between July 1 and 31 Dec 2013 @ $1.50
ALP to form government @ $3.65
Julia Gillard to lead ALP at next Federal Election @ $1.33
Malcolm turnbull to lead Coalition at next Federal Election @ $4.00

If they all come off then I will have a very nice pay day, despite not wagering very much.

PS Sportingbet won’t let me bet on elections because I live in SA, yet Sportsbet will.

Go figure.

Boerwar
Guest

c
Free speech threatened as in totally unbalanced panel composition?

Greensborough Growler
Guest
Greensborough Growler

Interesting they are targetting Abbott’s “Signature policy”.

“TONY Abbott says his six-month paid parental leave scheme is a “signature policy” and would be one of the “defining marks of his leadership”.

This is a set up to show Abbott prevailing or the begining of the end. (what does he do if his “Signature policy” gets rolled?).

http://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/news/tony-abbotts-parental-leave-scheme-is-a-signature-policy/story-e6freuy9-1226293402610

confessions
Guest

Apac is showing some bizarre debate about how our free speech is somehow under threat.

Features Mark Steyn, John Roskam and Janet Albrecthsten, hosted by Tom Switzer.

BK
Guest

[Who would have thunk that #ABC730 did a story on the great Lib split and policy confusion Abbott Vs Hockey Vs Robb Vs Turnbull #auspol]
The worm.
It is turning.

Super
Guest

confessions
Posted Thursday, March 8, 2012 at 7:49 pm | Permalink
According to twitter 730 are focusing on Coalition’s shortcomings

Yeah, Fess, but waaaaaay short of the treatment given (traditionally/routinely) to Labor.

poroti
Guest

This little black duck

[fess,

Very superficially.]
It’s a start !

The Finnigans
Guest

Who would have thunk that #ABC730 did a story on the great Lib split and policy confusion Abbott Vs Hockey Vs Robb Vs Turnbull #auspol

forrest
Guest

[confessions
Posted Thursday, March 8, 2012 at 7:49 pm | Permalink
According to twitter 730 are focusing on Coalition’s shortcomings.]

They’ll need more than a half hour.

confessions
Guest

Ducky:

Thought it would be too good to be true.

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